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  • #29,141
  • Apr 19, 2019 3:51am Apr 19, 2019 3:51am
Hi guys
Do your calendar analyses this weekend.Should be another profitable week and frankly I don't give myself an option not to be profitable
At Pivots making money is a habit!
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #29,142
  • Apr 19, 2019 3:58am Apr 19, 2019 3:58am
this month so far..
Thank you Davit
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  • #29,143
  • Apr 19, 2019 4:20am Apr 19, 2019 4:20am
I have to work hard ... I could go further.
Small NJ long, EN short left open for next week.
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Discipline and winning attitude
  • #29,144
  • Apr 19, 2019 4:30am Apr 19, 2019 4:30am
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  • #29,145
  • Apr 19, 2019 5:20am Apr 19, 2019 5:20am
Reach my target , take my money and lets grow this remain credit from bonus point run into 1k again
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Stay low, Go fast - No luck, All skill
  • #29,146
  • Edited Apr 20, 2019 6:25am Apr 19, 2019 11:10am | Edited Apr 20, 2019 6:25am
my considerations about next week events - Under construction


Tue Apr 23


Tue Apr 23 21:30 AUD CPI q/q (RED =< 0.2% // green > 0.3) 0.2% 0.5%
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI q/q 0.4% 0.4%

Australian inflation data: Tuesday, 21:30. The land down under releases inflation data only once per quarter, making every publication more meaningful. The Reserve Bank of Australia recently went dovish and the data will serve as a considerable input towards the next rate move. Headline Consumer Price Index rose by 0.5% in Q4 2018. The Trimmed Mean CPI lagged with 0.4%.
one of the tools to stimulate consumption and avoid the recession as inflation is too low is to cut interest rates.
we expect that these numbers will be less than 0.5%, but we should see RED only if numbers are between 0.2% or 0.1%, while we will see GREEN if numbers are between 0.3% or 0.4%

sentiment of the market. BEARISH!!, why?
you, like me, must agree with one of the best market analyzes we have here in that theread, made by Gmo. (thank you !!)

Refer last week’s Calendar comments.
AUDUSD: Daily - finished week with Tower Top? NO
Weekly – Bearish Harami?? YES
Close below WP : YES
– continued weakness? YES


Wed Apr 24


Wed Apr 24 10:00 CAD BOC Monetary Policy Report
CAD BOC Rate Statement
CAD Overnight Rate 1.75% 1.75%
11:15 CAD BOC Press Conference
Tentative JPY BOJ Outlook Report
Tentative JPY Monetary Policy Statement

Canadian rate decision: Wednesday, 10:00. The Bank of Canada recently made a dovish tilt, following the lead of other central banks. Officials see a potential of growth without inflation. In addition, the fresh BOC Business Survey showed a deterioration in economic conditions. The BOC is not expected to cut interest rates at this juncture, but in my view, if they keep the same rate in 1.75%, we should see the same drop that occurred with AUD and NZD, although the market has already built this into prices;


Thu Apr 25



Thu Apr 25
Tentative JPY BOJ Press Conference
Japan rate decision: Thursday, early in the day. The Bank of Japan remains the most dovish central bank in the developed world despite a dovish tilt from quite a few central banks. The BOJ is due to leave the interest rate at -0.10% and pledge to hold down the long-term interest rate, by targeting a low 10-year yield. BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will hold a press conference at the wake of the European session to explain the decision.


8:30 USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.2% -0.1%

US Durable Goods Orders: Thursday, 8:30. Orders of durable goods serve as an excellent gauge of investment and are closely watched by the Federal Reserve. The report is for March and serves as input towards the GDP data on the following day. In February, headline orders dropped by 1.6%, but core orders rose by 0.1%. The headline tends to be volatile. Markets are hoping for increases this time.


Fri Apr 26


Fri Apr 26
8:30 USD Advance GDP q/q 2.2% 2.2%

US GDP: Friday, 8:30. The first release of US GDP tends to provide the broadest surprise and the most significant market impact. The US economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.2% in Q4 2018, beating other developed economies. The first quarter of 2019 likely saw slower growth, partly due to the government shutdown. But how much did the economy slow down? Note that expectations may shift in the last minute due to the durables report.
  • #29,147
  • Apr 19, 2019 11:11am Apr 19, 2019 11:11am
Hello everyone.

NU in with 2 position, i will carry for the next week. The Reaction over the W100 was really good.
I'm outside so i can't post the screen currently ! Please have nice week-end and holiday too !
Don't be delicated, be vast and brilliant ! [Brent Smith]
  • #29,148
  • Apr 19, 2019 11:20am Apr 19, 2019 11:20am
Quoting Hyperfire
Hello everyone. NU in with 2 position, i will carry for the next week. The Reaction over the W100 was really good. I'm outside so i can't post the screen currently ! Please have nice week-end and holiday too !
W100 today,
after tomorrow, near W pivot.
  • #29,149
  • Apr 19, 2019 11:27am Apr 19, 2019 11:27am
Quoting Hyperfire
Hello everyone. NU in with 2 position, i will carry for the next week. The Reaction over the W100 was really good. I'm outside so i can't post the screen currently ! Please have nice week-end and holiday too !
You don't sell USD end of holiday week. Fees and not smart.You don't know once market opens how it will act.NU could tank lower.
Its a rookie mistake learn from it.

Trading is not hard what's hard controlling your urges,impulses,overreactions,overestimations,fears and greed.
Market is either goes up or down.Its neutral.
I would say trading successfully you must develop yourself 1st.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #29,150
  • Apr 19, 2019 11:59am Apr 19, 2019 11:59am
Quoting Davit
{quote} You don't sell USD end of holiday week. Fees and not smart.You don't know once market opens how it will act.NU could tank lower. Its a rookie mistake learn from it. Trading is not hard what's hard controlling your urges,impulses,overreactions,overestimations,fears and greed. Market is either goes up or down.Its neutral. I would say trading successfully you must develop yourself 1st.
Hello everyone and Davit.

Thankyou, following your suggestion i'll close my current 2 position with insignificant losses -1,61 EUR.
We will get back over monday.

Take care.
Don't be delicated, be vast and brilliant ! [Brent Smith]
  • #29,151
  • Apr 19, 2019 12:27pm Apr 19, 2019 12:27pm
Quoting Hyperfire
{quote} Hello everyone and Davit. Thankyou, following your suggestion i'll close my current 2 position with insignificant losses -1,61 EUR. We will get back over monday. Take care.
You probably would of end up paying more fees just for holding it.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #29,152
  • Apr 19, 2019 12:28pm Apr 19, 2019 12:28pm
Quoting Paolino
I have to work hard ... I could go further. Small NJ long, EN short left open for next week. {image}
Just curious why all your trades are Euro pairs
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #29,153
  • Apr 20, 2019 2:13am Apr 20, 2019 2:13am
Quoting Davit
{quote} Just curious why all your trades are Euro pairs

I didn’t noticed till now.
There’s not a specific reason, except for EG, only short, which I usually prefer to other pair like GC, GA long (prohibitive swap-) for better rebound when confirmed by EUR weakness against USD and good GBP data printed on Thursday.
Discipline and winning attitude
  • #29,154
  • Apr 20, 2019 2:24am Apr 20, 2019 2:24am
Quoting Paolino
{quote} I didn’t noticed till now. There’s not a specific reason, except for EG, only short, which I usually prefer to other pair like GC, GA long (prohibitive swap-) for better rebound when confirmed by EUR weakness against USD and good GBP data printed on Thursday.
I wanted to know if you were not blocking AUD ,CAD,NZD pairs which are some of the best
I guess was not the case....
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #29,155
  • Apr 20, 2019 2:43am Apr 20, 2019 2:43am
It is not wise to hold too many trades open on specific currency. I mean if you're holding four or more different euro pairs or any other currency pairs open at the same time, it's that you are over exposed. In case of some flash move it can hurt you bad.
  • #29,156
  • Apr 20, 2019 4:14am Apr 20, 2019 4:14am
Quoting 1pipperhour
It is not wise to hold too many trades open on specific currency. I mean if you're holding four or more different euro pairs or any other currency pairs open at the same time, it's that you are over exposed. In case of some flash move it can hurt you bad.
Yep too many correlations
  • #29,157
  • Apr 20, 2019 4:16am Apr 20, 2019 4:16am
Quoting ppxdf
{quote} You, me and all of us need to have our own calendar of events. You can look for it in the economic news, in the previous reports, tweets, talks, it does not matter. You apply or not in your trades at your own risk. I post it here for the purpose of discussing my plan, my calendar with your plan and your idea. Then you and me, we are going to have the chance to have a better consolidated plan. But it's important that you have your own idea, so you have something that can be improved This is individual. One thing is bad when you have a good...
Thanks mate.
  • #29,158
  • Apr 20, 2019 5:24am Apr 20, 2019 5:24am
My Calendar Analysis April 22 to 26
Essentially complete but more may be added?
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf My Calendar Analysis April 21 to 26.pdf   144 KB | 622 downloads
  • #29,159
  • Apr 20, 2019 11:10am Apr 20, 2019 11:10am
Just played a beautiful game.White me.
Mate is obvious after last pic
Black moves were all forced.
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In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #29,160
  • Apr 20, 2019 12:28pm Apr 20, 2019 12:28pm
My Calendar Analysis for the week 04-21-2019.
To be added later for EUR pairs.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Forex Calendar Analysis 04-21-2019.pdf   183 KB | 649 downloads
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