Oct 17, 2006
PPI
Previous: 0.1%
Estimate: -0.7%
Actual:
Core PPI
Previous: -0.4%
Estimate: 0.2%
Actual:
What do we look for in these numbers to support USD?
I personally think that the -0.7% PPI was due mainly to the lowered Fuel cost last month as already shown last Retail Sales. Core PPI stands at 0.2%.
What will happen if Core comes at 0.2% or lower? Will that short USD?
But what if PPI comes higher than -0.7% at the same time? Will that support USD?
Hmm... I wonder if USD Sentiment is still there. Will USD be a loser today?
Alot of people are trading CORE PPI ignoring PPI..
Anecdote:
From Jan to date, Estimate Core PPI has always been 0.2%.
* From Historic charts, I noticed that Core PPI lower than 0.2% always short USD.
* A 0.3% sometimes supports USD only to reverse later then "goes back to neutral" (July)
* 0.4% and up is a clear USD long.
Will we see 0.4% later?
I have seen 0.4% ONLY once (Feb) this year.. Most are 0.3% and lower.
PPI
Previous: 0.1%
Estimate: -0.7%
Actual:
Core PPI
Previous: -0.4%
Estimate: 0.2%
Actual:
What do we look for in these numbers to support USD?
I personally think that the -0.7% PPI was due mainly to the lowered Fuel cost last month as already shown last Retail Sales. Core PPI stands at 0.2%.
What will happen if Core comes at 0.2% or lower? Will that short USD?
But what if PPI comes higher than -0.7% at the same time? Will that support USD?
Hmm... I wonder if USD Sentiment is still there. Will USD be a loser today?
Alot of people are trading CORE PPI ignoring PPI..
Anecdote:
From Jan to date, Estimate Core PPI has always been 0.2%.
* From Historic charts, I noticed that Core PPI lower than 0.2% always short USD.
* A 0.3% sometimes supports USD only to reverse later then "goes back to neutral" (July)
* 0.4% and up is a clear USD long.
Will we see 0.4% later?
I have seen 0.4% ONLY once (Feb) this year.. Most are 0.3% and lower.