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  • #94,041
  • Aug 27, 2019 9:32am Aug 27, 2019 9:32am
Quoting bigiivan
Sell EU at 1,1106. SL at 1,1146.
Out + 20 pips.
  • #94,042
  • Aug 27, 2019 9:43am Aug 27, 2019 9:43am
Why I think EU might fall a little while?
  • #94,043
  • Aug 27, 2019 10:14am Aug 27, 2019 10:14am
Quoting bigiivan
Why I think EU might fall a little while?
Target is 1.1074
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #94,044
  • Aug 27, 2019 11:11am Aug 27, 2019 11:11am
This is how I see this:

1. Cycle complete now at 1.1084 with a equal legs extension. We should break 1.1115. Big Resistance is 1.1102/08.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu1.jpg Size: 207 KB


2. If we can not break 1.1102/08 there is the second way. Continue lower to 1.1071/78 big support for a bounce and the best situation 1.1044 as a big low.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu2.jpg Size: 220 KB
Don't believe me just watch!
  • #94,045
  • Aug 27, 2019 11:34am Aug 27, 2019 11:34am
I don't have a target or cycle but DX is weak. It wants to goes down.
  • #94,046
  • Aug 27, 2019 12:13pm Aug 27, 2019 12:13pm
Quoting bigiivan
Why I think EU might fall a little while?
Quoting bigiivan
{quote} Out + 20 pips.
Again:
Sell at 1,1090.
SL 40 pips.
  • #94,047
  • Aug 27, 2019 2:55pm Aug 27, 2019 2:55pm
Algo Bot correctly forecast the daily moves lower but has now showing signs of basing out tomorrow and ending high. As the weekly forecast is still long its a high risk trade to short anywhere near the bottom here just for a few pips. Im expecting a bounce now off this pivot early tomorrow and may not need to go any lower.

A slow grind back up through all the resistance should occur and there is no guarantee that the low pivot has to be hit but most likely to find support there. Buying and adding to dips is my plan.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 17 KB
  • #94,048
  • Edited 5:41pm Aug 27, 2019 5:20pm | Edited 5:41pm
This is just for fun as the time frames are too big for me to trade anyway but its a monthly forecast using Algo Bot. Fundy plays too much in these time frames anyway China trade, euro breakup, wars, climate change etc play a much bigger part but anyway It suggest early September long on the weekly but a short month.

SO it makes sense we base here go back up to the weekly channel resistance we been stuck in forever then make a new low towards the end of September. In October Algo Bot suggest euro is very long on the monthly so euro breaks long and finally ends this channel which makes sense due to Brexit finally over so its a relief rally and a correction off this entire move. Algo Bot suggests we probably spend several months maybe till Xmas or the New years on these highs. I think that will be the last time euro will ever see those highs and will just keep dumping after that through next year.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 24 KB
  • #94,049
  • Aug 27, 2019 5:23pm Aug 27, 2019 5:23pm
seems double bottom in diary....
  • #94,050
  • Aug 27, 2019 9:42pm Aug 27, 2019 9:42pm
Quoting bigiivan
{quote} {quote} Again: Sell at 1,1090. SL 40 pips.
Оut + 6 pips.
  • #94,051
  • Aug 27, 2019 11:22pm Aug 27, 2019 11:22pm
H4 - Potential Scenarios

Good morning folks.. we are having a very slow week since bank holidays everywhere.. Therefore there is not much to say.. I have 2 scenarios for today and an additional one if scenario 1 plays out:

  1. Weak bullish scenario where price could bounce from current price levels or from 1.1075 area up to nearest dashed resistance angle: 1.1108 area and then bounce back down..
  2. Weak bearish scenario where nearest dashed area support can't hold price and we retest the lower edge of main triangle around 1.1055..
  3. Strong bullish scenario where price doesn't bounce back down from 1.1108 area and rises even more.

I personally favor the bullish side.. Time will tell..

Stay Green

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU-H4-Scenarios.png Size: 30 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #94,052
  • Aug 27, 2019 11:44pm Aug 27, 2019 11:44pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
H4 - Potential Scenarios Good morning folks.. we are having a very slow week since bank holidays everywhere.. Therefore there is not much to say.. I have 2 scenarios for today and an additional one if scenario 1 plays out: Weak bullish scenario where price could bounce from current price levels or from 1.1075 area up to nearest dashed resistance angle: 1.1108 area and then bounce back down.. Weak bearish scenario where nearest dashed area support can't hold price and we retest the lower edge of main triangle around 1.1055.. Strong bullish scenario...
Good analysis as always, 1.1075 to 1.10530 surely is the region I'll watch out for signal to go long. Finger cross for now I will sit at the sideline and see what happens. It's been two years now since I have been under your mentorship. Thanks for your effort Ata.
  • #94,053
  • Aug 28, 2019 12:02am Aug 28, 2019 12:02am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
H4 - Potential Scenarios Good morning folks.. we are having a very slow week since bank holidays everywhere.. Therefore there is not much to say.. I have 2 scenarios for today and an additional one if scenario 1 plays out: Weak bullish scenario where price could bounce from current price levels or from 1.1075 area up to nearest dashed resistance angle: 1.1108 area and then bounce back down.. Weak bearish scenario where nearest dashed area support can't hold price and we retest the lower edge of main triangle around 1.1055.. Strong bullish scenario...
Exactly what i have been trying to say since...good our analysis align
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #94,054
  • Aug 28, 2019 12:04am Aug 28, 2019 12:04am
Quoting alphabear
{quote} Good analysis as always, 1.1075 to 1.10530 surely is the region I'll watch out for signal to go long. Finger cross for now I will sit at the sideline and see what happens. It's been two years now since I have been under your mentorship. Thanks for your effort Ata.
Thanks I appreciate.. just wanted to emphasize that there is no Ata.. There is the "thread" with all its precious members.. We are family and we will grow together..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #94,055
  • Aug 28, 2019 12:15am Aug 28, 2019 12:15am
Bruh this pair does not freaking move... must be doing 40 million lots a day now and trades in the tightest range I've ever seen
Everyone is trading bonds + gold I guess
Paul Tudor Jones is buying any gold you will sell him.
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #94,056
  • Aug 28, 2019 12:52am Aug 28, 2019 12:52am
Buy at 1,1092.
SL 40 pips.
  • #94,057
  • Edited 1:29am Aug 28, 2019 1:10am | Edited 1:29am
Line of main trend cross up middle H4 and stoch ovesold longterrm h4 up.But border of this trend 10640.Low can be but after up Main daily trend is still under middle from 17 jul but line is going up very slow for a moment no buy fast trend didnt turn up yet they flat,i think if we cross 11000 we go up.
  • #94,058
  • Aug 28, 2019 1:37am Aug 28, 2019 1:37am
Today is a very important day for italian government.
I think it can influence EURUSD a little bit
  • #94,059
  • Aug 28, 2019 1:47am Aug 28, 2019 1:47am
Buy limit at 1085. SL 50 pips.
Go with the flow
  • #94,060
  • Edited 2:18am Aug 28, 2019 1:54am | Edited 2:18am
WE do dip today if we cross 10800target i dont know level 11000 and 10800
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