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  • #91,081
  • Jul 9, 2019 9:50am Jul 9, 2019 9:50am
I think Closing candle blow 1.1198 confirms ascending channel breaking down and it acts as a bearish flag lead to falling again

Passing 1.1210 means pass a resistance and if climb to 1.1225 zone bull can be stable
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  • #91,082
  • Jul 9, 2019 10:05am Jul 9, 2019 10:05am
Quoting pridolfx
{quote} bears will beat them
No bears will be fucked up
  • #91,083
  • Jul 9, 2019 10:10am Jul 9, 2019 10:10am
Quoting ubtt
{quote} No bears will be fucked up
maybe wolfs willl fucked both lol
  • #91,084
  • Jul 9, 2019 10:15am Jul 9, 2019 10:15am
Daily S/R Levels for Wednesday

Assuming current candle will not change much after NY close:

  1. Seems like our bullish 5-0 pattern still has a chance to kick in.
  2. Wednesday range could flow narrow, between: 1.1225 (Nearest Resistance) and 1.1187 (Nearest Support).
  3. If bulls can breakout from 1.1225 their next target would be 1.1298 area.
  4. If bears could break below 1.1187, their next target would be the potential bullish Cypher-D leg area: 1.1159

I hope it helps..

Stay Green

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #91,085
  • Jul 9, 2019 10:16am Jul 9, 2019 10:16am
Quoting pridolfx
{quote} maybe wolfs willl fucked both lol
So we just watch and do nothing?
  • #91,086
  • Jul 9, 2019 10:27am Jul 9, 2019 10:27am
Quoting ubtt
{quote} So we just watch and do nothing?
its shit summer without volatily ,big fishes enjoj now earnings money over year.
game begin on september again
  • #91,087
  • Jul 9, 2019 11:45am Jul 9, 2019 11:45am
Great fight going on between bulls and bears therefore it's hovering between 1.1200 to 1.1210... Let's see who wins first...i mean it goes towards 1.1225 or 1.1185. My bias is bullish. Trade safe
  • #91,088
  • Jul 9, 2019 12:06pm Jul 9, 2019 12:06pm
I can’t ignore these bullish Dv on H1 and H4
buy with tight SL
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  • #91,089
  • Jul 9, 2019 12:23pm Jul 9, 2019 12:23pm
Long 1.1214 SL 43 TP open
ex nihilo
  • #91,090
  • Jul 9, 2019 12:27pm Jul 9, 2019 12:27pm
It seems that today candle will finish as buy candle and it can go up to 1.1240
Attached Image
  • #91,091
  • Jul 9, 2019 12:33pm Jul 9, 2019 12:33pm
Quoting peyman
I can’t ignore these bullish Dv on H1 and H4 buy with tight SL {image} {image}
Hi peyman, only DIVERGENCE is not enough plus let 5EMA cross MIDDLE BOLLINGER along with cross of MACD 24, 52 , 9
Good wishes
  • #91,092
  • Jul 9, 2019 1:07pm Jul 9, 2019 1:07pm
* All Zones are open and valid for signals at the time of posting. *:

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* Confirmation Long signal in the making?*:

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  1. Today's candle appears to be a valid Start Point candle (SP). We can't know until it closes.
  2. IF we do have an SP candle, then we can start the count down for the confirmation candle (CC).

Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
  • #91,093
  • Jul 9, 2019 2:35pm Jul 9, 2019 2:35pm
Quoting HiddenGap
* All Zones are open and valid for signals at the time of posting. *: {image} * Confirmation Long signal in the making?*: {image} Today's candle appears to be a valid Start Point candle (SP). We can't know until it closes. IF we do have an SP candle, then we can start the count down for the confirmation candle (CC).
wauu 20p daily range, soon we will come on 10p
  • #91,094
  • Jul 9, 2019 3:06pm Jul 9, 2019 3:06pm
This month, volatility in the currency market fell to its lowest level in five years. In times like this, many analysts argue that big moves are on the horizon but it could be upwards of a year before that happens.
The last time FX volatility was this low was in June 2014 and at that time there were about 10 months of consolidation before a major breakout. In 2007, the low volatility environment persisted for about a year and prior to that, the most pronounced period of low volatility was in 1996 and the consolidation also lasted about a year. We're currently three months into this market environment, which means it could be another six to nine months before volatility explodes. This makes sense because most, if not all, major central banks have no plans to change monetary policy again in 2019 and the lack of potential policy surprises minimises the impact of incoming data and the general moves in currencies. Also, the steady gains in stocks keep investors complacent.
Volatility will return when stocks crash because a sharp sell-off would be a tipping point that triggers widespread profit taking and broad-based risk aversion – we got a taste of that in December and January. The only question is what could cause this turn in sentiment? We know that central bankers are worried about global growth but the moves in equities fail to recognise these concerns. Stocks could peak if US-China trade talks turn south or the EU-US trade war heats up. If earnings are weak or data stabilises enough for central banks to reconsider tightening, rate hike talk could also drive stocks lower. Sometimes stocks correct for no reason at all – they sell-off sharply one day and the fear of further losses drive them even lower. Regardless it may be some time before the selling begins so for now, it is best to focus on strategies that thrive in low volatility markets. This means fading tops and bottoms, being nimble with profit targets and taking your cue from stocks and yields. Also, don't expect big reactions to major economic reports.
  • #91,095
  • Jul 9, 2019 3:07pm Jul 9, 2019 3:07pm
Quoting HiddenGap
* All Zones are open and valid for signals at the time of posting. *: {image} * Confirmation Long signal in the making?*: {image} Today's candle appears to be a valid Start Point candle (SP). We can't know until it closes. IF we do have an SP candle, then we can start the count down for the confirmation candle (CC).
Resistance at yesterday's low has been the obstacle so far.
  • #91,096
  • Jul 9, 2019 3:20pm Jul 9, 2019 3:20pm
Quoting auricforecas
Should we be in a point of (down)trend setting (for the summer of 2019)... which I think we could/might see confirmation off by the end of next week, some traders have the, maybe final, opportunity to close the BUY positions, instead of stubborn waiting for the rebound which might happen, might not... Market was good for both sides, for some time now, didn't matter much, many times, which position you entered (BUY or SELL aka BULLish or BEARish), if you waited long enough, to expose yourself to the maximum, pay interests (on BUYs) and have not over-leveraged...
Just wanted to reaffirm my position(s)/statement(s)s. I won't post in this thread, till this mentioned/forecasted period is over... for various reasons.

Unless of course anyone would have serious (positive) question. I plan to be on the SELL side, practically irrelevant to what Powell says tomorrow or later...
Because market will follow its way eventually... And also... the trend is only one part of the picture, there is also the steering within it, which is in particular true for the high-leveraged trades... But just to sum quickly.. FED doesn't cut or does (.25) and ECB follows, neutralised somewhat... I just see no (other) reason (than to help Trump) for them... to press the TURBO NITRO button at this time.
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #91,097
  • Jul 9, 2019 7:58pm Jul 9, 2019 7:58pm
time for new shoulder ...?left or right what ever it is ....
Always with a Road Not Taken
  • #91,098
  • Jul 9, 2019 8:10pm Jul 9, 2019 8:10pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Just wanted to reaffirm my position(s)/statement(s)s. I won't post in this thread, till this mentioned/forecasted period is over... for various reasons. Unless of course anyone would have serious (positive) question. I plan to be on the SELL side, practically irrelevant to what Powell says tomorrow or later... Because market will follow its way eventually... And also... the trend is only one part of the picture, there is also the steering within it, which is in particular true for the high-leveraged trades... But just to sum quickly.. FED...
It's a warning which bulls have refused to heed. I remember some people arguing with me on different threads that the low for the year was seen. Then came 1.14plus and they felt happy. I knew all along the whole rise was a farce. Now watch Powell mess with bears head big time. 1.11 is NOT the years low. Not at all. That number will be smashed. And I believe it will be this summer. It will most likely be a slow burn bear. Down all the way. I will sell spikes. Every buy is a scalp. This doesn't mean smart and fast traders cannot buy, but knowing where to buy and where to get out is key.
  • #91,099
  • Jul 9, 2019 11:19pm Jul 9, 2019 11:19pm
In July, four fold decision making&consequence&probability
1) ecb cut first and fed follows 20%
euro slumps to 1.11 and then back up
2) ecb NA and fed cut 40%
euro rockets to 1.14
3) ecb NA and fed NA 30%
flat
4) ecb cut and fed NA 10%
euro to hell.

Fed cut is almost certain and already priced in by wall street. Under so many pressure from national and company debt, even if fed won’t cut, the gov will do so to infiltrate the currency. Now the question remains whether ecb will cut or restart QE? I would say not easily. Because eu is comprised of many countries that have different economic status. Fro example, Germany would vote against it if cuts rates. So I would say ecb wont react so quickly to cut rates, especially the new president is not yet in office.
  • #91,100
  • Jul 9, 2019 11:50pm Jul 9, 2019 11:50pm
Quoting ubtt
in july, four fold decision making&consequence&probability 1) ecb cut first and fed follows 20% euro slumps to 1.11 and then back up 2) ecb na and fed cut 40% euro rockets to 1.14 3) ecb na and fed na 30% flat 4) ecb cut and fed na 10% euro to hell. Fed cut is almost certain and already priced in by wall street. Under so many pressure from national and company debt, even if fed won’t cut, the gov will do so to infiltrate the currency. Now the question remains whether ecb will cut or restart qe? I would say not easily. Because eu is comprised of...
eur /usd is overall bearish . Take care
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