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EURUSD only

  • #86,361
  • May 17, 2019 12:55pm May 17, 2019 12:55pm
Quoting auricforecas
Although Im maybe one of the most EURUSD bearish guy here, for at least the next 4-6months, but I still believe this drop was too quick, to deep.. therefore I would be confident to do at least one last BUY, before I go on the exclusively SELL side for the mentione period.. lets say TP1.1190 would seem a safe bet...
two of the most
  • #86,362
  • May 17, 2019 1:02pm May 17, 2019 1:02pm
Quoting pridolfx
{quote} what happend with this crap of eur/usd 20pips range in friday?? does anybody looks usd/cad what moves making
are you asking why it seems to be locked within 20PIP range for the whole day almost? Because people speculate for it to DROP as a HAMMER... to print money
probably (over)leverage the sell and watch for account to double It should rebound to 1.1190 already... but because of the situation we might be lucky for it to move 10-15PIP up today... till market close... I hate having weekend rollevers... but again... when people do that... they create a buildup and then we see this drops/spikes...
the more, at least this small rebound (1.1190+) will be delayed.. the greater the SPIKE after.. that will crush sellers position. They should let it rebound naturaly.. not trying to squeeze the missfortuned currency that fast I personaly prefer smooth change, spikes are worst to trade, at least for me.... they just distort the picture...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86,363
  • May 17, 2019 1:04pm May 17, 2019 1:04pm
Quoting Willer
{quote} two of the most
Im happy there is also the other market (side), I certainly dont want it to drop too fast and then threaten my position with spike rebounds I prefer it to do "things" slowly... I encourage you to hold on your analysis/gut/skills, that makes the (good) market
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86,364
  • May 17, 2019 1:17pm May 17, 2019 1:17pm
Quoting auricforecas
Although Im maybe one of the most EURUSD bearish guy here, for at least the next 4-6months, but I still believe this drop was too quick, to deep.. therefore I would be confident to do at least one last BUY, before I go on the exclusively SELL side for the mentione period.. lets say TP1.1190 would seem a safe bet...
What...?
If you want in on my experimental EA, PM me.
  • #86,365
  • May 17, 2019 1:34pm May 17, 2019 1:34pm
Quoting RegisMexes
{quote} What...?
all considering, yesterdays and from buildup before... also this sell was supported by a few bad news or good news for the "other" currency... there were just so many things.. in the same direction, rather quick... it has to rebound, there is no other logic.. and this is saying something, have been trading eurusd for 10+ years, exclusively... I havent made a single other currency trade in 10years and I dont even watch it.... and I bet everything on that statement... it will rebound to at least 1.1190, soon.. it can be delayed (days/weeks) by speculation, manipulation, intervention, "tweets", interventions, (central) banks.. or whatever.... but in the end... it will rebound... the catch is to know how soon and how much counter it can go first... the last data would be important for the proper SL, leverage levels.. but I am leaving that for you people... Im just saying the price with the estimated timeframe... but the price is iron clad, in my book Or I better go do something else

*After it rebounds to the 1.1190+.. as I stated... I will be on the sell side, at least in DAILY trading...

Happy we got that timestamped.. now you can laugh or wonder... we will see soon
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86,366
  • May 17, 2019 1:42pm May 17, 2019 1:42pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} all considering, yesterdays and from buildup before... also this sell was supported by a few bad news or good news for the "other" currency... there were just so many things.. in the same direction, rather quick... it has to rebound, there is no other logic.. and this is saying something, have been trading eurusd for 10+ years, exclusively... I havent made a single other currency trade in 10years and I dont even watch it.... and I bet everything on that statement... it will rebound to at least 1.1190, soon.. it can be delayed (days/weeks)...
Thanks for sharing...but just my thoughts:
1. EU has dropped a lot slower than GU, AU and NU (of course those were aided by Brexit and trade war fears).
2. EU still has not closed the gap it created when Macron won.

I think most people would agree that the drop on EU has not been "too fast". It is also a fact that the US economy is more healthy than the European nations.

In fact, I could also point out that it could also be possible that Euro gains due to Brexit uncertainty (big money flows that want to remain in Europe switches from GBP to EUR).

Thanks for the discussion.
If you want in on my experimental EA, PM me.
  • #86,367
  • May 17, 2019 1:44pm May 17, 2019 1:44pm
still dancing around my entry point

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #86,368
  • May 17, 2019 1:51pm May 17, 2019 1:51pm
Quoting RegisMexes
{quote} Thanks for sharing...but just my thoughts: 1. EU has dropped a lot slower than GU, AU and NU (of course those were aided by Brexit and trade war fears). 2. EU still has not closed the gap it created when Macron won. I think most people would agree that the drop on EU has not been "too fast". It is also a fact that the US economy is more healthy than the European nations. In fact, I could also point out that it could also be possible that Euro gains due to Brexit uncertainty (big money flows that want to remain in Europe switches from GBP...
I agree with you there.. maybe the timeframe wasnt clear.. I am just saying about the last few days timeframe.. LATER I fully suport your thoughts.. and as I say.. will be on the sell side because of it, for about 6months, at least for daily trades.. but before.. I want it to rebound to 1.1190... because even though I believe it should go as you say (and it did)... it helped too much "accidental" down push by sequent news... Hope that clarifies my positin... I was hoping/predicting the drop... in fact this last drop, that happened this week, was delayed for at least a week.. do to things I mentioned.... but now that it did drop I think it happend too much with the help of the RED news... would be much more confident if it would happen more "naturally"... I think we are on the same page.. I am just stating this 1.1190 rebound and then Im totaly on the SELL, for many reasons that I wont go into now, because I would need PAGES
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86,369
  • May 17, 2019 2:45pm May 17, 2019 2:45pm
I am in a indecision point in short term!

EU 1h. Cheers!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Don't believe me just watch!
  • #86,370
  • May 17, 2019 3:04pm May 17, 2019 3:04pm
Quoting LCForex
I am in a indecision point in short term! EU 1h. Cheers! {image}
yellow (if I had to pick one of the two)
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86,371
  • May 17, 2019 3:20pm May 17, 2019 3:20pm
Maybe monday will be the last day of the fall. These knives is going to finish. Next week will try to catch them.
  • #86,372
  • May 17, 2019 3:29pm May 17, 2019 3:29pm
...market still pushing towards 1.1150 despite almost being EOD.
  • #86,373
  • May 17, 2019 3:29pm May 17, 2019 3:29pm
why has euro been going down against the USD for the past 5 days? There has been no negative news of that sort in Europe... then why??
  • #86,374
  • May 17, 2019 3:43pm May 17, 2019 3:43pm
Quoting ehsanji
why has euro been going down against the USD for the past 5 days? There has been no negative news of that sort in Europe... then why??
good news for USD?
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86,375
  • May 17, 2019 3:46pm May 17, 2019 3:46pm
Quoting LCForex
I am in a indecision point in short term! EU 1h. Cheers! {image}
Updated!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 208 KB
Don't believe me just watch!
  • #86,376
  • May 17, 2019 3:46pm May 17, 2019 3:46pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} good news for USD?
You mean USD has been having some good news?
  • #86,377
  • May 17, 2019 4:11pm May 17, 2019 4:11pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Seems no options spike. First trade for the day: short 1.1172. SL above yesterday's high. TP: Open.
Closed this trade at 1.1158. That's 13.70 X 3 pips. Happy Weekend to all and to Ata for his very helpful charts.
  • #86,378
  • May 17, 2019 4:16pm May 17, 2019 4:16pm
Is it possible to see 1.05 ish in coming weeks fundamentally? its showing possibility on the chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #86,379
  • May 17, 2019 4:22pm May 17, 2019 4:22pm
Quoting ehsanji
{quote} You mean USD has been having some good news?
Yeah... are you not watching the frontpage of forexfactory (calendar of events - Actual/Forecast)...
Not saying those are the only reasons, but they didn't help either
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86,380
  • May 17, 2019 5:57pm May 17, 2019 5:57pm
Just doing an analysis on the daily chart for a likely scenario next week, based on the attraction of the value line (dotted) most likely we would see 1.1120. If the force be strong with this pair we could see that happen by Monday but worst case by Thursday if the bulls be adamant during the first few day(s) of the week.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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