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The Swamp

  • #34,201
  • Edited 6:39am Apr 30, 2019 6:10am | Edited 6:39am
Quoting gatorinla
1h 100 ema at 1225 6h at 1228 month close at 1231. stop hit after these. {image}
The 100 pip who’re Eu rides again. Month low +100=1215+100=1315. Month and quarterly close at 1231. Not at my charts. Close above 1231 today will give 1315+ better odds. Big levels here 1145 1209 even the lesser q level at 1231. GL;;;;
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,202
  • Apr 30, 2019 6:33am Apr 30, 2019 6:33am
If you go to day chart using a Bolinger band. Mid resistance around 123x. It may drop some there, then retrace below 1215. The bb and 1331 are near. From there day wise, closing below 1209 is likely a rejection. Lots of time to trade after month closes. Lots of heartache guessing wrong before . Guessing is what’s happening now with these big numbers in play. U can’t “dig into” a bias. Ideally to be , u want month to close below 1145. If not pa could range for months
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,203
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:03am Apr 30, 2019 7:03am
Can anyone post the day Bullinger band mid level On default settings.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,204
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:06am Apr 30, 2019 7:06am
1.12189, settings 20 days, 2, 2 as were the defaults
  • #34,205
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:07am Apr 30, 2019 7:07am
Quoting gatorinla
Can anyone post the day Bullinger band mid level On default settings.
1.1232 using Oanda
  • #34,206
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:12am Apr 30, 2019 7:12am
Quoting Boulder
4/30/2019 Month end rebalancing, BIG SOMA. we will have big moves up and down today... good luck... next to print 1200 or 1173 WP R1 ----------1.1230 RU R3 ----------1.1223 FP R3 ----------1.1217 RU R2 ----------1.1205 FP R2 ----------1.1200 RU R1 ----------1.1193 FP R1 ----------1.1189 MP S1 ----------1.1177 FP PP ----------1.1173 WP PP ----------1.1173 RU S1 ----------1.1170 RU S2 ----------1.1159 FP S1 ----------1.1156 FP S2 ----------1.1145 RU S3 ----------1.1140
SOMA coming up , lets see how far this time can push down eur/usd

levels printed so far

WP R1 ----------1.1230
RU R3 ----------1.1223
FP R3 ----------1.1217
RU R2 ----------1.1205
FP R2 ----------1.1200
RU R1 ----------1.1193
FP R1 ----------1.1189
MP S1 ----------1.1177
FP PP ----------1.1173
WP PP ----------1.1173
RU S1 ----------1.1170
  • #34,207
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:14am Apr 30, 2019 7:14am
Quoting gatorinla
Can anyone post the day Bullinger band mid level On default settings.
It's at 1.1232 using XM
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20190430_201003.jpg Size: 353 KB
  • #34,208
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:22am Apr 30, 2019 7:22am
Ah, my default was ema. I assume yours are sma, now it is at 1.12372
  • #34,209
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:24am Apr 30, 2019 7:24am
Thanks all. See if it drops there to below 1205 .It doesn’t matter much till month closes. Bb and q line up
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,210
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:42am Apr 30, 2019 7:42am
4 h coming shortly. Rejection on day would usually bring it below 1205. 1205 floats. I didn’t check yesterday’s number. It may be less than 1205 to reject. It still means little today. Just a little bias. Since month and bb are 123x. I was hoping for a clue. Since pa is not above 1231;;;;;;;; maybe the next 4h
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,211
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:52am Apr 30, 2019 7:52am
Quoting gatorinla
4 h coming shortly. Rejection on day would usually bring it below 1205. 1205 floats. I didn’t check yesterday’s number. It may be less than 1205 to reject. It still means little today. Just a little bias. Since month and bb are 123x. I was hoping for a clue. Since pa is not above 1231;;;;;;;; maybe the next 4h
Are you on your way to FL?...I wonder you can watch LC today?
  • #34,212
  • Apr 30, 2019 7:54am Apr 30, 2019 7:54am
Just heads up.. . on May 15, even bigger SOMA coming up, $38 billion redemption...
  • #34,213
  • Apr 30, 2019 8:10am Apr 30, 2019 8:10am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Crab - Bullish.jpg Size: 26 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, H4.jpg Size: 139 KB
Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #34,214
  • Apr 30, 2019 8:14am Apr 30, 2019 8:14am
Took another short E/U at 1.1224, looking for 1.1146 and under...
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #34,215
  • Apr 30, 2019 8:36am Apr 30, 2019 8:36am
SOMA time usually happen during these periods,, .. good luck... ..

CET: 14:30 to 17:15
9:30am -12:15pm eastern
8:30am -11:15am central
7:30am-10:15am mountain
  • #34,216
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:06am Apr 30, 2019 10:06am
Quoting gatorinla
4 h coming shortly. Rejection on day would usually bring it below 1205. 1205 floats. I didn’t check yesterday’s number. It may be less than 1205 to reject. It still means little today. Just a little bias. Since month and bb are 123x. I was hoping for a clue. Since pa is not above 1231;;;;;;;; maybe the next 4h
The one hour closed below 1205. Not a four hour or a day. But it may mean something. If below day it is probably rejection normally. But today is a month close, that makes things different.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,217
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:10am Apr 30, 2019 10:10am
Bears can make a statement today, by closing under 1145.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,218
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:10am Apr 30, 2019 10:10am
Quoting Boulder
SOMA time usually happen during these periods,, .. good luck... .. CET: 14:30 to 17:15 9:30am -12:15pm eastern 8:30am -11:15am central 7:30am-10:15am mountain
30 pips soma so far,,,
  • #34,219
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:27am Apr 30, 2019 10:27am
Quoting Boulder
Just heads up.. . on May 15, even bigger SOMA coming up, $38 billion redemption...
30 pips this time for $28 billion.. just note for me..on May 15, factor in 30 pips more drop on that day
  • #34,220
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:29am Apr 30, 2019 10:29am
Quoting gatorinla
Bears can make a statement today, by closing under 1145.
Euro banks close tomorrow.. only US banks traders and FOMC...
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