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Just for my reference

  • #41
  • Oct 24, 2016 2:29pm Oct 24, 2016 2:29pm
Quoting squawk
Ref USDJPY Reportable leveraged long Yen positions exiting for second week in row. 15% significant profit taking. Chart indicates change as well. {image} {image} {image}
Ref update 25 - 10

UJ pricing starting to look more bullish but was waiting for a return to 102. Lot of previous pricing in that area that may hold price. Seems to have stuck this level and have added some small testing longs as bearish pattern is not playing out.
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  • #42
  • Edited 5:15pm Oct 24, 2016 3:25pm | Edited 5:15pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Ref Update. {image}
Ref 25 - 10

Nice close for the GN. Lower test is still open.

1.75 seems to be locked in from RBNZ. http://www.interest.co.nz/bonds/8423...cial-cash-rate
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  • #43
  • Edited Oct 25, 2016 1:34am Oct 24, 2016 3:41pm | Edited Oct 25, 2016 1:34am
Quoting squawk
{quote} REF NZD-CAD 4.30 Possible area here for adding to shorts. UPDATE CHART 19-10 9.15 - Initial reaction from the level but a lot of CAD news due throughout the day. UPDATE CHART 20 - 10 Paired trade refer higher level {image} {image} {image} {image}
Ref 25 - 10

Level 2 reached and Poloz comments less negative than previous. Waiting for setup to short. This is longer term trade.

Edit Poloz modified comments causing a reverse out of trade.
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  • #44
  • Oct 27, 2016 2:23am Oct 27, 2016 2:23am
Quoting squawk
{quote} Ref 25 - 10 Nice close for the GN. Lower test is still open. 1.75 seems to be locked in from RBNZ. http://www.interest.co.nz/bonds/8423...cial-cash-rate {image} {image}
Ref Update 27 - 10

Test of lower bound now we need to see if will hold above.
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  • #45
  • Oct 27, 2016 2:26am Oct 27, 2016 2:26am
Quoting squawk
{quote} Ref update 25 - 10 UJ pricing starting to look more bullish but was waiting for a return to 102. Lot of previous pricing in that area that may hold price. Seems to have stuck this level and have added some small testing longs as bearish pattern is not playing out. {image}
Update 27 - 10

Currently remaining long.
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  • #46
  • Oct 28, 2016 2:44am Oct 28, 2016 2:44am
Quoting squawk
{quote} Ref 25 - 10 Level 2 reached and Poloz comments less negative than previous. Waiting for setup to short. This is longer term trade. Edit Poloz modified comments causing a reverse out of trade. {image} {image} {image}
Update 28 - 10 Looking to short into next week long term.

Longer term stop new high.
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  • #47
  • Jan 11, 2019 12:49am Jan 11, 2019 12:49am
Some thoughts, reference area NU.
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  • #48
  • Jan 11, 2019 3:21am Jan 11, 2019 3:21am
AN reference point.
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  • #49
  • Jan 13, 2019 11:04pm Jan 13, 2019 11:04pm
Quoting squawk
Some thoughts, reference area NU. {image}
Moved in to this trade Friday at 68322 and added some additional positions in today in the Asian session. Have moved to BE still likely hood that NU could run further up.
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  • #50
  • Jan 16, 2019 5:10am Jan 16, 2019 5:10am
Quoting squawk
Some thoughts, reference area NU. {image}
Update NU take some and move to BE
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  • #51
  • Jan 16, 2019 5:14am Jan 16, 2019 5:14am
Quoting squawk
AN reference point. {image} {image} {image}
Update remaining long AN.
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  • #52
  • Jan 16, 2019 5:16am Jan 16, 2019 5:16am
Yuan reference.
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  • #53
  • Jan 17, 2019 12:52am Jan 17, 2019 12:52am
Reference - Long UJ and covered.
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  • #54
  • Edited 1:00am Jan 18, 2019 12:48am | Edited 1:00am
Reference - have been watching and waiting for the German 10y yields to form the right shoulder. High correlation for the Euro Banks and EU. I think we are nearly there but will play out over 2019 if the higher low holds. I find it hard to figure an increase in yields on the euro bonds at the moment unless inflation is around the corner and leads to at 80s style scenario. But for lower we need a new negative IR cycle to begin. Personally I think the German 10Y will be a market leader to watch.

I have EU buy limits at 110 and 108 for longer term positioning

This is my opinion and I never mistake an economic opinion for Mid Term trading.
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  • #55
  • Jan 18, 2019 2:23pm Jan 18, 2019 2:23pm
Quoting squawk
Yuan reference. {image} {image}
UCNH - reference first target taken and move over stops to BE. Final target above with flip to shorts when and if shows.
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  • #56
  • Jan 18, 2019 2:26pm Jan 18, 2019 2:26pm
Quoting squawk
Reference - Long UJ and covered. {image} {image} {image} {image}
UJ Reference - Same as Yuan, locked in first TP and rolled to BE target and change of direction positioning above.
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  • #57
  • Jan 18, 2019 2:45pm Jan 18, 2019 2:45pm
Reference 10Y - still have US10 - yields at 3 resistance move with current chart of 10 and Index before possible market rollover and rotation of flow back to bonds. Just my thoughts.
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  • #58
  • Jan 18, 2019 2:49pm Jan 18, 2019 2:49pm
Index reference

Index I have had two reference levels for testing and think the one above is still to be tested but market into current area should be strong and may look to try some shorts.

Looking for strong rotation back to Bonds when Index sees 28ish and bonds retest 3's. Just thoughts.
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  • #59
  • Jan 18, 2019 3:06pm Jan 18, 2019 3:06pm
Reference for UJ trade - US10 Yields correlation with UJ has been high and highlights reasons for UJ current trades.
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  • #60
  • Jan 21, 2019 10:52pm Jan 21, 2019 10:52pm
UC Reference - needs a pullback and price action seems seems to indicate so. Unfortunately may delay my NC trade unless we get a shitty CPI number. High prob as NZ quarterly and there has been significant drop in crude for the quarter.
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