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The Swamp

  • #34,221
  • Apr 30, 2019 8:34am Apr 30, 2019 8:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Euro banks close tomorrow.. only US banks traders and FOMC...
Gotta run GL today
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,222
  • Apr 30, 2019 9:36am Apr 30, 2019 9:36am
Quoting Boulder
Just heads up.. . on May 15, even bigger SOMA coming up, $38 billion redemption...
I was wrong for May 15, only $9.9 billion SOMA that day
  • #34,223
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:01am Apr 30, 2019 10:01am
still holding
https://charts.mql5.com/21/102/eurus...arkets-pty.png
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #34,224
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:14am Apr 30, 2019 10:14am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I was wrong for May 15, only $9.9 billion SOMA that day
No, it's $38.5B.
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/s...en_accholdings (click on T-Notes and T-Bonds tab)
  • #34,225
  • Edited 1:18pm Apr 30, 2019 12:09pm | Edited 1:18pm
Quoting priceaction1
still holding {image}
close all.
start 10-4 2019
Leverage: 1:50


Gross Profit:5 100.08 Gross Loss:381.00 Total Net Profit:4 719.08


Profit Factor:13.39 Absolute Drawdown:209.00 Maximal Drawdown:235.00 (4.68%)

Relative Drawdown:4.68% (235.00)

Total Trades:19 Short Positions (won %):9 (77.78%) Long Positions (won %):10 (90.00%)

Profit Trades (% of total):16 (84.21%) Loss trades (% of total):3 (15.79%)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DetailedStatement.gif Size: 5 KB
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #34,226
  • Apr 30, 2019 2:06pm Apr 30, 2019 2:06pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I was wrong for May 15, only $9.9 billion SOMA that day
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,227
  • Apr 30, 2019 2:15pm Apr 30, 2019 2:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}
what is that sign for?
Lol, I was not clear before, Par value is $38.5 billions, impact on liquidity is $9.9 billion,
the impact is what I am looking for...
  • #34,228
  • Apr 30, 2019 2:35pm Apr 30, 2019 2:35pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} what is that sign for? Lol, I was not clear before, Par value is $38.5 billions, impact on liquidity is $9.9 billion, the impact is what I am looking for...
🏝
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,229
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:48pm Apr 30, 2019 10:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The one hour closed below 1205. Not a four hour or a day. But it may mean something. If below day it is probably rejection normally. But today is a month close, that makes things different.
Day bears couldn't stay below 1145.9 to close the month. But yesterday didnt close above the smaller day 1231. The 4h is even higher at 1239.. Still bearish, but may test 1315/142x since it was unable. to conquer with close day 1231+, or month -1145.9. A 4h close under 1203 should send it down, if it happens today. If it closes today below 1203, if should be earish. A new month with the week and day still bearish on a month miss. Still bearish with possible bounces.. Weak R today at 1231/32 .. and some more at 1255 and 1316.. month close wasn't below 1209 either. Atm stuck under 1232 and above 1109 and 1145 for day.. or the smaller 1205/12032.. week wise, below 1255 and 1316 was/is still bearish. not closing month below 1145 may force a test. day 1232 is in the way.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,230
  • Apr 30, 2019 11:11pm Apr 30, 2019 11:11pm
some translation, if pa does break above 1232 day #. The week # at 1255 may force it down. The day would be swimming upstream. It can do this a while off 1145.9 reaction. It can break 1255 and 1316. Or it can slip back below 1205 then 1203. To start the 1145 process over many times. Till next try of a month close.
Strong bulls should have taken 1232 plus yesterday. Even a weak bull should be able to hold the 4h at 1203.. so far the 4h bull is struggling with a +1222 close. A fresh 1h close below 1215.. could pull humpty off the wall. Forcing a -1203 4h close and so forth.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,231
  • Apr 30, 2019 11:20pm Apr 30, 2019 11:20pm
-1215 on a h first
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 41 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,232
  • Apr 30, 2019 11:25pm Apr 30, 2019 11:25pm
not so aggressive should be 1169. 4h close below 1203 helps.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,233
  • May 1, 2019 12:01am May 1, 2019 12:01am
Quoting gatorinla
some translation, if pa does break above 1232 day #. The week # at 1255 may force it down. The day would be swimming upstream. It can do this a while off 1145.9 reaction. It can break 1255 and 1316. Or it can slip back below 1205 then 1203. To start the 1145 process over many times. Till next try of a month close. Strong bulls should have taken 1232 plus yesterday. Even a weak bull should be able to hold the 4h at 1203.. so far the 4h bull is struggling with a +1222 close. A fresh 1h close below 1215.. could pull humpty off the wall. Forcing a -1203...
no 1222+ close or -1215 close last h.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 30 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,234
  • May 1, 2019 12:48am May 1, 2019 12:48am
Anybody else having problems logging into Oanda desktop? It keeps rejecting as pass invalid...wtf
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #34,235
  • May 1, 2019 12:50am May 1, 2019 12:50am
Quoting JustAndy
Anybody else having problems logging into Oanda desktop? It keeps rejecting as pass invalid...wtf
Just post your password I'll try logging in for you !
  • #34,236
  • May 1, 2019 1:01am May 1, 2019 1:01am
Quoting gatorinla
some translation, if pa does break above 1232 day #. The week # at 1255 may force it down. The day would be swimming upstream. It can do this a while off 1145.9 reaction. It can break 1255 and 1316. Or it can slip back below 1205 then 1203. To start the 1145 process over many times. Till next try of a month close. Strong bulls should have taken 1232 plus yesterday. Even a weak bull should be able to hold the 4h at 1203.. so far the 4h bull is struggling with a +1222 close. A fresh 1h close below 1215.. could pull humpty off the wall. Forcing a -1203...
4h closes next h (60 minutes).. above 1222 is positive for bulls to challenge 1232. below 1203 for bears and 1169.. atm pa sits at 1227.5
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,237
  • May 1, 2019 1:05am May 1, 2019 1:05am
just woke up.. scalp a short here 1228
  • #34,238
  • May 1, 2019 1:09am May 1, 2019 1:09am
FOMC day.. next to print 1240/42 or 1207...

WP R3 ----------1.1323
MP R1 ----------1.1299
WP R2 ----------1.1266
RU R3 ----------1.1266
FP R3 ----------1.1261
RU R2 ----------1.1242
FP R2 ----------1.1240
WP R1 ----------1.1230
FP R1 ----------1.1227
RU R1 ----------1.1227
MP PP ----------1.1218
FP PP ----------1.1207
RU S1 ----------1.1198
FP S1 ----------1.1186
RU S2 ----------1.1183
FP S2 ----------1.1173
WP PP ----------1.1173
RU S3 ----------1.1159
FP S3 ----------1.1153
MP S1 ----------1.1137
WP S1 ----------1.1116
  • #34,239
  • May 1, 2019 1:21am May 1, 2019 1:21am
Quoting Boulder
just woke up.. scalp a short here 1228
so this is your breakfast
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #34,240
  • May 1, 2019 1:23am May 1, 2019 1:23am
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} so this is your breakfast
lol,, need to make some green pips for breakfast..
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