The Swamp | Page 1415 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #28,281
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:49am Jan 2, 2019 9:49am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol...I wish I kept my shorts this morning.. instead now fighting on those longs... 155 adr now....

With that ADR I hope this year is volatile for eu. It's been dead for a few years in terms of daily range from 120 ish down to 60 to 70 per day.

I am waiting for a break of 1.12. So selling highs either way
  • #28,282
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:52am Jan 2, 2019 9:52am
I hate buying a bounce when I really wanted to short it....lol Don't give it much probability of success.............

Anyway, three locked....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 6E 03-19 (5 Min) 1_2_2019.jpg Size: 88 KB
  • #28,283
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:56am Jan 2, 2019 9:56am
Quoting BlueCirrus
I hate buying a bounce when I really wanted to short it....lol Don't give it much probability of success............. Anyway, three locked.... {image}
me too...I bought another two 1344 and 1352...locked in one too...
  • #28,284
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:58am Jan 2, 2019 9:58am
Quoting BlueCirrus
I hate buying a bounce when I really wanted to short it....lol Don't give it much probability of success............. Anyway, three locked.... {image}

Yup. 1.1360 or 65 for target..

I hope it closes at 1.1340... it might be priming to break 1.13 properly. Who knows.. with a huge order block in that area it makes sense for institutions to go grab it and run stops
  • #28,285
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:01am Jan 2, 2019 10:01am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} me too...I bought another two 1344 and 1352...locked in one too...
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} Yup. 1.1360 or 65 for target.. I hope it closes at 1.1340... it might be priming to break 1.13 properly. Who knows.. with a huge order block in that area it makes sense for institutions to go grab it and run stops
Certainly not a high probability trade here, but trying for halfback, which is at about 1416, the days normal ADR low..................
  • #28,286
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:02am Jan 2, 2019 10:02am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} {quote} Certainly not a high probability trade here, but trying for halfback, which is at about 1416, the days normal ADR low..................
at least M1 uptrend now... M5 is next...
  • #28,287
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:02am Jan 2, 2019 10:02am
something is out of whack,, eu moved 2X normal adr while Bonds drop and bunds rise. this has to be something else causing this move. possibly u.s. investors bringing money home. maybe because of the new tax laws. Overseas money looks to be coming back turned liquid and staying liquid. bonds are showing the usd should be weaker than euro. yet its gaining, and even more it gained 2x adr. this is opposite of normal.

stocks down and bonds down.. something is screwy here..
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,288
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:08am Jan 2, 2019 10:08am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} me too...I bought another two 1344 and 1352...locked in one too...
about time to make some money on longs....
  • #28,289
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:18am Jan 2, 2019 10:18am
Quoting gatorinla
something is out of whack,, eu moved 2X normal adr while Bonds drop and bunds rise. this has to be something else causing this move. possibly u.s. investors bringing money home. maybe because of the new tax laws. Overseas money looks to be coming back turned liquid and staying liquid. bonds are showing the usd should be weaker than euro. yet its gaining, and even more it gained 2x adr. this is opposite of normal. stocks down and bonds down.. something is screwy here.. {image}
Those funny-mentals give me analysis paralysis.....................I just let Norm do his job, even though he often takes the long way around the barn....

Stock index futures are positive atm....maybe 700 - 800 more to the upside for the YM (Not necessarily today though)................Missed a buy on the ES a while ago....They're frontrunning me today......lol
  • #28,290
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:32am Jan 2, 2019 10:32am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Those funny-mentals give me analysis paralysis.....................I just let Norm do his job, even though he often takes the long way around the barn.... Stock index futures are positive atm....maybe 700 - 800 more to the upside for the YM (Not necessarily today though)................Missed a buy on the ES a while ago....They're frontrunning me today......lol
i thought it would bounce, the month closing above the previous. Plus above 1447 lead me to believe a bounce would come. Maybe 188x.. the jokes on me atm..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 45 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,291
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:37am Jan 2, 2019 10:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i thought it would bounce, the month closing above the previous. Plus above 1447 lead me to believe a bounce would come. Maybe 188x.. the jokes on me atm.. {image}
Well, even according to my long running bear corrective sequence, it could have went to 1611 before I would re-think it...........
  • #28,292
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:46am Jan 2, 2019 10:46am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Well, even according to my long running bear corrective sequence, it could have went to 1611 before I would re-think it...........
it did reach 1355, so u never know.. i think 1355 reached makes it dangerous.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 57 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,293
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:54am Jan 2, 2019 10:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it did reach 1355, so u never know.. i think 1355 reached makes it dangerous. {image}

Yep, but it's about time to break that...........Turn that projection upside down and see where it points..............
  • #28,294
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:59am Jan 2, 2019 10:59am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} about time to make some money on longs....
the kids need new shoes. make some money.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 1.1 MB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,295
  • Jan 2, 2019 11:15am Jan 2, 2019 11:15am
Closed that scrawny long............prefer to sell the bounce later......

Gotta run...CYA!
  • #28,296
  • Edited 11:38am Jan 2, 2019 11:25am | Edited 11:38am
Quoting BlueCirrus
Closed that scrawny long............prefer to sell the bounce later...... Gotta run...CYA!
I closed those two for .lunch money .. just went back in again at 1337,, I don't believe this...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 10 KB
  • #28,297
  • Jan 2, 2019 11:29am Jan 2, 2019 11:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the kids need new shoes. make some money. {image}
still keep trying..... made a little a time...they added up...
  • #28,298
  • Jan 2, 2019 11:36am Jan 2, 2019 11:36am
adr 162.. almost monthly S1 ..1332

MP R1 ----------1.1499
ST R2 ----------1.1497
ST R1 ----------1.1481
WP R1 ----------1.1470
ST PP ----------1.1451
ST S1 ----------1.1435
WP PP ----------1.1420
MP PP ----------1.1415
ST S2 ----------1.1406
ST S3 ----------1.1389
WP S1 ----------1.1370
WP S2 ----------1.1339
MP S1 ----------1.1332
  • #28,299
  • Jan 2, 2019 11:51am Jan 2, 2019 11:51am
Quoting gatorinla
something is out of whack,, eu moved 2X normal adr while Bonds drop and bunds rise. this has to be something else causing this move. possibly u.s. investors bringing money home. maybe because of the new tax laws. Overseas money looks to be coming back turned liquid and staying liquid. bonds are showing the usd should be weaker than euro. yet its gaining, and even more it gained 2x adr. this is opposite of normal. stocks down and bonds down.. something is screwy here.. {image}
it makes sense now.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,300
  • Jan 2, 2019 11:51am Jan 2, 2019 11:51am
This is unusual
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
41 traders viewing now