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  • #46,821
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:50am Sep 25, 2018 10:50am
Short@ 1.17697, expect final push before London closes in about 10 minutes to D Pivot (1.17615), my TP is 1.17637, 6 pips from entry. After that, 2 turkey breast and mayo sandwiches on whole wheat
  • #46,822
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:55am Sep 25, 2018 10:55am
Lots of buying at 1.1765. Closed Short +18

Now long from 1.1768
Stop 1.1758. Just under Pivot
  • #46,823
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:56am Sep 25, 2018 10:56am
DXY at trendline resistance
niemals aufgeben
  • #46,824
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:56am Sep 25, 2018 10:56am
Quoting bobby2
Short@ 1.17697, expect final push before London closes in about 10 minutes to D Pivot (1.17615), my TP is 1.17637, 6 pips from entry. After that, 2 turkey breast and mayo sandwiches on whole wheat
What is your risk for these 6 pips, if I may ask?
  • #46,825
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:01am Sep 25, 2018 11:01am
eu daily + h1
rangebound
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd h1.png Size: 27 KB
yes yes yes
  • #46,826
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:05am Sep 25, 2018 11:05am
Quoting bobby2
Short@ 1.17697, expect final push before London closes in about 10 minutes to D Pivot (1.17615), my TP is 1.17637, 6 pips from entry. After that, 2 turkey breast and mayo sandwiches on whole wheat
TP now open.
  • #46,827
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:20am Sep 25, 2018 11:20am
Hi Guys,

At this stage all trades lead to Rome. Nothing cast in stone but hey ho,,,,,,,

Cheers,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_190.png Size: 59 KB
Trade to trade another day
  • #46,828
  • Edited 11:42am Sep 25, 2018 11:20am | Edited 11:42am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} What is your risk for these 6 pips, if I may ask?
I have stochastic sell signals, and I have a Daily pivot of 1.17615, the nearest Round numbers are 1.1775 and 1.1750. We're already through 1.1775. The pivot lies between 1.1750 and 1.1775. The probability of price hitting the pivot is higher than the probability of it hitting the next lowest Round Number as long as my MTF stochastic signals a downtrend. The current time frame (M5) stochastic may leave the orbit of the MTF stochastic. If the MTF stochastic does not follow, then it is merely a pullback and I can maintain my position. If the MTF stochastic follows the new direction then all bets are off.

What's the risk of those 6 pips? The risk is that my assessment is wrong and I will lose some pips. The signals are correct about 80% of the time. Thank you for asking. Unfortunately the turkey breast sandwiches will have to wait a bit.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU M5.jpg Size: 60 KB


Edit, 40 minutes after London Close, position still open and I'm starving.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU M5 2.jpg Size: 62 KB
  • #46,829
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:20am Sep 25, 2018 11:20am
Fucking candles playing around my BE.. gtfo.. either hit my SL or run!

edit.. argh.. I was just irritated.. need a beer now
  • #46,830
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:23am Sep 25, 2018 11:23am
I lifted my short, was from 1.1785. Caught about 0.002...

Will be looking to probably go short on the FOMC tomorrow. But I will need to see how the market sets up, because could also be long... I suspect will be a SHORT though, and would be trying to catch at 1.181, but a lot will depend on where it sits tomorrow at around 12-2EST ish.. =D
  • #46,831
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:27am Sep 25, 2018 11:27am
Quoting Wavegarrick
Hi Guys, At this stage all trades lead to Rome. Nothing cast in stone but hey ho,,,,,,, Cheers, {image}
Cheers, mate
niemals aufgeben
  • #46,832
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:34am Sep 25, 2018 11:34am
TF M15
R = resistance
S = support

Resistance became support and became resistance again.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 182 KB
This is not investment/trading advise. Will not hold accountable for loss
  • #46,833
  • Sep 25, 2018 11:38am Sep 25, 2018 11:38am
Quoting skillz16
I lifted my short, was from 1.1785. Caught about 0.002... Will be looking to probably go short on the FOMC tomorrow. But I will need to see how the market sets up, because could also be long... I suspect will be a SHORT though, and would be trying to catch at 1.181, but a lot will depend on where it sits tomorrow at around 12-2EST ish.. =D
Hike is already priced in 10 year yield 3 points down R u sure?
  • #46,834
  • Edited 12:15pm Sep 25, 2018 11:43am | Edited 12:15pm
Watching price action closely now, the M15 candle which is about to close is in the exact same area as the one at the exact same time yesterday which begun to breakdown after trying to move back up after a retrace from 1.1815. As I said we are in the exact same situation, in a retracement and coming off a high. Price is looking to inch back up and support is holding but if not we could have a repeat of yesterday. Could also mean nothing, but I'm not gonna get stuck in a long if it starts to break down.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture9.PNG Size: 112 KB


Edit: So far, price still looks supported
niemals aufgeben
  • #46,835
  • Sep 25, 2018 12:03pm Sep 25, 2018 12:03pm
Quoting bobby2
{quote} I have stochastic sell signals, and I have a Daily pivot of 1.17615, the nearest Round numbers are 1.1775 and 1.1750. We're already through 1.1775. The pivot lies between 1.1750 and 1.1775. The probability of price hitting the pivot is higher than the probability of it hitting the next lowest Round Number as long as my MTF stochastic signals a downtrend. The current time frame (M5) stochastic may leave the orbit of the MTF stochastic. If the MTF stochastic does not follow, then it is merely a pullback and I can maintain my position. If the...
Thanks for the explanation. Please go get some food. Don't trade hungry.
  • #46,836
  • Sep 25, 2018 12:05pm Sep 25, 2018 12:05pm
EU 15 M
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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yes yes yes
  • #46,837
  • Sep 25, 2018 12:09pm Sep 25, 2018 12:09pm
ok so in short short term in M1 , we have nice little bear nose developing.

on 1H there could be a classic reversal pattern, perhaps also bearish divergence
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM1 25 Sep2018 v2.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD H1 25 Sep2018 classic reversal v2.png Size: 50 KB
Trade it as it lies
  • #46,838
  • Sep 25, 2018 12:18pm Sep 25, 2018 12:18pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Thanks for the explanation. Please go get some food. Don't trade hungry.
I'm multi-tasking now. Finally it breaks through, popped back to my entry and is below again. Wacky!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU M5 2.jpg Size: 68 KB
  • #46,839
  • Sep 25, 2018 12:27pm Sep 25, 2018 12:27pm
Quoting NovaFX
Watching price action closely now, the M15 candle which is about to close is in the exact same area as the one at the exact same time yesterday which begun to breakdown after trying to move back up after a retrace from 1.1815. As I said we are in the exact same situation, in a retracement and coming off a high. Price is looking to inch back up and support is holding but if not we could have a repeat of yesterday. Could also mean nothing, but I'm not gonna get stuck in a long if it starts to break down. {image} Edit: So far, price still looks supported...
Closing my longs and opening a small short with a stop at 1.1776 Starting to look increasingly bearish on shorter timeframes and will likely move to the low end of the range as it did yesterday at this time.
niemals aufgeben
  • #46,840
  • Sep 25, 2018 12:49pm Sep 25, 2018 12:49pm
Still short from 1.17697. TP open, signal exit.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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