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  • #46,721
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:21am Sep 25, 2018 7:21am
Quoting kayikayi
{quote} why Dingoman!! are you betting so you can buy half of Australia by end of week?

Start small my friend, Ill try Western Australia first,

  • #46,722
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:22am Sep 25, 2018 7:22am
Quoting Dingoman-two
{quote} Start small my friend, Ill try Western Australia first,

hahhhahhaaa a good bitesize.....an appetizer!!!
  • #46,723
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:23am Sep 25, 2018 7:23am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Just thinking out loud: Rumors say interest hike is expected tomorrow.. That can create demand for US Dollar. But If any information was leaked that there will be rate hike 100% then think of the mentality of the big boys.. For them to be able to buy US Dollar for as cheap as it gets via EURUSD currency they have to do what? Bingo: pump up the value of EURO.. could I be wrong? any additional pro or contra comments on this issue from any of our fundamental professors here? Stay Green

Maybe voloume will give us a clue it has certainly been shifting a lot on the smaller frames this morning and currently but the larger ones remain unchanged for now. On forex we are stuck with tic volume but I find this still works very well.

I don't know if we have any fundamental professors on here but I think we do have a few nutty ones..... myself included lol
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #46,724
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:25am Sep 25, 2018 7:25am
good morning everyone. yesterday was good form me. lets see what the charts are going to tell me . i ll be right back
  • #46,725
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:28am Sep 25, 2018 7:28am
Quoting OddReality
{quote} Moty, i wouod assume you were not orignallytrading the head and shoulder formation. Will you short more here being as you assume this is as highas she can go.
I am all in allready ,mostly in short gu
yes yes yes
  • #46,726
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:47am Sep 25, 2018 7:47am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Just thinking out loud: Rumors say interest hike is expected tomorrow.. That can create demand for US Dollar. But If any information was leaked that there will be rate hike 100% then think of the mentality of the big boys.. For them to be able to buy US Dollar for as cheap as it gets via EURUSD currency they have to do what? Bingo: pump up the value of EURO.. could I be wrong? any additional pro or contra comments on this issue from any of our fundamental professors here? Stay Green

Hey.. Bro, thanks for your thoughts,

According to CME’s FedWatch, traders are expecting a 100% rate hike tomorrow and an 83% probability for another hike by year end, which is in line with the Fed’s dot plots from June’s meeting. So the main takeaway from the meeting will be how the FED view the future dot plots. The Federal Reserve may not seem very worried about growing tensions with the global trade dispute. So far there are no clear indications that global trade tensions are weighing on the U.S. economy despite a couple of surveys showing that some businesses are considering reassessing their investment and hiring plans. As for the inflation threat, the latest 10% tariff on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods is expected to have a minimal impact on prices, especially given the decline in the Chinese Yuan. However, this assessment will change if a 25% tariff is imposed on all Chinese imports, however the FED won’t jump to conclusions at this stage. The most interesting part in this scenario is how the Federal Reserve sees the economy performing in 2019 and beyond. Ongoing support from the fiscal stimulus will gradually begin to fade and higher borrowing costs along with a stronger Dollar will likely begin impacting future corporate earnings. For 2019 it only takes one member to lower his or her interest rate projections to shift the median expectation to two rate hikes instead of three. Such a shift in the dot plot will be viewed as dovish and likely lead to further selling pressure on the Dollar.

Happy Trading.
Trades technical moves enforced by fundamentals
  • #46,727
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:51am Sep 25, 2018 7:51am
Quoting post
{quote} Hey.. Bro, thanks for your thoughts, According to CME’s FedWatch, traders are expecting a 100% rate hike tomorrow and an 83% probability for another hike by year end, which is in line with the Fed’s dot plots from June’s meeting. So the main takeaway from the meeting will be how the FED view the future dot plots. The Federal Reserve may not seem very worried about growing tensions with the global trade dispute. So far there are no clear indications that global trade tensions are weighing on the U.S. economy despite a couple of surveys showing...

Not yet my friend, I am expecting a bullish push within minutes

take a look at the 5 min chart
  • #46,728
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:52am Sep 25, 2018 7:52am
shorth @ .17744


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #46,729
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:52am Sep 25, 2018 7:52am
consumer confidence report is missing on fx street calendar wtf?
  • #46,730
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:57am Sep 25, 2018 7:57am
If the price hits 1.1890 on the news at 10EST, I will probably be getting short. I already made some $ on the long.

I think short phase is coming here soon, and that is a good price to get in. Then again, I will also be looking at tomorrow and getting in at around 1.1757 (if it is not below that already).

My guess is we close a bit under 1.18 but around that, then tomorrow prior to the plunge see 1.1830 spike first... but just a guess
  • #46,731
  • Sep 25, 2018 7:57am Sep 25, 2018 7:57am
Quoting post
{quote} Hey.. Bro, thanks for your thoughts, According to CME’s FedWatch, traders are expecting a 100% rate hike tomorrow and an 83% probability for another hike by year end, which is in line with the Fed’s dot plots from June’s meeting. So the main takeaway from the meeting will be how the FED view the future dot plots. The Federal Reserve may not seem very worried about growing tensions with the global trade dispute. So far there are no clear indications that global trade tensions are weighing on the U.S. economy despite a couple of surveys showing...
If I wanted internet BS I could research myself.. My request was for the members who would like to share their own words around the topic.. anyway thanks for your effort of copying and pasting..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #46,732
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:01am Sep 25, 2018 8:01am
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...7#post11514207
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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www.sme-fx.com
  • #46,733
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:10am Sep 25, 2018 8:10am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} If I wanted internet BS I could research myself.. My request was for the members who would like to share their own words around the topic.. anyway thanks for your effort of copying and pasting.. Stay Green
If there is a consensus that 2020 we will see a downturn then the FED will at some point slow their hike outlook. Right now there are not enough indicators turning over for them to slow. They are usually way behind the curve when it comes to seeing things. So Id say they will hike right into a downturn. 100% hike with comments that may push the dollar down. So "Yes, we are hiking but we are starting to see some softness in X(housing, cars, whatever) and so we will watch those sectors when making decisions on further rate hikes." Something like that. So even if there is a hike, changing the outlook could make it do the opposite of what we would think it should based on the actual actions.
  • #46,734
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:14am Sep 25, 2018 8:14am
We have a big volume area at 1.1782 price struggling with it the past two hours

Athe other end we have the Draghi candle level at 1.1774
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #46,735
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:14am Sep 25, 2018 8:14am
Where's poor digs tonight, He's miss en all the fun ???????????????



Quoting Dingoman-two
{quote} Not yet my friend, I am expecting a bullish push within minutes take a look at the 5 min chart

no volatility here, people are waiting for the USD CB Consumer Confidence

trade wisely folks.
  • #46,736
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:19am Sep 25, 2018 8:19am
Quoting sixelad
shorth @ .17744 {image}
... you're looking at a monthy chart.. where's the fun in that?

all i see is above trending lines..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #46,737
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:19am Sep 25, 2018 8:19am
Newest RED TL breakout level on M15 is 1.1778.. let's see if it holds and how high it pushes up price..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #46,738
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:21am Sep 25, 2018 8:21am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} If I wanted internet BS I could research myself.. My request was for the members who would like to share their own words around the topic.. anyway thanks for your effort of copying and pasting.. Stay Green
Salam bro.

Yep I could write the whole thing but thought you would like it more organized way. anyway the main theme about the rate hike ..its already priced in so no fireworks expected on the announcement, the live meeting will be the key , I will be reading the FOMC statement in details which could shed some light on what FED is thinking for the future specially any hints on future dot plots . Then the FED press conference . at this point the scenarios could follows:

  1. Neutral to Less Hawkish FED USD Sell off, bye bye 1.17 Handle
  2. Too much Hawk, we could return to 1.16-15 Handle aftermath (1-3 Days)

Happy Trading

Trades technical moves enforced by fundamentals
  • #46,739
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:23am Sep 25, 2018 8:23am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Newest RED TL breakout level on M15 is 1.1778.. let's see if it holds and how high it pushes up price.. Stay Green
Closed my 2 Buy at 1.1785
  • #46,740
  • Sep 25, 2018 8:24am Sep 25, 2018 8:24am
Quoting post
{quote} Salam bro. Yep I could write the whole thing but thought you would like it more organized way. anyway the main theme about the rate hike ..its already priced in so no fireworks expected on the announcement, the live meeting will be the key , I will be reading the FOMC statement in details which could shed some light on what FED is thinking for the future specially any hints on future dot plots . Then the FED press conference . at this point the scenarios could follows: Neutral to Less Hawkish FED USD Sell off, bye bye 1.17 Handle Too much...
Splendid... now you are talking my language.. much appreciated bro..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
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