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EURUSD only

  • #68,881
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:42pm Dec 19, 2018 1:42pm
Quoting 5astelija
M1 RSI is not as bearish as the price would suggest.. Same pattern as in the reversal last week. I'm expecting new daily highs.
Good opinion. My own opinion is we have seen the high for this month. This pair will be sold off till below 1.12.
  • #68,882
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:46pm Dec 19, 2018 1:46pm
We need to tag 1.1367 before we retrace 382, 50 or 618 fib
  • #68,883
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:46pm Dec 19, 2018 1:46pm
Quoting djvanryan
I've been short since 1.1330, holding short until 1.10. The US economy is only slowing down it's boom, not faltering like Europe is right now. Europe is diving off a bridge and in range of a financial crisis. So all these spikes in the Euro are just pumps, and it's starting to show.
100% with you bud.
Patience is key
  • #68,884
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:48pm Dec 19, 2018 1:48pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Good opinion. My own opi ion is we have seen the high for this month. This pair will be sold off till below 1.12.
I agree, but as the man Digger says, price never reaches the target as fast as we would expect
One more confusing up swing would be perfect
Pension fund Return This Month: 2.2%
  • #68,885
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:51pm Dec 19, 2018 1:51pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} My personal gut feeling: Nothing bearish will happen. Stay Green
Our dear friend trader "De La Kritz" that I've blocked, looks like his live trading account with $163 is gone. He has locked his balance and equity today. Yesterday it was available. Look at his negative % it's almost all gone.I guess his strategy "that works, but he don't know how to explain it and show it to anyone" really fired back at him too, not knowing his own strategy .
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  • #68,886
  • Edited 2:14pm Dec 19, 2018 1:52pm | Edited 2:14pm
H1 Status Update

We had 3+1 bearish signs that price could drop.

  1. H1 candle wicks couldn't reach to previous (highest) Dashed BLUE TL
  2. H1 candle wicks then also couldn't touch the nearest Dashed BLUE TL in their final attempt.
  3. On M5 we started to see some candles closing below 1.1420.
  4. One bonus sign could be the "Bar Divergence" on MACD but I didn't rely on that.

If you closed all longs anticipating these signals then well. If you shorted based on M15 even better. If you were waiting on sidelines based on H1 is well too.

From here it is best to trade the M15 new BLUE TL breakouts for a while. You stop selling swing highs only if candles close back above H1 green line: 1.1390 area.

On a side note: 2 more hours for Daily candle close on my broker. Remember: If daily closes below 1.1395 it means bulls are failing and "Bearish Cypher" traders on H1 start coming in.

Edit: A little verbal mistake on chart: I am mentioning "bear weakness", that actually should have been "bull weakness".

Stay Green

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #68,887
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:54pm Dec 19, 2018 1:54pm
The last time Powell just spoke to the air there was more volatility
Don't believe me just watch!
  • #68,888
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:54pm Dec 19, 2018 1:54pm
Quoting 5astelija
{quote} I agree, but as the man Digger says, price never reaches the target as fast as we would expect One more confusing up swing would be perfect
Alright. I hope you are already selling? You see that 1.1438, you won't see it again this month. Let's make a deal. That number won't appear on your screen again this month. If it does, please quote this my post. More green pips to you.
  • #68,889
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:55pm Dec 19, 2018 1:55pm
Don't know why so excited ... so far EURUSD has just tested the support at 1.1371 ... much of the FED priced in already. Not sure if more to come ...
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #68,890
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:56pm Dec 19, 2018 1:56pm
Price may bounce a little off of this area. 1.13800.
200 ema is supporting on 4hr and 15min at the moment....any rally will look for reasons to short.....

Good luck and goodnight
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #68,891
  • Dec 19, 2018 1:58pm Dec 19, 2018 1:58pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
H1 Status Update We had 3+1 bearish signs that price could drop. H1 candle wicks couldn't reach to previous (highest) Dashed BLUE TL H1 candle wicks then also couldn't touch the nearest Dashed BLUE TL in their final attempt. On M5 we started to see some candles closing below 1.1420. One bonus sign could be the "Bar Divergence" on MACD but I didn't rely on that. If you closed all longs anticipating these signals then well. If you shorted based on M15 even better. If you were waiting on sidelines based on H1 is well too. From here it is best to trade...
Just You are Great Brother, Nice Wording and what a Great Analysis. I Love You.
  • #68,892
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:01pm Dec 19, 2018 2:01pm
Quoting kayikayi
We need to tag 1.1367 before we retrace 382, 50 or 618 fib
probably be deeper then before much of a retrace,,, 1st line in the sand creeping into view ,,took a -2 on the long orders but sold 93 for a crack maybe get Moty back so he can at least poke his head out of the water for a bit stp even now on whats left
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  • #68,893
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:06pm Dec 19, 2018 2:06pm
Daily Outlook

Connect the dots of Daily with my H1 chart. We are inside an inverted triangle (sort of). The range I am focusing on is between 1.1330 and 1.1396.

My own gut feeling is that Daily candles will eventually break out to the upside. When? I can't tell but somewhere before we reach the end of triangle:January 2, 3, 5? Let's say "soon". In other words, as long as we are above 1.1330, bulls will try to break 1.1396. Time will tell.

Stay Green
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #68,894
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:08pm Dec 19, 2018 2:08pm
Is everybody happy? EURUSD 5-3 EWs
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
  • #68,895
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:09pm Dec 19, 2018 2:09pm
eu h1 +h1Attachment gAttachment g

dx h1Attachment g
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yes yes yes
  • #68,896
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:10pm Dec 19, 2018 2:10pm
Quoting Hickson
Don't know why so excited ... so far EURUSD has just tested the support at 1.1371 ... much of the FED priced in already. Not sure if more to come ...
EURUSD was priced to be higher on more dovish news for 2019, but the Fed has a more hawkish outlook on 2019 than analysts expected.
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  • #68,897
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:11pm Dec 19, 2018 2:11pm
Quoting wasntme
price should revisit 1346 and that were ill close out all my shorts for a small profit...trump is backing off the shutdown, todays miscreant avoided sentencing for more cooperation and tomorrows rate hike which should be the last for awhile is already priced in im guessing so all my political reasons for a dollar advance have just been kicked on down the road before closure

close under previous 4h candle gives me a sell signal so ill cancel that target and hold out for 1300 atleast...if todays daily candle closes under 1360 ill hold it even longer for 1220....
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #68,898
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:16pm Dec 19, 2018 2:16pm
trumps gona have a coronary event cause of powell lol. trump worried about his reelection which cmpaigning should start after january if stockmarket keeps falling
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #68,899
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:17pm Dec 19, 2018 2:17pm
Quoting djvanryan
{quote} EURUSD was priced to be higher on more dovish news for 2019, but the Fed has a more hawkish outlook on 2019 than analysts expected.
We will see. The market is always right.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #68,900
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:17pm Dec 19, 2018 2:17pm
EU
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Self discipline It is a practice
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