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The Swamp

  • #28,261
  • Jan 2, 2019 7:39am Jan 2, 2019 7:39am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing H4 uptrend stop 1397..,,one hour 15 mins to go......H1 uptrend fail to hold its stop.. two more levels printed.....99 adr already... MP R1 ----------1.1499 ST R2 ----------1.1497 ST R1 ----------1.1481 WP R1 ----------1.1470 ST PP ----------1.1451 ST S1 ----------1.1435 WP PP ----------1.1420 MP PP ----------1.1415 ST S2 ----------1.1406 ST S3 ----------1.1389 WP S1 ----------1.1370
in 20 mins, wait to H4 bulls can move this up 1397+ at H4 close ... otherwise H4 will also turn into downtrend...
  • #28,262
  • Jan 2, 2019 7:39am Jan 2, 2019 7:39am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} this is unreal.. bought another 1381.. pending one 1369.. that will all for today... could be a good opportunity for this...
You have a decent probability of success with a long scalp here..........Norm will get the job done..........assuming I've correctly mapped his route...

Gator used to call these "lying little ones", so a bit fuzzy atm...........1369x is the halfback LM.............
  • #28,263
  • Jan 2, 2019 7:42am Jan 2, 2019 7:42am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} You have a decent probability of success with a long scalp here..........Norm will get the job done..........assuming I've correctly mapped his route... Gator used to call these "lying little ones", so a bit fuzzy atm...........1369x is the halfback LM.............
I don't know how much more to move down... 120 adr already...
  • #28,264
  • Jan 2, 2019 7:47am Jan 2, 2019 7:47am
Quoting gatorinla
usd testing bottom of bear wedge. {image}
there is no love for Euro...
  • #28,265
  • Jan 2, 2019 7:49am Jan 2, 2019 7:49am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I don't know how much more to move down... 120 adr already...
Notice the hesitation at this halfback mofu.....would expect a bounce in this zone at some point...

And, of course, if it does, then "halfback" will be taken out on the next trip lower.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM1.png Size: 38 KB
  • #28,266
  • Jan 2, 2019 7:51am Jan 2, 2019 7:51am
my last one 1370.printed...H1, H4 both reversed to downtrend ...
now.. better sell the bounce....

MP R1 ----------1.1499
ST R2 ----------1.1497
ST R1 ----------1.1481
WP R1 ----------1.1470
ST PP ----------1.1451
ST S1 ----------1.1435
WP PP ----------1.1420
MP PP ----------1.1415
ST S2 ----------1.1406
ST S3 ----------1.1389
WP S1 ----------1.1370
  • #28,267
  • Jan 2, 2019 8:11am Jan 2, 2019 8:11am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} there is no love for Euro...
1365.4 would tie the largest % move since I tested these levels. testing has been the last few weeks near year end. so it may not be the best statistics. but I had to start somewhere. It tells me not to short here. the short was 1485/1511... the long would be 1392/1365
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 19 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,268
  • Jan 2, 2019 8:15am Jan 2, 2019 8:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1365.4 would tie the largest % move since I tested these levels. testing has been the last few weeks near year end. so it may not be the best statistics. but I had to start somewhere. It tells me not to short here. the short was 1485/1511... the long would be 1392/1365
my 3rd pending 1369 triggered... now just wait for the rebound........
  • #28,269
  • Jan 2, 2019 8:19am Jan 2, 2019 8:19am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} my 3rd pending 1369 triggered... now just wait for the rebound........
i was using 30 pips... % wise this one in smaller than 30 pips.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,270
  • Jan 2, 2019 8:31am Jan 2, 2019 8:31am
not much reputation.. but..
Attached Image
  • #28,271
  • Jan 2, 2019 8:52am Jan 2, 2019 8:52am
Quoting Boulder
not much reputation.. but.. {image}
Yeah, after 0945 - 1026, which is a year long normal pullback in a larger 3100 - 3400 sequence....(Which is part of an even larger bear sequence).....

Still marking its territory BTW....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15.png Size: 41 KB
  • #28,272
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:02am Jan 2, 2019 9:02am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Yeah, after 0945 - 1026, which is a year long normal pullback in a larger 3100 - 3400 sequence....(Which is part of an even larger bear sequence)..... Still marking its territory BTW.... {image}
unreal.. almost 140 adr.. still no bounce...
  • #28,273
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:08am Jan 2, 2019 9:08am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} unreal.. almost 140 adr.. still no bounce...
Yes...drives ya' nuts sometimes....I started to set a limit sell on 6E (equivalent to 1.1493 shown on these charts I posted) last night before going to bed, but then decided I could probably get that price this morning.....Wrong!....lol
  • #28,274
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:15am Jan 2, 2019 9:15am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} unreal.. almost 140 adr.. still no bounce...
1355 is a norm. usdx has one at 96.75 reached earlier. it dont mean eu will not drop more. with adr spent, the odds are getting better for stall or retrace.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #28,275
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:24am Jan 2, 2019 9:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1355 is a norm. usdx has one at 96.75 reached earlier. it dont mean eu will not drop more. with adr spent, the odds are getting better for stall or retrace.
next levels I have are 1330s.. hope we don't go there today before retrace some first...

MP R1 ----------1.1499
ST R2 ----------1.1497
ST R1 ----------1.1481
WP R1 ----------1.1470
ST PP ----------1.1451
ST S1 ----------1.1435
WP PP ----------1.1420
MP PP ----------1.1415
ST S2 ----------1.1406
ST S3 ----------1.1389
WP S1 ----------1.1370
WP S2 ----------1.1339
MP S1 ----------1.1332
  • #28,276
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:35am Jan 2, 2019 9:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} next levels I have are 1330s.. hope we don't go there today before retrace some first... MP R1 ----------1.1499 ST R2 ----------1.1497 ST R1 ----------1.1481 WP R1 ----------1.1470 ST PP ----------1.1451 ST S1 ----------1.1435 WP PP ----------1.1420 MP PP ----------1.1415 ST S2 ----------1.1406 ST S3 ----------1.1389 WP S1 ----------1.1370 WP S2 ----------1.1339 MP S1 ----------1.1332
possibly 1355 will withstand the pressure.
  • #28,277
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:38am Jan 2, 2019 9:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1355 is a norm. usdx has one at 96.75 reached earlier. it dont mean eu will not drop more. with adr spent, the odds are getting better for stall or retrace.
I have a 2 to 1 bear into the LM of that norm at 1345x..............
  • #28,278
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:39am Jan 2, 2019 9:39am
Quoting jaylovin
Interesting Asia aren't pushing euro higher. If 1.15 doesn't break then i look for 1.13 near term. 1.12 must still break to the downside imo whether now or from higher up. Bear in mind 1.1420 has not broken so no short trade. Better to wait for a proper bear reaction

50 pips away from my near term target at 1.13.. I wish I shorted this. Jeez
  • #28,279
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:41am Jan 2, 2019 9:41am
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} 50 pips away from my near term target at 1.13.. I wish I shorted this. Jeez
lol...I wish I kept my shorts this morning.. instead now fighting on those longs...

155 adr now....
  • #28,280
  • Jan 2, 2019 9:45am Jan 2, 2019 9:45am
We dipped below the previous intraday low by 2 pips.

Some bounce is in order me thinks
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