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The Swamp

  • #23,241
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:53am Aug 31, 2018 7:53am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Going for a BUY (Freaky FRIDAY) {image}
Out with a few
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #23,242
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:55am Aug 31, 2018 7:55am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Slightly different swing....still tracking 2054/1026 with 180Xx in the path.... {image}
these suckers are playing chess.. they wont even help a brother closing above 1646.. they will make life hard between 1620 and 1646..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,243
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:03am Aug 31, 2018 8:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} double chocolate fudge sprinkled with whipped cream cake and a berry Chantilly cake from Whole foods? I will eat on it for days.. you do know bulls dont need 1755.5 today? 1621 L close followed by, 1679 NY may work too.. 1756 can come later. st bears wanting the 1692 retrace may slam the door on their nuts if they cant get out before the close. i dont have the usdx close levels.. homework for me this weekend.. chf too..
I play your L closing rule.. yesterday was closed lower,, we should short from yesterday till today... now it looks like today may close lower than yesterday...
  • #23,244
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:10am Aug 31, 2018 8:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} these suckers are playing chess.. they wont even help a brother closing above 1646.. they will make life hard between 1620 and 1646..
I make easy for you.. 1690 month close.... if its lower.. Euro goes down next month...
  • #23,245
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:14am Aug 31, 2018 8:14am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 8/31/2018, ( My 1H EA targets are in bold) For Shorts: L1: 1.1643 L2:1.1622 L3: 1.1587 For Longs: L1: 1.1685 L2:1.1706 L3: 1.1741 Currently @8pm est 1H Downtrend stop : 1.1710; 4H Uptrend stop : 1.1654 Trading Strategy: Range & Short
TP2 1622 reached in Oanda....
  • #23,246
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:17am Aug 31, 2018 8:17am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I play your L closing rule.. yesterday was closed lower,, we should short from yesterday till today... now it looks like today may close lower than yesterday...
plus its a week close.. but it alone dont mean much because the day is 1646.. -1620 likely.. but if above 1620, see if NY is above 1683 close.. They may try to sneak it in.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,247
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:18am Aug 31, 2018 8:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} plus its a week close.. but it alone dont mean much because the day is 1646.. -1620 likely.. but if above 1620, see if NY is above 1683 close.. They may try to sneak it in.
My TP2 reached for shorts....... its your turn to make money now.....good luck...
  • #23,248
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:28am Aug 31, 2018 8:28am
pending short for next week//1692
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,249
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:28am Aug 31, 2018 8:28am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I play your L closing rule.. yesterday was closed lower,, we should short from yesterday till today... now it looks like today may close lower than yesterday...
you played it right.. well done. now put pending shorts 1733/1692 for next week
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,250
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:32am Aug 31, 2018 8:32am
Quoting Marco-Kanto
I'm short from 1.16845 after price showed signs of topping out through DPP - and also Gator's 1692. First TP 1.1645, 2nd at 1.16004. I don't post much but Gator, Boulder & others, your analysis & numbers have become invaluable - so thank you. https://youtu.be/0dcbw4IEY5w
Manual close here at 1.1609. Good day/week for me, so thanks again.
Focus.
  • #23,251
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:33am Aug 31, 2018 8:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} you played it right.. well done. now put pending shorts 1733/1692 for next week
I bought some longs here 1610 /1614 for a bounce in another acct ..since ADR reached 84 out of 80...maybe a bad idea...
  • #23,252
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:43am Aug 31, 2018 8:43am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 8/31/2018, ( My 1H EA targets are in bold) For Shorts: L1: 1.1643 L2:1.1622 L3: 1.1587 For Longs: L1: 1.1685 L2:1.1706 L3: 1.1741 Currently @8pm est 1H Downtrend stop : 1.1710; 4H Uptrend stop : 1.1654 Trading Strategy: Range & Short
lets see TP3 1587 coming or not..... usually off a couple pips on TP3...
  • #23,253
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:44am Aug 31, 2018 8:44am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I bought some longs here 1610 /1614 for a bounce in another acct ..since ADR reached 84 out of 80...maybe a bad idea...
i cant buy here.. but i can place pending sell orders. at 1692..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,254
  • Aug 31, 2018 8:47am Aug 31, 2018 8:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i cant buy here.. but i can place pending sell orders. at 1692..
its ok... its for small account... more for other purpose..not for money...
my money account.. I only play shorts right now...
  • #23,255
  • Edited 9:16am Aug 31, 2018 9:02am | Edited 9:16am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lets see TP3 1587 coming or not..... usually off a couple pips on TP3...
pretty much its done...low 1589...

* it did reach TP3 1587 finally ....
  • #23,256
  • Edited 1:08pm Aug 31, 2018 9:41am | Edited 1:08pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Will prolly go to MN S1 before any UP
Pending BUY
Cancelled
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #23,257
  • Aug 31, 2018 12:08pm Aug 31, 2018 12:08pm
Nafta Talks Conclude, Canada's Freeland To Hold Press Conference At 4:30PM....
  • #23,258
  • Aug 31, 2018 1:02pm Aug 31, 2018 1:02pm
How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week

This week, institutions stayed net shorted Euro for 3 consecutive weeks , which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, Aug 28, 2018.

The institutions net short Euro positions increased this week by 2,378 contracts to negative 7,219 contracts,

17,548 long positions were closed, and 15,170 short positions were closed as well . Now Longs total 171,359 contracts vs shorts total 178,578 contracts .

49% long exposure vs 49% short exposure,the same as the previous week

During week, Euro started at 1.1570, hit support at 1.1530,started to rally to high 1.1733, it closed at 1.1694

Large orders of shorts were covered, which helped the Euro price to move up, in a way to help them to unload their large orders of longs

Price did come to test and back down from weekly supply zone in 1.1655 to 1.1850 area, where sellers are active in this area,

Now price came down, which may test H4 demand zone 1.1535-1.1490 area, if it does not hold, next daily demand zone 1.1345-1.1300

In spite of Euro the recent moving up, I see institutions are lack of buying interest, which indicates they are preparing Euro to move lower

Institutions Sentiment: Bearish

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For Euro, they have started to build their net short positions since 8/14/2018. Therefore, the bearish sentiment is more for a long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
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  • #23,259
  • Aug 31, 2018 4:56pm Aug 31, 2018 4:56pm
How Institutions Position Themselves In Dollar This Week

For Dollar, the latest COT as of Tuesday,Aug 28, 2018, institutions increased net long positions 16 weeks in a row

Currently net long 34,571 contracts, up 449 from the previous week.

85% long exposure vs 15% short exposure , Longs added 5% and shorts dropped 5% from the previous week

Institutions continued to accumulate dollar while dollar came down from 95.71 high to 94.43 low.

Institutions Sentiment: Bullish
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  • #23,260
  • Sep 1, 2018 2:59am Sep 1, 2018 2:59am
  •  dot0
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: I pity the fool that fails to laugh | 368 Posts
Tnx gatorinla, Boulder & ill_be_back. Subscribed only to ill_be_back cause im always in the swamp... Ill_be_back don't post that much and id hate to miss him...dough he pulled a Silent Bob yesterday... Luv ya guys...
c'mon baby, daddy needs brand new clogs...
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