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  • #68,681
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:17am Dec 19, 2018 7:17am
Quoting Dr.Seishin
Buy 1384, SL 10p, TP ...
close 1402 +18p
Reason: the price touched my target line on H1 and resistance level on H4, divergence on H1 and the upper border of the fibo angle.
I guess the price won't go above 1314-24. In the near future I will be looking for a sale with confirmation below level 1398.
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  • #68,682
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:18am Dec 19, 2018 7:18am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} To cave in to Trump´s demands would mean the end of Fed independence going forward. That is a precedent no central banker wants to set. They will raise rates today, but may be more dovish going forward, especially due to the collapse of oil prices and its effect on inflation.
indeed

'Market Positions For A Dovish Rate Hike'
https://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=861126
in wondering about yourself, you forgot what you came here to be part of
  • #68,683
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:18am Dec 19, 2018 7:18am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} The markets are already adjusting the value of the Euro for the prospect of the UK leaving the EU. It would gradually do the same as the prospect of Germany and maybe Holland leaving would become more realistic. How much would it devalue? Some estimates say up to 30%. I think it would be in line with the Aussie $ or a little above it. Maybe 0.80 to 0.90 USD. I do agree with Draghi when he says the Euro is irreversible, but more than likely without Germany.
the key is not EUR ... but USD
Trump protectionism and strong USD wil have wrong effect on US economy ....Trump need a weak USD
trying to make everyday the best risk/reward decisions possible
  • #68,684
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:22am Dec 19, 2018 7:22am
Quoting slowbrain
{quote} the key is not EUR ... but USD Trump protectionism and strong USD wil have wrong effect on US economy ....Trump need a weak USD
Trump won´t get a weak $. Above normal growth and a weaker currency do not go hand in hand. I think everyone is getting used to Trump´s antics as simply noise. I don´t think markets pay much attention to what he says anymore.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #68,685
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:23am Dec 19, 2018 7:23am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} To cave in to Trump´s demands would mean the end of Fed independence going forward. That is a precedent no central banker wants to set. They will raise rates today, but may be more dovish going forward, especially due to the collapse of oil prices and its effect on inflation.
If there will be a rate hike... The Fed will be predictable on contrary to Trump demands.

If NO rate hike... then the FED may justify with the following statement ─ e.g. something to the effect of "We, the Fed is NOT caving to the President’s demands" OR simply ignore or won't answer if ever it comes up as a question.
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #68,686
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:23am Dec 19, 2018 7:23am
I am scalping long but sell orders all the way up to 1500. higher price, larger size.
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As Above, So Below
  • #68,687
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:23am Dec 19, 2018 7:23am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} To cave in to Trump´s demands would mean the end of Fed independence going forward. That is a precedent no central banker wants to set. They will raise rates today, but may be more dovish going forward, especially due to the collapse of oil prices and its effect on inflation.
You think so? The markets are not expecting a hike, nor do I. Reason being, inflation has already stabilized and input costs continue to go down. Unless, the Fed sees target inflation as OK to pressurize a few points below 2%, since they do expect inflation to continue climbing and are used to managing sub 2% inflation. It's a tough call.
  • #68,688
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:24am Dec 19, 2018 7:24am
Quoting tashkent
I am scalping long but sell orders all the way up to 1500. higher price, larger size. {image}
Scalping on h4 nice man.
  • #68,689
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:30am Dec 19, 2018 7:30am
The narrowing of the correction channel signals either that there will soon be an impulse to break through the level.
The price reached the level of 50 Fibo and after that, EUR/USD remained higher than yesterday's top of 1.1402.

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#Anthonywins
  • #68,690
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:34am Dec 19, 2018 7:34am
Strike Price...

1.1450 (...pullback action from here)
1.1500 (...bullish continuation)

This week:
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Next week:
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Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #68,691
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:42am Dec 19, 2018 7:42am
Guyssss look what I noticed. Watching M1 chart just now was like a dejavu, I was sure I had seed this pattern before How can you explain this? Algos that are limited and draw same patterns over and over again or just coincidence?
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  • #68,692
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:43am Dec 19, 2018 7:43am
Quoting fxreza
{quote} You think so? The markets are not expecting a hike, nor do I. Reason being, inflation has already stabilized and input costs continue to go down. Unless, the Fed sees target inflation as OK to pressurize a few points below 2%, since they do expect inflation to continue climbing and are used to managing sub 2% inflation. It's a tough call.
The markets are expecting a hike. 75% already discounted as of this morning. With a hike, I expect 1.13 will give out tonight. With no hike, maybe up to 1.15 but then down for the rest of the week. It depends more on what is said at the news conference. It will be a whopper of a night... Either way...

Because of the volatility expected, I increased my SL to 1.1550.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #68,693
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:49am Dec 19, 2018 7:49am
Todays central banks do not want to be secretive, or to surprise the market. They want the opposite - to be predictable, avoid panic and spikes in the market.
They have signaled a rate hike, then it will happen.
Pension fund Return This Month: 2.2%
  • #68,694
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:51am Dec 19, 2018 7:51am
Why is euro rising, if they are expecting a hike?
  • #68,695
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:51am Dec 19, 2018 7:51am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} The markets are expecting a hike. 75% already discounted as of this morning. With a hike, I expect 1.13 will give out tonight. With no hike, maybe up to 1.15 but then down for the rest of the week. It depends more on what is said at the news conference. It will be a whopper of a night... Either way... Because of the volatility expected, I increased my SL to 1.1550.
you are a brave trader .... I am flat now and will wait for the dust to settle tonight to open new positions
trying to make everyday the best risk/reward decisions possible
  • #68,696
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:53am Dec 19, 2018 7:53am
Quoting slowbrain
{quote} you are a brave trader .... I am flat now and wil wait for the dust to settle tonight to open new positions
It has nothing to do with being brave. It is a long term position based on fundamentals. What happens tonight is just noise...
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #68,697
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:54am Dec 19, 2018 7:54am
Quoting v2vboni
{quote} If there will be a rate hike... The Fed will be predictable on contrary to Trump demands. If NO rate hike... then the FED may justify with the following statement ─ e.g. something to the effect of "We, the Fed is NOT caving to the President’s demands" OR simply ignore or won't answer if ever it comes up as a question.
no matter what, we will see pump first. dump will come either today or in a few days depending on how dovish Fed will sound today.
As Above, So Below
  • #68,698
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:55am Dec 19, 2018 7:55am
Quoting irinsexpert
{quote} Hi slowbrain yes it is. Bu why dont you open position?
Days like today ( FOMC .... NFP) i just wait 15 mn after the news to open positions . ( i'm not smart enough to guess the right direction)
to be a successful trader you don't need to be smart ......
trying to make everyday the best risk/reward decisions possible
  • #68,699
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:55am Dec 19, 2018 7:55am
Quoting sandman1111
Why is euro rising, if they are expecting a hike?
Because they are expecting a dovish news conference. Either way, I expect EurUsd will be lower by Friday.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #68,700
  • Dec 19, 2018 7:55am Dec 19, 2018 7:55am
imagine this happen

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Self discipline It is a practice
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