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  • #68,821
  • Edited Dec 20, 2018 2:36am Dec 19, 2018 11:46am | Edited Dec 20, 2018 2:36am
$
  • #68,822
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:50am Dec 19, 2018 11:50am
1.1450 for now at least.
  • #68,823
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:51am Dec 19, 2018 11:51am
Quoting mrmalik1
{quote} hehehe,,,,,,,,,,,my ass has has kicked a lot of times too,,,,,,,swollen now and I'm trying to get relief from that pain lol,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,I trying to learn the process and the logic,,,,,,,,,,,,,,hope will soon be able to trade,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,sent you a PM,,,,,,,,,,,,still waiting for the reply,,,,,,,,,,,,,, regards
Your patterns ,,if you are scalping at all ,,mark out the big patterns on your smaller charts ,, you dont want to get so engrossed in your wiggly,, nosiy short time frame and lose sight of the bigger picture ,, its always going to be a combination of the here and now ,,,time of day and the not so distant past mixed in with a little more distant past ,, follow the tracks the mkt left ,, not shit plucked out of calculations of this that or the other things related to trading ,, the mkt will give you the levels ,,thats all you need . You will soon be finding your spots to take your shot or play a little pull back or places to get your stp tightened up or get out and wait for the next ride whichever way its going ,, its all just pieces of a puzzle that does the same shit day after day week after week
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  • #68,824
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:53am Dec 19, 2018 11:53am
Also went long 1.4245. Same pattern, as last time. I put my SL to BE, I´m aiming for 1.45.
Edit. And it hit my SL
  • #68,825
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:57am Dec 19, 2018 11:57am
Quoting TheLaw1
{quote} Oh No! It's spreading,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, The dreaded comma disease,,,,,,,,.
I keep thinking thats the enter bar lol,, same thing right ha
  • #68,826
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:02pm Dec 19, 2018 12:02pm
I see a lot of BE stop losses right now. IMO it is going to be pretty hard to have a BE SL before the rate announcement (unless you are at the very bottom on a long and the very top on a short) as you are more likely than not to get stopped out while the EU ranges. just my 2 cents.
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #68,827
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:11pm Dec 19, 2018 12:11pm
Quoting 5astelija
{quote} Here's the 200 days from 2000-2018, don't have history data for going further.. Hard to see the correlation with US GDP with this timeframe, as the US has pretty much boomed the whole period except 2008-2009 Chart timeframe is weekly just for getting the whole thing visible. {quote} As seen from the second pic, 100 pip days seems to be somewhat normal.. Updloaded the .ex5 too, in case someone's interested.. Sorry for a bit long and off-topic post {image} {image} {file}
Thanks, man!

Although you could not determine causation for the volatility swings you nicely confirmed that they do happen. Those 200pip days cluster around certain times and are almost non-existent on others.

This is proving that we are in a time of relatively low volatility. Next comes higher volatility. The 'scary' part for us traders is the lack of warning before these increases in volatility occur. Who foresaw Lehman Bros. closure beforehand besides those on the inside scrambling for their lives!

For myself, I will never again hang a trade solely on the Daily Range. I was one that bought in that bear market you saw for no other reason than, "it went 150pips, it must reverse now". Boy did I lose a lot of money.

As for the EurUsd today... It is safe to trade... for now.
Back to watching the charts. 50mins to Rate Decision.
  • #68,828
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:12pm Dec 19, 2018 12:12pm
Quoting moneymagnet
I see a lot of BE stop losses right now. IMO it is going to be pretty hard to have a BE SL before the rate announcement (unless you are at the very bottom on a long and the very top on a short) as you are more likely than not to get stopped out while the EU ranges. just my 2 cents.
Been quite a swing in retail sediment the last couple days short side looking a little crowed lol,,dxy about 50/50 which is a decent change
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  • #68,829
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:16pm Dec 19, 2018 12:16pm
Quoting venividivici
{image}
Is this you Moty??
A snails pace wins the race :-)
  • #68,830
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:18pm Dec 19, 2018 12:18pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Been quite a swing in retail sediment the last couple days short side looking a little crowed lol,,dxy about 50/50 which is a decent change {image}
Digger, where do you get this info? I would like to check it daily myself. Thanks.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #68,831
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:19pm Dec 19, 2018 12:19pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
I have just shorted 1.14314 based on 4HR resistance at 1.1440 nothing else. I just want this for some retrace. Also I have a feeling that price will start heading down a bit close to FOMC upon which I will move stop to BE. I sold 1.14308 initially and was taken out at BE and now I'm repeating my sell.
Very stupid PA. I'm out of this short with few pips. The 4hr seems it has quite some up movement. I'll only sell the highs. No buys!
  • #68,832
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:22pm Dec 19, 2018 12:22pm
Quoting Alorente
{quote} Digger, where do you get this info? I would like to check it daily myself. Thanks.
check your pm
  • #68,833
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:23pm Dec 19, 2018 12:23pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Been quite a swing in retail sediment the last couple days short side looking a little crowed lol,,dxy about 50/50 which is a decent change {image}
When that ratio gets very lopsided I have seen what it does every single time is to, in this case, spike up to take out all the remaining stop losses and then fall all the way down. It happened to UC some days ago. Then it was the opposite.
  • #68,834
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:23pm Dec 19, 2018 12:23pm
Quoting Moty
d1 + h1 + 15m {image} {image} {image}
Based od D1 swing.
100% agree
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  • #68,835
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:25pm Dec 19, 2018 12:25pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Been quite a swing in retail sediment the last couple days short side looking a little crowed lol,,dxy about 50/50 which is a decent change {image}

nice change from 32 hrs ago
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Self discipline It is a practice
  • #68,836
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:26pm Dec 19, 2018 12:26pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} When that ratio gets very lopsided I have seen what it does every single time is to, in this case, spike up to take out all the remaining stop losses and then fall all the way down. It happened to UC some days ago. Then it was the opposite.
for sure ,, same game every time ,, but if pop high enough there is fuel as in stops above they will have to be chewed thru ,, they get taken out ,, whacked down then the spike fills in ,,sometimes on both ends
  • #68,837
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:28pm Dec 19, 2018 12:28pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Been quite a swing in retail sediment the last couple days short side looking a little crowed lol,,dxy about 50/50 which is a decent change {image}
could you please share the link of this site??
MRMALIK1
  • #68,838
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:31pm Dec 19, 2018 12:31pm
Quoting digger1
{quote}check your pm
Thanks, dig.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #68,839
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:32pm Dec 19, 2018 12:32pm
if i understand correct, price will move up because of the sell orders, the job of the market maker is fill the orders if in reasonable range. more sellers, higher price goes. when market maker fills sell orders, they have to buy what you are selling. eventually, they will end up with huge amount of euro in their basket. after market calms down, they will start dumping the excessive currency. not all at once but in increments.
the opposite applies to situation when people start buying.
this is all natural market mechanism.
As Above, So Below
  • #68,840
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:44pm Dec 19, 2018 12:44pm
Price accumulating. Took a short and holding it. Take profit at previous levels where orange box is which previous orders collected and moved away from.
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