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  • #84,281
  • Apr 25, 2019 4:47am Apr 25, 2019 4:47am
hmmmm lower low on M15 with lower volume. If this current M15 candle is also the same a slight retracement might be on the way soon.

Edit: if this M15 candle is bullish but with weaker volume then we might just see a continuation.
  • #84,282
  • Apr 25, 2019 4:48am Apr 25, 2019 4:48am
retail guys. whatever you do. don't be long now. Its better to miss a few potential pips than get wiped out. we're on a "structural move" from a bearish pattern that started in April 2018 and may well reach lows of 1.04 in the next 3 months before a bounce back up to 1.13.

Don't be the guy that went long in March 2018 at 1.24...
  • #84,283
  • Apr 25, 2019 4:56am Apr 25, 2019 4:56am
Quoting Oc6oph
I think we’re going down a bit more
are you buying? what does a bit mean?
(⊙.⊙(◉̃_᷅◉)⊙.⊙)

i think its bearish...
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  • #84,284
  • Apr 25, 2019 4:59am Apr 25, 2019 4:59am
Quoting tatianah
{quote} are you buying? what does a bit mean? (⊙.⊙(◉̃_᷅◉)⊙.⊙) i think its bearish... {image}
I had been buying. I’d guess if it doesn’t go up here it’s probably going to 1.1000 or maybe 1.0900. I normally buy these massive drops
ex nihilo
  • #84,285
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:02am Apr 25, 2019 5:02am
Quoting Mystskull
hmmmm lower low on M15 with lower volume. If this current M15 candle is also the same a slight retracement might be on the way soon. Edit: if this M15 candle is bullish but with weaker volume then we might just see a continuation.
I want to buy, bear candles with decreasing volumes and bull candle with increasing and nearly equal volume to last bear candle, but just too scared to go long hahah
  • #84,286
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:04am Apr 25, 2019 5:04am
Quoting hayder
retail guys. whatever you do. don't be long now. Its better to miss a few potential pips than get wiped out. we're on a "structural move" from a bearish pattern that started in April 2018 and may well reach lows of 1.04 in the next 3 months before a bounce back up to 1.13. Don't be the guy that went long in March 2018 at 1.24...
HI,
i will be the guy that bought at 1.1163
If you don't know how to earn money, don't loose it.
  • #84,287
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:07am Apr 25, 2019 5:07am
Quoting coolmakina
{quote} HI, i will be the guy that bought at 1.1163
i mean 1.1136
If you don't know how to earn money, don't loose it.
  • #84,288
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:16am Apr 25, 2019 5:16am
Quoting Mystskull
{quote} I want to buy, bear candles with decreasing volumes and bull candle with increasing and nearly equal volume to last bear candle, but just too scared to go long hahah
Sometimes i should just trust my own analysis...
  • #84,289
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:24am Apr 25, 2019 5:24am
Quoting hayder
retail guys. whatever you do. don't be long now. Its better to miss a few potential pips than get wiped out. we're on a "structural move" from a bearish pattern that started in April 2018 and may well reach lows of 1.04 in the next 3 months before a bounce back up to 1.13. Don't be the guy that went long in March 2018 at 1.24...
Used to be long.....till this morning. Took a few bad losses but all within the plan. Looking at the Monthly on EUR, we might actually just see 1.03 before the end of the year, so pro short now....till around OCT 2018. Let's see.
  • #84,290
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:26am Apr 25, 2019 5:26am
Quoting Oc6oph
{quote} I had been buying. I’d guess if it doesn’t go up here it’s probably going to 1.1000 or maybe 1.0900. I normally buy these massive drops
ok, on small lots?
  • #84,291
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:26am Apr 25, 2019 5:26am
Hoping to take a quick short to 1.1120 as long as 1.1150 doesn't prove to be a stubborn magnet.
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  • #84,292
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:27am Apr 25, 2019 5:27am
Quoting coolmakina
{quote} i mean 1.1136
we've already touched 1.1129 today. the daily trend is clear, and the trend whatever period you look at (going back 5+ years) is now all bearish.

Yes there could be a bounce. and you may miss it. Its probably better to miss a 20% chance of a few pips IMHO than risk being long in a structural down move.
  • #84,293
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:29am Apr 25, 2019 5:29am
Hazarding a guess that many on this thread are looking at the lower timeframes - I certainly do. But then one also can take a look at the more historic view on the weekly too - especially at times when significant S/R levels are tested and broken. On a pattern basis I'm not seeing a run to 'parity' - though that could always happen due to some 'black swan' event. A descending wedge is in play IMO.
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  • #84,294
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:30am Apr 25, 2019 5:30am
Quoting tatianah
{quote} ok, on small lots?
0 lots running long I’m short but feels risky
ex nihilo
  • #84,295
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:38am Apr 25, 2019 5:38am
#gann just a reminder the years low should be the years exact mid way point and #gann already told us the price level it should be at ... path to get there always more tricky needless to say but still heading unerringly to that level as given on twitter at beginning of the current year ... not too much downside to go in coming minutes and months
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twitter: @gettoefl
  • #84,296
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:53am Apr 25, 2019 5:53am
Quoting Traderview
Does anyone see 1.1076 ?
Yes - but not before US GDP... depending on the data, it will either bounce or you will get your target before the weekend
  • #84,297
  • Apr 25, 2019 5:59am Apr 25, 2019 5:59am
Quoting gettoefl
#gann just a reminder the years low should be the years exact mid way point and #gann already told us the price level it should be at ... path to get there always more tricky needless to say but still heading unerringly to that level as given on twitter at beginning of the current year ... not too much downside to go in coming minutes and months {image}
The thing is, the down side is not even started yet..
It will start at the break of 1.04000

Only then will a lot of people realize that the whole triple bottom rise on the monthly was nothing but normal retracement in a BEAR WAVE..
Nothing hectic, all is by the book.

until then, let's all stay safe
  • #84,298
  • Apr 25, 2019 6:04am Apr 25, 2019 6:04am
Quoting hayder
{quote} we've already touched 1.1129 today. the daily trend is clear, and the trend whatever period you look at (going back 5+ years) is now all bearish. Yes there could be a bounce. and you may miss it. Its probably better to miss a 20% chance of a few pips IMHO than risk being long in a structural down move.
Downtrend is as clear as sun, right, it has been going down for a year now. But nobody knows if before touching 1.10 or so it will have a bounch back to 1.13 or higher.
As it was previously highlighted by others, if you look at the daily charts you notice these regular bounces after every new low. I'm not saying we should go long or short, just pointing out again that this is a downtrend ok, but nobody knows when/if the bounce will happen and most of all if it will be 20 pips or 200, before falling down and down.
What we have been saying since yesterday could be applied to all those local lows in the daily charts, before spiking up.
I dont think that those who went short in those bottoms managed to keep their trades until know, through the bounces
  • #84,299
  • Apr 25, 2019 6:08am Apr 25, 2019 6:08am
Intraday Based Scalp..

New Buy Order: 1.1132
Lot: x/2
SL: 22 pips
TP: Open

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #84,300
  • Apr 25, 2019 6:13am Apr 25, 2019 6:13am
Quoting JayBag
{quote} The thing is, the down side is not even started yet.. It will start at the break of 1.04000 Only then will a lot of people realize that the whole triple bottom rise on the monthly was nothing but normal retracement in a BEAR WAVE.. Nothing hectic, all is by the book. until then, let's all stay safe
for those into wave stuff the dollar index is approaching a generational low with this huge ending diagonal culminating in the coming few years ... when this hit bottoms #gann has #eurusd likely above 2:1 vs dollar ... so for #gann the mid 2019 low will be the low for a long while to come ... as always time should reveal
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twitter: @gettoefl
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