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EURUSD only

  • #81,461
  • Mar 15, 2019 4:48am Mar 15, 2019 4:48am
BUY
1.1318
SL 8 pips
trgt open
in wondering about yourself, you forgot what you came here to be part of
  • #81,462
  • Edited 7:08am Mar 15, 2019 6:29am | Edited 7:08am
Quoting v2vboni
{quote} D1 TF: HA candles above APB high/low price and APB average price ─ average entry price at 1.13007 ─ TP at 1.13550 ... even though I'm looking at 1.14200 handle under the microscope. ─ SL will be set to BE once +pips reach 10 pips ( for now, a mental stop at 1.12825 ) {image}
IMO: On my TA point of view... I must remain in bullish bias (D1 TF) as I am not buying the waiting game of shorting highs as of post time. Even it looks a bit bearish on weekly for others.. who knows! ; )─

Risk OFF ─ SL+ at 1.13080
Average entry price at 1.13007
TP: Open



Have a nice weekend!!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #81,463
  • Mar 15, 2019 6:57am Mar 15, 2019 6:57am
That paint won't dry!
  • #81,464
  • Edited 7:38am Mar 15, 2019 6:57am | Edited 7:38am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} First read this article: https://www.fxstreet.com/education/o...a-201805101203 ...and then don't worry once you agree with this part: "To sum up, it is quite useful information but it is not really something to make a trading strategy out of." Stay Green

For me, options data is not a must know but sort of good to know or maybe just be aware for extra confluence or confirmation bias (to some ─not a good idea actually).

There are other types of data or information (e.g. COT data, Financial conditions index, valuation charts/reports...etc.) that I believe is useful to incorporate as part of a strategy rather than speculate or theorize before one has data (a capital mistake according to Sherlock Holmes) ; )─ on price direction. Though there is never one report or tool that can give you certainty about where prices are headed in the future. Individually, some of the data may offer a proxy for volume but represent only a small fraction (just like Options data /or Futures data) of the currency market.

But wow! Check out the Options expiries for EURUSD. Should I change my bias from bullish to bearish? ; )──
Attached Image


Then on USD centric in terms of Financial Conditions... (as of 8th March, and updated 13th March)
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  1. When liquidity is tightening, take bearish trades. When liquidity is loosening, take bullish trades (USD centric).
  2. Risk is a coincident indicator, credit is a lagging indicator, and leverage is a leading indicator of financial stress.

On the other hand.. USD pricing-in since December ??? (in terms of bond yields ─ top leading indicator since the onset of USD strength )

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #81,465
  • Mar 15, 2019 7:20am Mar 15, 2019 7:20am
Quoting bigiivan
Obviously there will be a divergence on H4.
...bearish divs or bullish divs?

I saw one.. but bullish divs.
Attached Image
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #81,466
  • Mar 15, 2019 7:40am Mar 15, 2019 7:40am
Quoting v2vboni
{quote} ...bearish divs or bullish divs? I saw one.. but bullish divs. {image}
Sorry! I meant "in progress" - if the price going above previous high.
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  • #81,467
  • Mar 15, 2019 7:45am Mar 15, 2019 7:45am
If 1.1304 breaks I expect more bearish power to join the forces.

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #81,468
  • Mar 15, 2019 7:49am Mar 15, 2019 7:49am
Quoting v2vboni
{quote} IMO: On my TA point of view... I must remain in bullish bias (D1 TF) as I am not buying the waiting game of shorting highs as of post time. Even it looks a bit bearish on weekly for others.. who knows! ; )─ Risk OFF ─ SL+ at 1.13080 Average entry price at 1.13007 TP: Open Have a nice weekend!!! {image}
SL+ filled...

Re-entered buy entry order at 1.13095 (with a bunch of limit orders - multiple smaller lots)
TP: open
SL: will move o BE or SL+ once it gained 10 pips or more... on contrary a mental stop at 1.12775

H4 TF
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_03-14-2019_7.jpg Size: 142 KB
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #81,469
  • Mar 15, 2019 7:59am Mar 15, 2019 7:59am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
If 1.1304 breaks I expect more bearish power to join the forces. Stay Green
I think it won't hold.
Obviously there will be a bar which close below a Green LWMA.
  • #81,470
  • Mar 15, 2019 8:02am Mar 15, 2019 8:02am
Quoting bigiivan
First SELL at 1,1318; SL at 1,1335; No TP. I will open another SELL if it goes above 1,1338.
SL=BE.
First target 1,1294.
The question is: will it break 1,1277 ?
  • #81,471
  • Mar 15, 2019 8:40am Mar 15, 2019 8:40am
Quoting Mystskull
Sell 1.13191 SL at 1.13301 TP at 1.13001 Expect it to test somewhere near the Low of the previous day so i set TP somewhere above it (if it gets close and shows signs of weakness in momentum i might close it early)
It got within 1 pip of my TP but then reversed and took out my BE. Feelsbadman.
  • #81,472
  • Mar 15, 2019 8:55am Mar 15, 2019 8:55am
Sell 1.13307
SL 1.13359
TP 1.13239

Taking advantage of the current momentum weakness for some quick pips hopefully. TP is just above the 38% retracement level (1.13219) where i expect price to bounce off and at least do a retest of the intraday high. Will decide what to do after that.
  • #81,473
  • Mar 15, 2019 9:04am Mar 15, 2019 9:04am
Quoting Mitiblotch
I would have gone short here, but no. I dot like what the retail sentiment is showing me. I have not checked it in a while but decided to do so this morning. Hmm... Seems the up move I expected last night was delayed till Asia and maybe London will spike out these bears before the move down to end the week. I won't buy, but will wait for my short at a higher level. {image}
Hahahaha... thought as much. Now people are shorting into this spike. Let's see if they succeed or we get more highs.
  • #81,474
  • Mar 15, 2019 9:07am Mar 15, 2019 9:07am
Quoting Mystskull
Sell 1.13307 SL 1.13359 TP 1.13239 Taking advantage of the current momentum weakness for some quick pips hopefully. TP is just above the 38% retracement level (1.13219) where i expect price to bounce off and at least do a retest of the intraday high. Will decide what to do after that.
Closed at 1.13254 (which i now see was a smart move) as soon as Stochastic touched oversold i closed it. Though i think that it will head down again for a bit at least wanted to at least secure some pips for the day.
  • #81,475
  • Mar 15, 2019 9:20am Mar 15, 2019 9:20am
Quoting bigiivan
{quote} SL=BE. First target 1,1294. The question is: will it break 1,1277 ?
I will short on Monday depending of MACD divergence on H4.
  • #81,476
  • Mar 15, 2019 9:34am Mar 15, 2019 9:34am
... https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post12118028
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #81,477
  • Mar 15, 2019 9:48am Mar 15, 2019 9:48am
Quoting tahshoon
green day all {image}
art of moving averages
  • #81,478
  • Mar 15, 2019 10:44am Mar 15, 2019 10:44am
Officially short from 1.1340. Waited all day for this price! If I see higher I'll add.
  • #81,479
  • Mar 15, 2019 10:50am Mar 15, 2019 10:50am
All will fly gbp and eur
  • #81,480
  • Mar 15, 2019 10:51am Mar 15, 2019 10:51am
Quoting Wavegarrick
Hi Guys, Eu from a 4 hr perspective. I did get into the flip side of things with London open and opened some sell trades. Something I am not too comfortable with yet. I am currently 25 pips in profit. Once again I would like to see a 4 hourly close below 1.1300 and a daily close below. Also my ascending trend line comes into the mix here and would like to see from 4 hr to a daily close below. Highly unlikely at this point in time, we shall see. Whilst I have one of my 4 hr momentum indicators in oversold conditions I do expect a retrace of the current...
Hi Guys, some buy trades taken on the 15 min t/frame with a stop loss between 10 and 5 pips, a perfect bounce off 1.13000. I know not good to trade this late on a friday, all things considered I am hoping for a weekly close above 1.1350. A tall order I know, but will see from here. My weekly resistance at 1.13457.

Have a good weekend and take care.
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