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  • #53,501
  • Oct 17, 2018 10:45pm Oct 17, 2018 10:45pm
Quoting Starcraftmaz
In my experience a lot of the time when there is a big move then small range flatness in Asia, eu open will continue the move before reversing for a retracement. I am leaning towards this now because we've had no movement at all.
Yeah I call it being stuck. In this case to the floor. Expecting another move down....no buyers here, nobody closing their shorts either.
  • #53,502
  • Oct 17, 2018 10:49pm Oct 17, 2018 10:49pm
Quoting newbegger
closed shorts, now long 1.1549. Had to go to 1 min charts but there it is. Second verse, same as the first. I'm Hen-a-ry the eighth I am. oh sorry. I meant target 1.1606 {image}
I was out all day and too tired to log in. I still have .1 lot long and just looking now what to do. I see the M and think I will close long and go short but still looking as the price has stalled.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #53,503
  • Oct 17, 2018 10:51pm Oct 17, 2018 10:51pm
Quoting Pipfu
{quote} Yeah I call it being stuck. In this case to the floor. Expecting another move down....no buyers here, nobody closing their shorts either.

I will be looking at price action peaks for possible reversals points

  • #53,504
  • Oct 17, 2018 10:52pm Oct 17, 2018 10:52pm
Quoting newbegger
{quote} I was out all day and too tired to log in. I still have .1 lot long and just looking now what to do. I see the M and think I will close long and go short but still looking as the price has stalled.
at what price
  • #53,505
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:02pm Oct 17, 2018 11:02pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} at what price
I am not sure what you mean by price?

I am long from 1.1550.

If I close and go short, right here.

If I close and try to sell retrace, around 1.1520

If I hold long and maybe add another .1, around 1.1475 I would add.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #53,506
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:07pm Oct 17, 2018 11:07pm
Would watch the 1475 ,, a daily close below that could be a bit ominous with some quarterly numbers in the mix ,, some weekly lows below that a tad ,,, it may take a few shots at ,, see how springy it is from those if/when it gets there
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  • #53,507
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:09pm Oct 17, 2018 11:09pm
Quoting newbegger
{quote} I am not sure what you mean by price? I am long from 1.1550. If I close and go short, right here. If I close and try to sell retrace, around 1.1520 If I hold long and maybe add another .1, around 1.1475 I would add.
don't close 1494 is a decent support, a retrace will happen here, try to minimize the loss as it goes up

hedge below 1494

logic in chart
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  • #53,508
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:17pm Oct 17, 2018 11:17pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} don't close 1494 is a decent support, a retrace will happen here, try to minimize the loss as it goes up hedge below 1494 logic in chart {image}
and there is no logic in going short above 1494
  • #53,509
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:19pm Oct 17, 2018 11:19pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} don't close 1494 is a decent support, a retrace will happen here, try to minimize the loss as it goes up hedge below 1494 logic in chart {image}
The problem for me is price is flat. If it was going down in Asia, I would be happy to hold and even add lower. But a flat market tends to continue.

I also may just close up shop for the week. I did very well on Monday as I had bigger lot size and was in futures markets. Sometimes best trade is no trade
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #53,510
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:24pm Oct 17, 2018 11:24pm
Speaking of logic ,, below a 4 hour 200 ( monthly ave price ,, below the quarterly open ,, below a hourly 200,, ,, below a m30 200 ,, below an m15 200 ,,, where would the logic be in going long before at least some weekly lows , or at the very least getting above something 1st ,,
  • #53,511
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:33pm Oct 17, 2018 11:33pm
Quoting digger1
Would watch the 1475 ,, a daily close below that could be a bit ominous with some quarterly numbers in the mix ,, some weekly lows below that a tad ,,, it may take a few shots at ,, see how springy it is from those if/when it gets there {image}
Yes, it would definitely be bad sign to close below on daily. I am thinking only short term as bounce from there means movers want to take price higher for November shorting (cycles)
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Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #53,512
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:34pm Oct 17, 2018 11:34pm
Quoting digger1
Speaking of logic ,, below a 4 hour 200 ( monthly ave price ,, below the quarterly open ,, below a hourly 200,, ,, below a m30 200 ,, below an m15 200 ,,, where would the logic be in going long before at least some weekly lows , or at the very least getting above something 1st ,,
The daily candle like a big engulfing bearish pattern now, combine pin bar and yesterday big red candle, would it be a signal to short again now?
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  • #53,513
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:37pm Oct 17, 2018 11:37pm
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Yes, it would definitely be bad sign to close below on daily. I am thinking only short term as bounce from there means movers want to take price higher for November shorting (cycles) {image}
To make the paltry 70 80 pips for the atr ,,, frankie needs to pop it about 15 20 pips ,,, but as always its all in what kinda mood london is in .
  • #53,514
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:43pm Oct 17, 2018 11:43pm
Quoting Dingoman-two
{quote} I will be looking at price action peaks for possible reversals points

In my opinion/T/A 1.1431 look's like it is going to be retested, if that breaks then 1.1300 area will come into play IMHO

  • #53,515
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:47pm Oct 17, 2018 11:47pm
Quoting digger1
Speaking of logic ,, below a 4 hour 200 ( monthly ave price ,, below the quarterly open ,, below a hourly 200,, ,, below a m30 200 ,, below an m15 200 ,,, where would the logic be in going long before at least some weekly lows , or at the very least getting above something 1st ,,
I am not seeing any reason to stay in long yet. Looking, searching,
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #53,516
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:49pm Oct 17, 2018 11:49pm
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} The daily candle like a big engulfing bearish pattern now, combine pin bar and yesterday big red candle, would it be a signal to short again now?
wait for lund on open
  • #53,517
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:51pm Oct 17, 2018 11:51pm
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} The daily candle like a big engulfing bearish pattern now, combine pin bar and yesterday big red candle, would it be a signal to short again now?
At this stage as flat as it has been ,,my self I wouldnt be in a hurry to do much of anything ,, frakie (frankfort open ) should provide a better clue ,, then into London ,,, when things pick up ,, if somebody gets a good poke thru the days open would look to sell it when it got back close to days open ,,, or frankie could run it uo to the res there around weekly pivot ,, if short from higher up stp is above weekly pivot atm . It has spent most of its time below daily open since it opened ,,so a bit of a bearish tilt ,, wont really know much till the big boys get going
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  • #53,518
  • Edited Oct 18, 2018 12:40am Oct 17, 2018 11:52pm | Edited Oct 18, 2018 12:40am
Still playing lows, not reached 1482/62 supports and so let it run. Below 1450 /60 will start test long. Frankfurt open should react first. Take care. Fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #53,519
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:53pm Oct 17, 2018 11:53pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} wait for lund on open
lol
  • #53,520
  • Oct 17, 2018 11:56pm Oct 17, 2018 11:56pm
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} The daily candle like a big engulfing bearish pattern now, combine pin bar and yesterday big red candle, would it be a signal to short again now?
Yes, you are seeing the same thing I am. The inverted hammer followed by big down day with very little wick on either side. Very decisive candles.
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Ecclesiastes 1:9
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