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EURUSD only

  • #95,041
  • Sep 18, 2019 8:39am Sep 18, 2019 8:39am
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  • #95,042
  • Sep 18, 2019 8:48am Sep 18, 2019 8:48am
Weekly Outlook Pre-FED/FOMC

  1. My angled lines chart shows that bulls are knocking doors to heaven at: 1.1092, if FED finally listens to Trump's complaints then tonight they might show some action to devalue USD, that way bulls could break above this crucial weekly resistance level.
  2. If data does nothing tonight then I expect a bounce back down to retest 1.1010 area. With lazy FED results I would not prefer to buy dips and would wait for clear signs if 1.1010 acts supportive or not.
  3. If data does the opposite what Trump wants then and only then we could see a bearish momentum that could break below 1.1010 and drop further to retest 1.0915 area.. but this scenario is less likely imho.. Time will tell..
  4. Personally I focus on two areas today: Support: 1.1010 and Resistance: 1.1135!

Stay Green

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #95,043
  • Sep 18, 2019 9:22am Sep 18, 2019 9:22am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Weekly Outlook Pre-FED/FOMC My angled lines chart shows that bulls are knocking doors to heaven at: 1.1092, if FED finally listens to Trump's complaints then tonight they might show some action to devalue USD, that way bulls could break above this crucial weekly resistance level. If data does nothing tonight then I expect a bounce back down to retest 1.1010 area. With lazy FED results I would not prefer to buy dips and would wait for clear signs if 1.1010 acts supportive or not. If data does the opposite what Trump wants then and only then we could...
Sorry my friend I'm on the opposite side as I see the 1.0995 range or lower today after the FED does the rate cut
  • #95,044
  • Sep 18, 2019 9:23am Sep 18, 2019 9:23am
Quoting Bocephus
{quote} Sorry my friend I'm on the opposite side as I see the 1.0995 range or lower today after the FED does the rate cut
While above 1.1010 I don't care much about bears.. I will prefer to buy as low as I can but if you are right I might not even have bought so I can adapt no worries.. Good luck

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #95,045
  • Sep 18, 2019 9:38am Sep 18, 2019 9:38am
Quoting ata-turkoglu
weekly outlook pre-fed/fomc my angled lines chart shows that bulls are knocking doors to heaven at: 1.1092, if fed finally listens to trump's complaints then tonight they might show some action to devalue usd, that way bulls could break above this crucial weekly resistance level. If data does nothing tonight then i expect a bounce back down to retest 1.1010 area. With lazy fed results i would not prefer to buy dips and would wait for clear signs if 1.1010 acts supportive or not. If data does the opposite what trump wants then and only then we could...
tell me plz . If rate cut decrease from 2.25 bp to 2.00 then we should close our sell orders ?
  • #95,046
  • Sep 18, 2019 9:45am Sep 18, 2019 9:45am
Quoting rameeztr
{quote} tell me plz . If rate cut decrease from 2.25 bp to 2.00 then we should close our sell orders ?
You close or open any orders based on your chart and your system.. numbers are literally just numbers and you should never solely rely on them..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #95,047
  • Sep 18, 2019 9:53am Sep 18, 2019 9:53am
A complete fundamentalist look on all the reasons what makes EUR and USD bearish or bullish..

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/...e-201909131517

Stay Green
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  • #95,048
  • Sep 18, 2019 10:07am Sep 18, 2019 10:07am
Sell limit 1.1090 sl 1.1115 tp 1.0930
  • #95,049
  • Sep 18, 2019 11:53am Sep 18, 2019 11:53am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
A complete fundamentalist look on all the reasons what makes EUR and USD bearish or bullish.. Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/...e-201909131517 Stay Green {image}
I'm trying to get my head around the QE point... Isn't QE comparable with lowering the interest rate, which would be euro bearish?
Pension fund Return This Month: 2.2%
  • #95,050
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:08pm Sep 18, 2019 12:08pm
If the daily closes above 1.1029 then, in my personal view, the stage is cleared for the bulls. For the bears the daily should close below 1.0978.
If you see the lower TF such as 30mins closes in these levels then move accordingly.

Besides, it's a fed day. i'M expecting a dovish which means towards the usual crap such as more accommodation, which is bad for the dollar.


Lets see
  • #95,051
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:16pm Sep 18, 2019 12:16pm
Quoting RazorFitch
There is an upward slope within downtrend channel on EURUSD, with a downward slope on volume over 2-3 week time frame, indicating accumulation.. I wouldn't be surprised that this pair will shoot up today breaking out the downward trend. However, the question is when ? so, maybe initially down in the Eurpean session, and then up after USD rate. {image}
My initial estimates based on my chart is working out nicely, and if Fed reduces the rate by 25 bps, my expectation is that this pair will break out of the downtrend channel. Even though its too good to be true, still I wont place a trade until after the announcement
  • #95,052
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:35pm Sep 18, 2019 12:35pm
FOMC is almost upon us, hope you're planning to trade your plan? They may be enough pips to go around. Don't forget, Capital preservation is key, so trade wisely. Goodluck
  • #95,053
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:38pm Sep 18, 2019 12:38pm
Quoting alphabear
FOMC is almost upon us, hope you're planning to trade your plan? They may be enough pips to go around. Don't forget, Capital preservation is key, so trade wisely. Goodluck
Keep calm and enjoy
  • #95,054
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:40pm Sep 18, 2019 12:40pm
Trump is getting ready to tweet folks, any market impact that goes against Trump's trading position, he will tweet back and markets will rebound...so, becareful
From that token, Trump would love to see EU shoot 200-300 pips high and laugh at Dragi
  • #95,055
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:43pm Sep 18, 2019 12:43pm
Quoting corongumet
{quote} Keep calm and enjoy
Yeah man!
  • #95,056
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:46pm Sep 18, 2019 12:46pm
Quoting RazorFitch
Trump is getting ready to tweet folks, any market impact that goes against Trump's trading position, he will tweet back and markets will rebound...so, becareful
Lol! Does he have the time to trade even as a president?
  • #95,057
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:47pm Sep 18, 2019 12:47pm
Quoting alphabear
{quote} Lol! Does he have the time to trade even as a president?
Lol, his adult children have plenty of money and time... they are probably on the phone, wishing their dad good luck
  • #95,058
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:51pm Sep 18, 2019 12:51pm
Quoting RazorFitch
{quote} Lol, his adult children have plenty of money and time... they are probably on the phone, wishing their dad good luck
Okay! Now I get what you mean.
  • #95,059
  • Sep 18, 2019 12:53pm Sep 18, 2019 12:53pm
Quoting Leodavinci
Sell limit 1.1090 sl 1.1115 tp 1.0930
Sell limit canceled
Sell 1.1066 sl 1.1095 tp 1.0930
  • #95,060
  • Sep 18, 2019 1:18pm Sep 18, 2019 1:18pm
Numbers confirm a "lazy FED" and will piss off Trump for sure.. I pause the idea of buying 1.1010 until I see clear support on H1 or H4..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
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