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  • #421
  • Feb 24, 2019 3:09pm Feb 24, 2019 3:09pm
Quoting Ll1979
{quote} After the China trade news the European trade war is next in line i guess. China trade deal would indeed be a nice opportunity to short SPX
I think so too. Earnings are done, after the trade deal no more catalyst for a higher market.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #422
  • Feb 24, 2019 3:45pm Feb 24, 2019 3:45pm
Quoting Temujin
{quote} I think so too. Earnings are done, after the trade deal no more catalyst for a higher market.
Trump going abroad soon. How often do you see market tank while he is abroad?
  • #423
  • Mar 3, 2019 11:30am Mar 3, 2019 11:30am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Trump going abroad soon. How often do you see market tank while he is abroad?
Earnings season is done. GDP released at 2.6%. China March 1 deadline extended so no tariffs. Fed set to hike more the 2nd half of the year. S&P is getting way overbought. I think not much more to go past 2,800. 2,850?
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #424
  • Mar 3, 2019 7:46pm Mar 3, 2019 7:46pm
FED don't have to raise, deleveraging of the balance sheet is doing the work for them. Rates (market rates) will continue to rise.
  • #425
  • Mar 7, 2019 3:19pm Mar 7, 2019 3:19pm
not bearish yet, i wouldn't sell just because Draghi confirmed today what the market was expecting...a slowdown in the EU zone
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Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #426
  • Mar 7, 2019 4:10pm Mar 7, 2019 4:10pm
Still made a 3 week low and close today.
  • #427
  • Mar 8, 2019 8:04am Mar 8, 2019 8:04am
Looking for 2700 area?
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persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #428
  • Mar 11, 2019 8:57pm Mar 11, 2019 8:57pm
Do you need a system to lose?

Do you know how natural it is to lose?
Losers can answer this honestly.
Have you ever noticed, how all systems you've tried constantly lose? Or have you ever been through more than 50% of the time losing?
Have you sort of suspected that anything you touch rots instantly? Because there lies an edge in understanding this.
Because you already have an edge... I mean if you're hitting 80% losses— there's consistency there.
Read between the lines: You are a loser. When you understand that you lose non-stop consistently, a sort of humility pushes you to the other ship.
Where everything and all functions become the opposite of what it is.
But keep making those systems to combat uncertainty, and controlling your life. You are perfectly adept at continuing the whole asylum route.

Can you guess how natural winning is? It's as grass grows.
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  • #429
  • Mar 12, 2019 4:30am Mar 12, 2019 4:30am
Here,

I want to use several indexes movement to determine US DOllar bullish or bearish, first: to determine US Dollar bullish is when all indexes decrease at same direction (become negative) in one day so it means US Dollar becomes bullish, second if all indexes increase (CAC, DAX, FTSE, Dow Jones, S&P 500 increase) it means that US Dollar bearish. Third: if not all of index same position (there is positive and negative increasement) it means US Dollar still speculative or mix movement.

Based on three reason, I can give several analysis. Last night all of index become bearish or negative, and US Dollar become bullish, forexample S&P 500 become -1.54%, Nasdaq -1.36%, today FTSE -1.85%, DAX today -3.40%, CAC today -3.58% it means that US Dollar last night and today become bullish.

Besides, I am searching for a correlation sentiment indicator that link all the indices together.
Does this tool exist at this day ?
  • #430
  • Mar 12, 2019 4:55am Mar 12, 2019 4:55am
Quoting lifespirit
Here, I want to use several indexes movement to determine US DOllar bullish or bearish, first: to determine US Dollar bullish is when all indexes decrease at same direction (become negative) in one day so it means US Dollar becomes bullish, second if all indexes increase (CAC, DAX, FTSE, Dow Jones, S&P 500 increase) it means that US Dollar bearish. Third: if not all of index same position (there is positive and negative increasement) it means US Dollar still speculative or mix movement. Based on three reason, I can give several analysis. Last night...
Perhaps the US Dollar Index is an alternative (more info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Dollar_Index)

chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=dxy
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #431
  • Mar 16, 2019 9:28am Mar 16, 2019 9:28am
Quoting Ll1979
{quote} Perhaps the US Dollar Index is an alternative (more info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Dollar_Index) chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=dxy
Very good, inverse correlation. A great indicator.
Another one for you;
https://m.investing.com/quotes/us-dollar-index
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #432
  • Mar 16, 2019 10:08am Mar 16, 2019 10:08am
FerruFX,

I would recommend that you stay away from the ES. Trade the YM (Dow e-mini) instead. It has much better volatility for intraday moves.

You'll get less advantageous reward to risk ratios on the ES vs the YM because it's much choppier in its moves which means you had better have a much higher long-term avg winning pct to compensate. The easiest way to win long-term in intraday futures trading is to have 1.5x+ reward to risk ratios in a 40-60% winning pct range.

On a 1 min chart, there are SO MANY 20+ pt moves on the YM for a max risk of 10 pts which fit a 40-60% chance of success each day...far more than you will be able to mentally / emotionally handle.
  • #433
  • Mar 16, 2019 10:41am Mar 16, 2019 10:41am
Quoting sponge
We have now had volume confimation but nothing is set in stone in this business so cautious if we go below 2817. 2807 remains the decider imo, this level is permanent stick it in your don't forget list
Deja vu

Third attempt to break and hold 2807

3000 next up ?

Resistance 2984.72 ha so close
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #434
  • Mar 16, 2019 11:26am Mar 16, 2019 11:26am
3000 will come, but wait 1st to finish the correction.

Sixer
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  • #435
  • Mar 16, 2019 12:08pm Mar 16, 2019 12:08pm
Sixer

L2 coming in with I3, unless it stretches to I5 and we don't have a M12 inversion? i.e M1 comes early with L 2 and either I3 or I5 and then we get a good retrace. Im thinking I3 is in and we drop now. If not then I will hit it if we drop then rally above I3.

Stall
  • #436
  • Mar 17, 2019 1:50am Mar 17, 2019 1:50am
stallionez,

the frontrunner Dow Jones Transport "shows" the way.

Sixer
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  • #437
  • Mar 19, 2019 9:53pm Mar 19, 2019 9:53pm
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  • #438
  • Mar 24, 2019 10:35am Mar 24, 2019 10:35am
Quoting Swisse
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ylDDs3mdJE {image}
Nice, thank you!

The truth is that last Friday's plunge would have happened no matter what the Fed reported that week.
Available credit has been shrinking because debtors are nearly maxed out. Of course there is going to be slow global growth if everyone from corporations to sovereign governments and the individual consumer is levered to the max and they are.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #439
  • Mar 24, 2019 10:44am Mar 24, 2019 10:44am
Quoting Sixer
stallionez, the frontrunner Dow Jones Transport "shows" the way. Sixer {image}
Looks like we have printed the Black LTD 2 High and now dropping, or are the Black LTD's actually not inversed and we have had an early LTD 3 high as bigger trend is down? If so we could be heading down into June!
  • #440
  • Mar 24, 2019 12:10pm Mar 24, 2019 12:10pm
The Dow Transport is heading further to the downside.

The count of the LTD timeframe has no inversions or a double inversion as shown.

Sixer
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