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  • #68,761
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:40am Dec 19, 2018 7:40am
Quoting Oc6oph
{quote} Probably going down to 1.1330 area
When do you think now or after the news?
  • #68,762
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:42am Dec 19, 2018 7:42am
To me .1450 is likely. This would trigger a few stops and buy orders at the same time.

Maybe to .1472 at news release. Lots more stops to trigger there and major pressure on any shorts trying to 'just hold on'.

Either of these two get crossed then followed by a retreat back below would signal bearishness for me. I like to think of it like banks clearing their house before moving out.

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  • #68,763
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:43am Dec 19, 2018 7:43am
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} When do you think now or after the news?
I would say it’ll start going down now I bet it breaks 1.13 soon
ex nihilo
  • #68,764
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:44am Dec 19, 2018 7:44am
H4
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yes yes yes
  • #68,765
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:44am Dec 19, 2018 7:44am
With ADR at about 80pips i'm beginning to believe this pair will fall during FOMC. If it were to rise much higher than this it shouldn't have moved this fast . I'm expecting a fall.
  • #68,766
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:47am Dec 19, 2018 7:47am
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} It is not near oversold. It is a strategy of pump and dump further down. Take care.
It depends on how you look at it and whatever timeframe, comparing apples with apples I hope. As far as I see it, Eu is building support. Unable to penetrate anything downwards. It has been in a range for more than 2 months. My thoughts are that it will close the year near 1.14774. No real pump and dump I see going into next year.

Cheers...
Trade to trade another day
  • #68,767
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:48am Dec 19, 2018 7:48am
Quoting Mitiblotch
With ADR at about 80pips i'm beginning to believe this pair will fall during FOMC. If it were to rise much higher than this it shouldn't have moved this fast . I'm expecting a fall.
Just don't forget ADR is an average. So the extremes of that average can be quite alarming. Think 200+ pips.
  • #68,768
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:49am Dec 19, 2018 7:49am
Quoting Lcky
long 14089 sl 14016 tp:14400
Nothing worse than just being off by a few ,,,, a few pips difference with a tight stop is the difference of just barely being kicked out or catching a move that went 40 pips ,,, levels levels levels ,,,,
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  • #68,769
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:49am Dec 19, 2018 7:49am
I noticed overbought/oversold discussion.

Both can be true and are true. Depending on YOUR time frame.

Posted a monthly chart to demonstrate.

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If you can't see it, keep your money in the bank until you can see it. Or put it in and pros will gladly take it away
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #68,770
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:50am Dec 19, 2018 7:50am
M5

I'm short from 17:25
after this BearishReversalCandle
@ 1.1436, Sl 8, TP 20

atb/vvm
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PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
  • #68,771
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:52am Dec 19, 2018 7:52am
Sideways/consolidation for the next couple of hours before the news (?)

If price spent all day building upwards, it would kinda make sense for the news to send her downwards because well, big boys buying low and selling high and especially at one of the last big movements to close off the year
You hesitate, you masturbate.
  • #68,772
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:53am Dec 19, 2018 7:53am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Your probably starting to feel like ya need a John Deere if ya got many of them tucked away lol
I have the John Deere Hat !
i luve the color's
in wondering about yourself, you forgot what you came here to be part of
  • #68,773
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:53am Dec 19, 2018 7:53am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Nothing worse than just being off by a few ,,,, a few pips difference with a tight stop is the difference of just barely being kicked out or catching a move that went 40 pips ,,, levels levels levels ,,,, {image}
In general I never use tight hard stops unless scalping. Sometimes tight soft stops when intraday trading
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #68,774
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:54am Dec 19, 2018 7:54am
Quoting vvm
M5 I'm short from 17:25 after this BearishReversalCandle @ 1.1436, Sl 8, TP 20 atb/vvm {image}
HI vvm

I do agree with your prespective. I did take posisiton like what you did. Shot it is.

Stay green green buddy. Good job
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  • #68,775
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:55am Dec 19, 2018 7:55am
overbought or not:
I have moved my SL to +14 pips
just in case
in wondering about yourself, you forgot what you came here to be part of
  • #68,776
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:56am Dec 19, 2018 7:56am
Guys,

The Fed is expected to lift rates by 25bps to 2.25-2.50%, with risks the hiking trajectory could be narrowed

If this happens what does it mean?
  • #68,777
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:58am Dec 19, 2018 7:58am
Quoting Mitiblotch
With ADR at about 80pips i'm beginning to believe this pair will fall during FOMC. If it were to rise much higher than this it shouldn't have moved this fast . I'm expecting a fall.
There is almost always a couple days a week where it will do 100 or better ,, takes out that high with a good poke ,, be watching the support areas later on ,,, got to hold those weekly high areas ,, a lot of week left to chip away higher
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  • #68,778
  • Dec 19, 2018 8:00am Dec 19, 2018 8:00am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} It depends on how you look at it and whatever timeframe, comparing apples with apples I hope. As far as I see it, Eu is building support. Unable to penetrate anything downwards. It has been in a range for more than 2 months. My thoughts are that it will close the year near 1.14774. No real pump and dump I see going into next year. Cheers...
On a daily still strong downtrend. For now it's ranging.
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  • #68,779
  • Dec 19, 2018 8:01am Dec 19, 2018 8:01am
M5

TP1 @ 1.1420
SL to BE

atb/vvm
PA Trading with EMAs & common Sense
  • #68,780
  • Dec 19, 2018 8:01am Dec 19, 2018 8:01am
Quoting Skracor247
{quote} Just don't forget ADR is an average. So the extremes of that average can be quite alarming. Think 200+ pips.
200 pips?! When last did you see that on EU? This is FOMC not Armageddon. 120pips is maximum which is quite rare. You'd have to shoot Trump or Draghi for this donkey to give you 200 pips.
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