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EURUSD only

  • #47,281
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:39am Sep 26, 2018 11:39am
where are the bears my friends ? i mean the big polar bears , the drop is calling them
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd h1.png Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DX H1.png Size: 30 KB
yes yes yes
  • #47,282
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:44am Sep 26, 2018 11:44am
Quoting Moty
where are the bears my friends ? i mean the big polar bears , the drop is calling them {image} {image}
Im short from 1.1751.
Hope that helps. LOL
  • #47,283
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:44am Sep 26, 2018 11:44am
Quoting alio2
hi dear friends i am confuse , my charts say that eur will going up but federal rate will going up what would happen ?
It is not about the rate but more about the 'statement' (hawkish or bearish). Now if they don't raise the rate we'd be at 1.19 in a millisecond lol. That would be the surprise IMO.
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #47,284
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:48am Sep 26, 2018 11:48am
I am also curious, do you guys know from past experience, how the rate decisions affected the EURUSD price movement?
Rate hike = positive for USD or bad?
Follow my trading progress on Instagram: rags2millions
  • #47,285
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:49am Sep 26, 2018 11:49am
Quoting Moty
where are the bears my friends ? i mean the big polar bears , the drop is calling them {image} {image}

Mighty Moty when you have free time look at that 60min eu chart and see if you notice anything at the turns...scroll back and spend hours just looking at the 3 candles at each turn and the ones where it didnt...youll find the secret
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #47,286
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:51am Sep 26, 2018 11:51am
Quoting djvanryan
I am also curious, do you guys know from past experience, how the rate decisions affected the EURUSD price movement? Rate hike = positive for USD or bad?
Of course a rate hike is positive for any currrency. If they raise rates, it brings in more investors who buy more of that currency, in this case dollars. The thing is that everyone is expecting them to raise rates, the market has already priced it in so it will come down more to the tone of the statement and how hawkish/dovish the rhetoric is.
niemals aufgeben
  • #47,287
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:53am Sep 26, 2018 11:53am
Quoting moneymagnet
{quote} It is not about the rate but more about the 'statement' (hawkish or bearish). Now if they don't raise the rate we'd be at 1.19 in a millisecond lol. That would be the surprise IMO.

thank for attention
  • #47,288
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:53am Sep 26, 2018 11:53am
Quoting djvanryan
I am also curious, do you guys know from past experience, how the rate decisions affected the EURUSD price movement? Rate hike = positive for USD or bad?
FED Rates are priced in already. Two more hikes on the schedule for this year. I dont feel todays meeting will do anything dramatic. If anything we might see something bigger one way or the other after Powells talks tomorrow. Just my 2 cents. Overall, i believe EUR has more upside targets yet. End of quarter this week as well,,that might prove to be a bigger motivator for movement..again, my thougts. Happy Trading!
Zip
  • #47,289
  • Sep 26, 2018 11:57am Sep 26, 2018 11:57am
Quoting NovaFX
{quote} I mean of course a rate hike is positive for any currrency. If they raise rates, it brings in more investors who buy more of that currency, in this case dollars. The thing is that everyone is expecting them to raise rates, the market has already priced it in so it will come down more to the tone of the statement and how hawkish/dovish the rhetoric is.
Currently, with EURUSD at the top of its trend doesn't look like it's already priced in. I know that people like to commonly say that everything is already "priced in" but how do you know that? Do you know what price it should be at if rates are increased?
I'm guessing that according to your statement, you either have a long position or have bullish sentiment towards EUR and are expecting a spike in price if rates aren't raised?

Anyhow, if rates are hiked, I would bet we would see a fall in EURUSD at least to 1.15 and maybe even 1.13 or 1.10 in best case scenario.
Follow my trading progress on Instagram: rags2millions
  • #47,290
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:00pm Sep 26, 2018 12:00pm
Have no position into FOMC but here is my strategy. Feels to me like market wants to, and is going to go higher, possibly much higher. To me it is just the matter of if it goes down first. The statement would have to be crazy hawkish for me to not buy afterwards.

If hawkish, I plan on buying pullback to 1.1675, with ultimate goal of 1.1950's over next few weeks.

If dovish, I see it spiking to low to mid 1.1800's, then buy a 20-30 pip pullback for up to 1.1900"s possibly next few days.

Good luck to all!!!
  • #47,291
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:01pm Sep 26, 2018 12:01pm
Quoting djvanryan
I am also curious, do you guys know from past experience, how the rate decisions affected the EURUSD price movement? Rate hike = positive for USD or bad?
Simply check out this source to get the idea of what rate hike would mean for USA and USD: https://www.investopedia.com/article...-rate-hike.asp

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #47,292
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:05pm Sep 26, 2018 12:05pm
Quoting RCtrader
{quote} I disagree with you. Any punishment for speech is a one-way road = anarchy.
This iis not "a speech"... This is a "hate speech" When a Hate Speech is not punished on tine, it evolves to the Fascism. The world history is full of them.
Imparo ancora
  • #47,293
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:05pm Sep 26, 2018 12:05pm
Quoting djvanryan
{quote} Currently, with EURUSD at the top of its trend doesn't look like it's already priced in. I know that people like to commonly say that everything is already "priced in" but how do you know that? Do you know what price it should be at if rates are increased? I'm guessing that according to your statement, you either have a long position or have bullish sentiment towards EUR and are expecting a spike in price if rates aren't raised? Anyhow, if rates are hiked, I would bet we would see a fall in EURUSD at least to 1.15 and maybe even 1.13 or...
They are almost certainly going to raise rates, it's just a matter of by how much. If they don't raise rates EURUSD will shoot to the moon (because the market is assuming they absolutely will), if they raise by the expected amount, it will likely be more of a muted reaction. I highly doubt that them raising rates by the expected amount which has been forecast in every major financial publication would send it to 1.13, forget about 1.10. Like I said earlier, if the hikes come in as expected, I am far more concerned with the tone of the statement.

Indications about future hikes will also be a major focus
niemals aufgeben
  • #47,294
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:07pm Sep 26, 2018 12:07pm
people always talk about quarterly but how many actually look at one

https://www.barchart.com/forex/quote...eractive-chart

dont see anything bullish on that chart
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #47,295
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:12pm Sep 26, 2018 12:12pm
I know digger is always on that quarterly chart!

He is on any time frame chart, just ask him for levels lol lol he graciously shares
  • #47,296
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:13pm Sep 26, 2018 12:13pm
On June 14, in the interest rate decision in the euro zone, we received strong movement downward
, but not before the stop of the short position was teken out
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd d1.png Size: 22 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd 15M.png Size: 30 KB
yes yes yes
  • #47,297
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:14pm Sep 26, 2018 12:14pm
Hey Ata, can you share post your chart with the steep BO?
  • #47,298
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:14pm Sep 26, 2018 12:14pm
Quoting erksa
{quote} This iis not "a speech"... This is a "hate speech" When a Hate Speech is not punished on tine, it evolves to the Fascism. The world history is full of them.
Yes I too have zero tolerance for hate speech.. But I must agree with RCtrader here that it wasn't hate speech.. It was "rudely or carelessly criticising someone's poorly presented youtube video by calling him a clown".. As simple as that.. And due to his rude behaviour he was warned.. After that no similar behaviour came up so far.. All good..

We continue posting around EURUSD please..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #47,299
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:19pm Sep 26, 2018 12:19pm
Quoting Caifas
Hey Ata, can you share post your chart with the steep BO?
Here you are.. it was a M15 Steep Trendline Breakout.. Explanation on chart!

Stay Green
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1-M15-Outlook.png Size: 66 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #47,300
  • Sep 26, 2018 12:21pm Sep 26, 2018 12:21pm
Quoting djvanryan
I am also curious, do you guys know from past experience, how the rate decisions affected the EURUSD price movement? Rate hike = positive for USD or bad?
the general answer is rate hike good for the currency but more specific answer is nobody knows how the market will react to the rate hike. therefore, caution is your best friend as always.
As Above, So Below
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