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Bronco Capital's ABCD Harmonic Pattern Journal 94 replies

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The Bucking Bronco

  • #101
  • Mar 22, 2019 6:56am Mar 22, 2019 6:56am
Quoting j4d
...Try this one...
@466 Banking again, shorting my DAX. Ready to react
Thanks j4d. Either sound good.
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  • #102
  • Mar 22, 2019 8:30am Mar 22, 2019 8:30am
  • #103
  • Edited 10:43pm Mar 22, 2019 8:46am | Edited 10:43pm
Eyes on 487 if you are in... OODA. It could be tough. At least a retest of the lows. CU.
  • #104
  • Mar 22, 2019 10:43pm Mar 22, 2019 10:43pm
Quoting Jupiter
Eyes on 487 if you are in... OODA. It could be tough. At least a retest of the lows. CU.
At least...
Actually it ended up with a good 160 points down... right to 11320 (clear and evident technical confluence.)
We must understand Market's logic if we want to be successful in this profession.

1° commandement. All we need is on our chart.
  • #105
  • Edited 12:47am Mar 23, 2019 12:20am | Edited 12:47am
Watching my DAX charts (and the day of other traders)
Talking aloud. In conversation with myself.

In the end, we face the eternal question of our individual mind/mindset.
How to form it, how to train ourself for the Trading competition.
As Sunz Tzu teaches: it's all about Preparation & Education... "in our temple".
I often use, as an example, all the matters and contents inherent the Conditional Logic and Control Flow in Computer Science.
I'm referring to the theme of Imperative programming and Declarative programming.

Model.
Specific condition evaluation.
True or False.
Conditional expression application: If... Then... Else/Otherwise.
Switch statements...

Oh. I like this one.
It seems so intelligent and clever.
It seems so complicated and intellectual... it recalls algos and HFT...
and on the contrary it is absolutely simple, stupid!


Thank you, fti. You are genius... and as Gann did, you like to hide. And hide. And hide again.
Like Gann, you are asking for work and commitment: right attitude and dedication.
Is it esoterism, sadism or natural selection?
What we can really get about the Markets' complex reality?
Is Trading for all?


Again: the discussion is open. I'm asking for factual contributions.
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  • #106
  • Edited 7:12am Mar 23, 2019 3:19am | Edited 7:12am
How was my (solitary) day?
I waited fot the price to reach the highs, after the open, to short it.
And I did it.
This is my entry as could be seen on m5 chart.
It was an heavy one... in super tight stop.

The Impulse/Push down was pure crazyness.
I added more positions attacking full force.
I'm still scared by that price action.
I tried to scale out and start banking... impossible!: no quotes, no quotes, no quotes!

So, horrified... fearing a counter spike, I managed to jumped out (stock and barrel) at 11.562 in trailing stop on m1...

In any case was a pure textbook windfall gain: 50points in multiple positions on m1..
But... it is clear what does being without any control mean? What was that feeling for a trader like me?

I had this conversation in real time with some of the readers of these pages.
Now imagine to be in that move but on the wrong side of the market... and you are trying to exit and you press on your mouse...

The discussion is open.
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  • #107
  • Edited 4:24am Mar 23, 2019 3:42am | Edited 4:24am
The rest of my day is visible in the pictures I posted above, talking about music.
After my warning about 487, I stayed out, calm on the sidelines.
Waiting for to the dust to settle down.
My last mission started well beyond the break. LOL

Yes. Sorry, I don't like the pure hindsight exhibition.
But to be precise I always posted some chart or blotter (immediately deleted)
always with some witnesses.
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  • #108
  • Mar 23, 2019 4:11am Mar 23, 2019 4:11am
“The Market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time.” - Jesse Livermore
  • #109
  • Mar 23, 2019 4:13am Mar 23, 2019 4:13am
OK. Now... time for some good readings!

I don't have a "9-5".
I have a "when I open my eyes to when I close my eyes."
  • #110
  • Mar 23, 2019 6:30am Mar 23, 2019 6:30am
Quoting Jupiter
The rest of my day is visible in the pictures I posted above, talking about music. After my warning about 487, I stayed out, calm on the sidelines. Waiting for to the dust to settle down. My last mission started well beyond the break. LOL Yes. Sorry, I don't like the pure hindsight exhibition. But to be precise I always posted some chart or blotter (immediately deleted) always with some witnesses. {image}

you dance smoothly...

just be mindful that a wrong mindset jumping in and out of a trade... "a trigger happy attitude.." stay a bear on a bear feel and do the opposite on bull presence.

before your entry... you should already have scanned the whole picture... the terrain... so when scout is deployed and market proves you right... so deployed the troops in full gear... blazing all your ammos... but what i want to say here is just before you send all your troops, you should already figure out the zone of your exit.... you should already drafted your "conditional expressions... if & what if scenarios...

i'm just saying..

trade well.
Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiam
  • #111
  • Mar 23, 2019 6:49am Mar 23, 2019 6:49am
Quoting dongsky
{quote} you dance smoothly... just be mindful that a wrong mindset jumping in and out of a trade... "a trigger happy attitude.." stay a bear on a bear feel and do the opposite on bull presence. before your entry... you should already have scanned the whole picture... the terrain... so when scout is deployed and market proves you right... so deployed the troops in full gear... blazing all your ammos... but what i want to say here is just before you send all your troops, you should already figure out the zone of your exit.... you should already drafted...
Perfect as always.
In general... as general rule. Splendid advice. It's mine as well. You taught that to me.

In this particular case, actually, the price was bouncing out of a Daily CONFIRMED UP Trendline.
Right on Stable and strong Support after a direct fall of 170 points. (D1 has been posted above)
To me, huge valuable reasons to have a controlled try on the retrace.
(Always if the Trader is able to understand that it is just a retrace to verify! LOL)

Second.
As you perfectly know, in the end, all depends from the trend you are following.
I trade short charts... and I can't say more than that in a public forum.
Gann wrote a lot about those tactics. And fti, too.

Thanks
And more over: thanks again for your suggestion on personal concentration and focus.
  • #112
  • Mar 23, 2019 6:58am Mar 23, 2019 6:58am
Quoting Jupiter
{quote} Perfect as always. In general... as general rule. Splendid advice. It's mine as well. You taught that to me. In this particular case, actually, the price was bouncing out a Daily CONFIRMED UP Trendline. Right on Support after a direct fall of 170 points. To me, huge valuable reasons to have a controlled try on the retrace. (Always if the Trader is able to understand that it is just a retrace to verify! LOL) Second. As you perfectly know, in the end, all depends from the trend you are following. I trade short charts... and I can't say more...

nice one.

managing your positions... in a running battle don't be scared to talk to yourself frequently... ask yourself and don't be afraid, even if sometimes you sound and look silly... this is the only way for you to be feeling the market while dancing her... check and recheck...

part of your modus operandi is scaling in and out... master your skews... don't be too greedy...

dance well...

hey it's weekend... what are you doing here... go and have fun... have a life
Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiam
  • #113
  • Edited 7:21am Mar 23, 2019 7:00am | Edited 7:21am
Quoting dongsky
.. hey it's weekend... what are you doing here... go and have fun... have a life
Second great advice in two days! Love you.

Yep... But what about you and all the others, here?
  • #114
  • Mar 23, 2019 7:26am Mar 23, 2019 7:26am
Quoting Jupiter
How was my (solitary) day? {image}
I have institutional friends who trade under a company structure, their trading has to have guidelines. The risk they trade isn't their own..not really.
This alone has massive implications to your psychological state when trading.. Worse case scenario if you aren't performing you get the sack but you keep
your funds intact and you find another job. When you trade completely on your own terms its a completely different scenario, especially if your trading large
size....Its much, much, more difficult. Some traders I know who did very well under the institutional structure really struggled when they decided to go it alone..

This is a brutal game..

Glad to read you have a clarity and real take on your own findings...

I enjoy your posts J, have a cool weekend - Ja
Memories caught in time but never forgotten
  • #115
  • Mar 23, 2019 7:27am Mar 23, 2019 7:27am
alright my last thought process...

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this will be my attack if i was dancing this lady... (having the benefit of hingsight )

after the lowest swing point, as i did not see any new lower point... then i started to scale out... FIFO...

i normally leave a scout to feel that it will be easy for me to see the whole market structure from its foot prints the next day... except weekends...

ciao!
Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiam
  • #116
  • Edited 8:31am Mar 23, 2019 7:46am | Edited 8:31am
Quoting dongsky
this will be my attack if i was dancing this lady... (having the benefit of hingsight )
Great as always...Under the condition of having the benefit of hindsight, my answer is a big yes!

But...

Unfortunately this is a public forum... unfortunately full of lurkers, invisible and unprepared.
So... that's OK. Even if that but is a huge one.
I already left some hints on TAF... facts that fti noticed and commented.
CU all, next week on the battlefield.
  • #117
  • Edited 9:06am Mar 23, 2019 8:15am | Edited 9:06am
Quoting j4d
{quote} I have institutional friends who trade under a company structure,...
That is interesting!

You are welcome here, jd4.
My home it's your home... and bring some of your good music with you!
  • #118
  • Edited Mar 24, 2019 12:06am Mar 23, 2019 12:09pm | Edited Mar 24, 2019 12:06am
Quoting Jupiter
.. Unfortunately this is a public forum... unfortunately full of lurkers, invisible and unprepared..
A simple and factual answer.
About an early entry testing the S/R or at the first rejection of that S/R....
Yes. An early scouting mission could be always be evaluated in function of a tight stop.
Is the natural purpose and role of scouting operations and is the key of my "frenzy" (OODA) style.
If one is too "sophisticated" in talking about STOPS... so as to prefer a more politically correct lingo
we can safely say that a scout is always expandable!
And I tried a few time on that line! Two valorous men dead!
Mission South was simply postponed with perfect and controlled result.
Light loaded and nimble, I was prepared for all the possibilities.
Matter of style, preferences and dynamics.


LOL... Predicting the past.
Why looking good with the benefit of hindsight is not an option in this business?
Don't ask me! Not my cup of tea.
I'm trying to go beyond the obvious. I'm searching for new perspectives....
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  • #119
  • Edited Mar 24, 2019 2:47am Mar 23, 2019 11:52pm | Edited Mar 24, 2019 2:47am
All deleted because useless. Meditations copied on my personal, private journal.
  • #120
  • Mar 24, 2019 4:29am Mar 24, 2019 4:29am
Quoting Jupiter
“The Market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time.” - Jesse Livermore
Jesse was simply a genius. A tormented one, but surely a genius.
I have finished to study my charts for tomorrow.
And I'm thinking...

“There is no better feeling than having a strong army of cash standing by, waiting to move into action.” - Jesse Livermore
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