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The Swamp

  • #33,561
  • Apr 17, 2019 8:32am Apr 17, 2019 8:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the last 2 1h candles looks like pa touched a hot stove with its feet. 4h looks bearish
.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,562
  • Apr 17, 2019 8:35am Apr 17, 2019 8:35am
Quoting gatorinla
bears atm unable to take 1289, yesterday's LC. 20 min to go. {image}
LC was above 1289
Tuesday engulfed Monday's doji.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,563
  • Apr 17, 2019 8:46am Apr 17, 2019 8:46am
Not much to do...
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  • #33,564
  • Apr 17, 2019 8:52am Apr 17, 2019 8:52am
big move is coming for dollar..

got to watch the video... hotel comment is so cute

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-in-the-dollar
  • #33,565
  • Apr 17, 2019 8:53am Apr 17, 2019 8:53am
Quoting edyraper
Not much to do... {image}
that is unusual coming from you...
  • #33,566
  • Apr 17, 2019 8:58am Apr 17, 2019 8:58am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} that is unusual coming from you...
what is the unusual part?
  • #33,567
  • Apr 17, 2019 9:00am Apr 17, 2019 9:00am
Quoting Boulder
big move is coming for dollar.. got to watch the video... hotel comment is so cute https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-in-the-dollar

Fed policy is changing course. “The Fed is evolving to a ‘whites-of-the-eyes’ approach in terms of inflation’’ under which it won’t hike rates until price rises accelerate, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities LLC.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #33,568
  • Apr 17, 2019 9:01am Apr 17, 2019 9:01am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} what is the unusual part?
not much to do part
  • #33,569
  • Apr 17, 2019 9:01am Apr 17, 2019 9:01am
Quoting Boulder
cashed out last night shorts when it fell.. shorted here again at 1298 and 1304...
closed 1304 at 1295..
  • #33,570
  • Apr 17, 2019 9:05am Apr 17, 2019 9:05am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} not much to do part
Ah
Meant in EU
Having 40ish trades running, some red some blue some gray
  • #33,571
  • Apr 17, 2019 9:09am Apr 17, 2019 9:09am
Quoting longfellow
{quote} Fed policy is changing course. “The Fed is evolving to a ‘whites-of-the-eyes’ approach in terms of inflation’’ under which it won’t hike rates until price rises accelerate, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities LLC.
one thing about analist, especially from big banks. You will read news saying they are short or long. What they dont say is, they may have hundreds of analist/traders . Each trader for the bank is trading his/her own book. Like in 2008 Goldman analyst were calling for 200 a barrel oil. While most of their traders were selling. Their analist were calling for buying, screwing their clients. The same with gold etc..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,572
  • Apr 17, 2019 9:28am Apr 17, 2019 9:28am
bbl
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,573
  • Apr 17, 2019 9:28am Apr 17, 2019 9:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} one thing about analist, especially from big banks. You will read news saying they are short or long. What they dont say is, they may have hundreds of analist/traders . Each trader for the bank is trading his/her own book. Like in 2008 Goldman analyst were calling for 200 a barrel oil. While most of their traders were selling. Their analist were calling for buying, screwing their clients. The same with gold etc..
Good point. I think I'll believe it when I see it.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #33,574
  • Apr 17, 2019 10:01am Apr 17, 2019 10:01am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} yes. Our schools all shut down ...
she was found dead.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,575
  • Apr 17, 2019 10:10am Apr 17, 2019 10:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} she was found dead.
wow...
  • #33,576
  • Apr 17, 2019 11:11am Apr 17, 2019 11:11am
Quoting swing 123
{quote} Well done bears so far...bulls if dont breakout today then a green close today and we shall have a breakout tomorrow...GL
Better close above 1297....GL
  • #33,577
  • Apr 17, 2019 11:24am Apr 17, 2019 11:24am
Quoting Amir_Forex
I Smell Flying
Yes... might be. But the real lift off will be later in some 4-6 month. Look at the article about dollar volatility... the low volatility phase in 1996 and 2014 - both which preceded a USD run - looked different to the one in 2007 and the one that is forming now... In 2007 the USD dropped and the EUR shoot up from 1.20 to 1.36 and above.
A look at the monthly chart will sharpen the perspective...

https://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=910484
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  • #33,578
  • Apr 17, 2019 11:25am Apr 17, 2019 11:25am
Might want to push higher.. 1345 ish and 1360 ish.. above this it could spike through 1.14...

I still keep my shorts and add higher up. Closed the long today cause of swap... may re enter lower down if i get a good entry to continue hedging... waiting for 1175 break.. bearish butterfly still valid up to 1345...

Interesting read otherwise:

https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundam...stanley47.html
  • #33,579
  • Apr 17, 2019 12:43pm Apr 17, 2019 12:43pm
usdx day closing above 97.03 leans bullish off support, but eu needs to be below 1260 on close.. a mixture is inconclusive.

atm usd is at 97.01, the bear side. at the same time usd is above 1260. if this remains true at close. its a good chance 132x eu will be tested, and maybe broken.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,580
  • Apr 17, 2019 12:53pm Apr 17, 2019 12:53pm
it still amazes me how Gator sees these levels far in advance.... we need a break below 1.1270 really to start seeing bear strength - otherwise it can keep going up in this channel
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