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The Swamp

  • #35,601
  • May 24, 2019 7:28pm May 24, 2019 7:28pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} IG group owns the website daily fx. So the sentiment you see on there represents what their clients are doing - which reflects only a fraction of the retail market imo. I would only take that data with a pinch of salt. Cheers
No shit, that's what I said. There is no way to know at any given time. Even COT is days old by the time we get it.

A hundred brokers will have different results. We dont even know if the broker is giving their real data in irt or not. No central clearing house. Forex is the wild west.
Someone has to pull the wings off the butterfly.

now if u find something u can make money with, stick with it. Theoretically its a 0 sum game.. shorts=longs. and longs =shorts. the advantage of knowing institutions position is: they are supposed to be the smart money.

its like this oldy but goody E.F. Hutton. Who have since gone out of business.

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #35,602
  • May 25, 2019 11:12am May 25, 2019 11:12am
trumps landed in japan and immediately started blackmailing them that they should buy more u.s. made products escpecially munitions...thats a different tact then threatening everyone with tariffs and the AJ chart seems to be showing it might work cause price seems to have stabilized at the lows.

we all know about gaps and how theyre an irrisistable draw much like a pint of cheap whisky is for a wino so im thinking that gap has to close before AJ can drop down to sub 60 levels.

on the monthly if price can recover and close over that green line in the next 5 days we'll be back up to that price level
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buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #35,603
  • May 25, 2019 5:21pm May 25, 2019 5:21pm
Quoting wasntme
trumps landed in japan and immediately started blackmailing them that they should buy more u.s. made products escpecially munitions...thats a different tact then threatening everyone with tariffs and the AJ chart seems to be showing it might work cause price seems to have stabilized at the lows. we all know about gaps and how theyre an irrisistable draw much like a pint of cheap whisky is for a wino so im thinking that gap has to close before AJ can drop down to sub 60 levels. on the monthly if price can recover and close over that green...
A gap is nothing more than a revisit to a close. You can use a revisit to a close. Anytime pa moves after a close, even if no gap is shown.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #35,604
  • May 26, 2019 12:36am May 26, 2019 12:36am
Quoting wasntme
trumps landed in japan and immediately started blackmailing them that they should buy more u.s. made products escpecially munitions...thats a different tact then threatening everyone with tariffs and the AJ chart seems to be showing it might work cause price seems to have stabilized at the lows. we all know about gaps and how theyre an irrisistable draw much like a pint of cheap whisky is for a wino so im thinking that gap has to close before AJ can drop down to sub 60 levels. on the monthly if price can recover and close over that green...
if trump and whoever is behind him think that his stupid low life strategies and attitude would work with japan, then we will see a completely opposite reaction from japan.
japan is not kingdom of sand and camels aka ksa.
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #35,605
  • May 26, 2019 11:45am May 26, 2019 11:45am
1.1270 is the line for upmove for me... but at this point looking at the chart, I will look for more buy scalps... 1429 is my target upside... long term is down to 1.08 still... charts are emerging with 1.06 but baby steps... Breaking below 1.1160 and 1137 will negate my view...
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  • #35,606
  • May 26, 2019 3:09pm May 26, 2019 3:09pm
guess what this guy did in his youth...pretty damn close.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #35,607
  • May 26, 2019 3:22pm May 26, 2019 3:22pm
  •  dot0
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: I pity the fool that fails to laugh | 368 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
guess what this guy did in his youth...pretty damn close. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4NBYDQEwisU https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9K4qk_jfgg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vdoFOHr9xmQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AM4KgC2aT4M
you can't have any pudding if you don't eat your meat... yeah... another brick was the first I had to look at... and the crowd all together...
c'mon baby, daddy needs brand new clogs...
  • #35,608
  • May 26, 2019 4:25pm May 26, 2019 4:25pm
Quoting dot0
{quote} you can't have any pudding if you don't eat your meat... yeah... another brick was the first I had to look at... and the crowd all together...
If go to Rome, I hope to hear him live.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #35,609
  • May 26, 2019 4:34pm May 26, 2019 4:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
monday levels... elections is a wildcard. {image}
if t can make it past 1211. the Week's R that may slap it down some is 1227 on chart. 1210x is one also, 1214 another. But one never knows because this bounce is a 1145/55 1137 1159 rejection. Not knowing its strength. I chose to sell small positions on the way up. This week could reject month close below 1145.9. Doing this would hurt bears. Bears need to close the month below 1145.9.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #35,610
  • May 26, 2019 7:20pm May 26, 2019 7:20pm
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Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #35,611
  • May 26, 2019 8:39pm May 26, 2019 8:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if t can make it past 1211. the Week's R that may slap it down some is 1227 on chart. 1210x is one also, 1214 another. But one never knows because this bounce is a 1145/55 1137 1159 rejection. Not knowing its strength. I chose to sell small positions on the way up. This week could reject month close below 1145.9. Doing this would hurt bears. Bears need to close the month below 1145.9. {image}
upper day and all time eu chart 1209/10
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #35,612
  • May 26, 2019 10:35pm May 26, 2019 10:35pm
welp, just read this article so im gona start trading usd/cnh...has anybody traded that pair....seems like other exotics that move so not much boredom to deal with...the spread is 10 pips right now,does it narrow alittle later on?

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/91...e-loss-if-they


better to side with the manipulators LOL
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #35,613
  • May 26, 2019 11:28pm May 26, 2019 11:28pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Are you looking to average in if it goes lower? If 1.1265 was some kind of triple top area then it seems this thing wants 1.108x area before a hard bounce to 1.133 area.
Yes, that is exactly what I did, average position that I'm holding right now is 1.1142
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #35,614
  • May 26, 2019 11:31pm May 26, 2019 11:31pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} hope you consider swap.. it will eat your profit live with that kind time frame...
I took that into consideration, swap should be 3-5%(depending on the time frame) of the profit, if it goes my way that is...
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #35,615
  • May 27, 2019 12:02am May 27, 2019 12:02am
Went long usd/cnh at .9089

Just going for a paltry 250 pips profit lol
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #35,616
  • May 27, 2019 3:07am May 27, 2019 3:07am
Was a bit of a scalp setup earlier, 6 pips on a dead bank holiday is better than a kick in the teeth.

Looks like it might go a bit lower before market dies off for the day.
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  • #35,617
  • May 27, 2019 4:19am May 27, 2019 4:19am
Out uc at 9107 and goin to bed...see u all tmoro
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #35,618
  • May 27, 2019 4:34am May 27, 2019 4:34am
Might have just seen a decent long entry. Let's see how H1 closes in 25 mins.
  • #35,619
  • May 27, 2019 5:55am May 27, 2019 5:55am
Good morning.. I see H1 has reversed to downtrend 2 hours ago.. we are currently in range trade between H1 1216 and H4 1139
  • #35,620
  • May 27, 2019 6:00am May 27, 2019 6:00am
Levels printed so far, 1187 or 1216 next to print...
RU R3 ----------1.1241
FP R3 ----------1.1235
RU R2 ----------1.1222
FP R2 ----------1.1221
MP PP ----------1.1218
WP R1 ----------1.1216
FP R1 ----------1.1212
RU R1 ----------1.1210
FP PP ----------1.1198
RU S1 ----------1.1187
FP S1 ----------1.1184
FP S2 ----------1.1175
WP PP ----------1.1175
RU S2 ----------1.1175
FP S3 ----------1.1161
RU S3 ----------1.1155
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