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  • #37,061
  • Aug 25, 2018 11:41am Aug 25, 2018 11:41am
Quoting Piptaker64
{quote} I found these..not sure if they are the ones tho... {file} {file} {file} {file}
I will try them and see ,, hard on monitors and key boards tho if I cant them to work ,,they dont seem to hold up to hammer swings lol
  • #37,062
  • Aug 25, 2018 11:59am Aug 25, 2018 11:59am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} Hi D.. thanks for ur quote. LOL.. i just trade what i see.. there is no barrier for price too high or too low..mrkt is so right.. as we see.. my anlaisis begin from weekly chart showing us a new low after making breaking down .maybe this is a fake break or maybe its real breakdown. price now on last strong support on H4 the candle.. a big candle is nothing for my analysis.. its just a big candle.. not a breaking candle.. but.. sure we must aware if big momentum canlde nearing snr level.. but i believe.. trend still going down.. we dont have...
All in ones view ,, Dont get the draw to minute chart other than to use for exact entries going with the mkt ,, even a 15 min can be a tad short in the choppy times ,M30 is works good , if you are truly trading mkt levels they show just enough history to apply to current spot trying to trade ,, just for shits and grins go back thru the thread around London open and see all the predictions you get from traders employing breakout strategys with very short time charts , your gonna make peanuts using a tight stop because your always working the wrong end untill the direction is decided or the current pattern plays out , by then you are too busy bitching about the mkt makers and the so called stop runs to capitalize, the ones that stick it out will finally get the right direction and one that runs for a bit which one needs to make money or to make back what they lost trying to get the direction right in stop outs ,, A M30 can even get cluttered doing the price projections for the patterns and watching the levels pointed out . Very frustrating and taxing on the mind watching every wiggle on a minute chart , bottom line is if you are truly trading levels used by the mkt you get a much better idea being able to see the right amount of the picture to make better informed decisions , the levels dont change because of time frame , 2 charts one with my figuring for price projections from flag patterns and a few different levels marked then a clean 30 min with just my quarterly levels ,,days open and midpoint from day before and the LO line, you can draw your own conclusion how long you need strain your eyes on the sht time frame charts
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  • #37,063
  • Aug 25, 2018 12:01pm Aug 25, 2018 12:01pm
Quoting mizi123
These area can make interesting swich.... inverted H&SH on H4 on bottom of trend.... {image}
And sugestion has became reality if price will manage to breake thru pointed yellow confluence area, my target will be: 1.18100 good luck
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  • #37,064
  • Aug 25, 2018 12:04pm Aug 25, 2018 12:04pm
Quoting mbrown
{quote} You two! Let's keep this friendly!!! Alphadude your original postulation was: {quote} However, my empirical research since 2003 on the EURUSD daily show there is a conditional probability of 58% that four bar direction can be determined if the following condition is applied: direction down: High1>H2, Low1>L2,Close1>C2,C0<C2, L0<L2,H0<H2) direction up: the opposite to the above. Where 0 is today, 1 is yesterday etc.
nice findings.

my postulation is correct and it is 100% empirical; and it is non-conditional probability.

it was based on a study that the higher the daily range; the higher chance it will retrace. I proved it wrong; by doing the intraday reversal study.

as I mentioned earlier; no matter how big the daily range; the direction of EURUSD for the day; it NOT dependant on the current daily range.

Any probability study must be put in context.
  • #37,065
  • Aug 25, 2018 12:09pm Aug 25, 2018 12:09pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} All in ones view ,, Dont get the draw to minute chart other than to use for exact entries going with the mkt ,, even a 15 min can be a tad short in the choppy times ,M30 is works good , if you are truly trading mkt levels they show just enough history to apply to current spot trying to trade ,, just for shits and grins go back thru the thread around London open and see all the predictions you get from traders employing breakout strategys with very short time charts , your gonna make peanuts using a tight stop because your always working...
yess sir.. thanks for ur advice.. may pips always with you
  • #37,066
  • Aug 25, 2018 12:50pm Aug 25, 2018 12:50pm
Quoting meugampong
{quote} yess sir.. thanks for ur advice.. may pips always with you
Lol, I should state I used to do the same thing in my early days ,, something to be said for being patient in trading ,,,, takes a while for it to sink in A 10 min will give you the same things as a 1 min ,,, if you think back to to Friday ,,, I suggested to you to tighten your stp a little when price was at the little blue circle ,,, tighten it , not exit it ,,,,, no sense in losing any if frankie wanted to catch the whole move from the bottom any rate up to test shoulder area of day before then london opened retested neck line of pattern from day before then boom off to put in a new high or for those shorting it was stp run when in fact it was just trading , a ten minute shows you the exact same thing as a one minute ,,just better for the eyes , as said before the chess match levels dont change because of time frame ,, any how as some know a little of my background ,,, yes , its been rainy here off and on and kinda caught up fixing stuff atm , so just catching up with my mistress= trading and charts lol, cheers all,, wife calling,,, must hide already know the 1st line ,,hey since its raining and you are in the office ,,,,,eeeeh oh boy
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  • #37,067
  • Aug 25, 2018 3:11pm Aug 25, 2018 3:11pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Just for my ensign charts and they are old temps made by a good friend . I havent found one for mete that I could get to work right ,, but then Im a farmer lol, cant put a wrench or a hammer to it Im screwed , Im sure I didnt compile or flick the right the button , there is the cam levels floating around FF somewhere ,, cant remember where the ones I tried came from , I just keep track of where they are at on mete from my ensign charts
ok thank you
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #37,068
  • Aug 25, 2018 4:16pm Aug 25, 2018 4:16pm
Lol, reprieve from the wife only temporally tho , weekend so I will thro a couple more charts in for thought . On a daily basis if you watch the price reactions using the cams and standard pivots it happens over and over again ,, mkt trades below open and goes to S1 or the cam L 3 level ,,then it will bounce towards the open , then by the end of the day if it dont cross the open it puts in a new low ,,,,,,,, If it takes out a cam 4 level it usually keeps trending that way which ever way its going . On a quarterly basis it has droped below the open to S1 and now its back not quite to the open ,,,,,,,,, if the open dont let it above who knows by the end of the quarter there could be a new low there is price projections below the last low , got to get above quarterly open for the bulls to make headway ,, the mkt tends to move in close to equal pip counts when the right levels are hit ,bear side if the open holds and a mighty suspicious line at 3 days of london opens in the same area folds , well the charts tells the story . Monthly candle not closed yet,, hammer looking at the moment ,, less than a week to go to close it ,, how many times is a candle made in the last little bit of time before it closes , food for thought . now if does 2 equal poles from the area it took a breather from , well you can see where it puts price on the monthly charts ,,,,,back in a shoulder area or the chess match area from the 2 year range highs,,,, ,, Bull side,, if it clears the open well you can see whats up there with price projections from what would then be an inverted H & S pattern ,, quarterly pivot 200 day sma and the perfect shoulder area on the monthly . One day one week one quarter at a time tho ,,nothing ever written in stone till the tracks are there . Just a side note , one can probably tell I use a few price patterns ,, here is the reason why . I had a trading friend tell me once when oil was 150 bucks a barrel that it would probably drop to around 25 bucks a barrel eventually ,I laughed at him ,,, told him if it did I would pay for a vacation for him and his wife for week ,, he said well I got price projections for there ,, when oil fell I think it traded for less than 20 a barrel very briefly on the futures mkt at its very low before it started going up again . The sob picked one of the most expensive spots to spend a week you could ever imagine ,, thats all Im going to say about that and dont dispel price patterns lol. Sorry Ata for taking up a lot of your thread ,I will say your methodology that you have freely given and have had the patience to repeat many of the things over and over is awesome and a giant step for all striving to master trading well enough to profit , you definitely dont have to predict that far out to make some,, your methodology kicks in when the tracks have been made and the best chance to profit is there , kudos to you man . Couple charts , an 8 hour and then how the levels relate to the monthly chart . Watch the levels that hold or fold and trade accordingly cheers all
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  • #37,069
  • Aug 25, 2018 4:43pm Aug 25, 2018 4:43pm
Quoting digger1
On a daily basis if you watch the price reactions using the cams and standard pivots it happens over and over again
I'm still under the impression that ESMA has had a little to do with the market action this month, but even at that, viewing an actual chart, really doesn't support my ideas.

Check it...

For May June and July, we've seen a supported area from, well...The close of Q3, 2017. We are now below YO and below the supported zone.

Coming into Month End...I don't expect a lot...but I also don't see any upside to this.

A little sideways action over the next 2 weeks and then an all out fucking exodus seems to be in the cards.

But...well...you know me...the perpetual EU Bear.



(Funny if I recall...Didn't I say we'd be buying this area in summer this year and now I've flipped to selling?)
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Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #37,070
  • Aug 25, 2018 4:48pm Aug 25, 2018 4:48pm
Quoting Magix
Monthly SR Zones... Wouldn't it be a killer to be buying EU at 1.139xx in the summer? {image}

Ahhh yes...here it is!

lol
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #37,071
  • Edited 5:06pm Aug 25, 2018 4:53pm | Edited 5:06pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} Ahhh yes...here it is! lol
If there was a penny for every prediction since we yapped about this I probably wouldnt be quite as pissed about paying for that vacation yet ,,,lol. Its not the money its just the thought of it ha
  • #37,072
  • Aug 25, 2018 4:59pm Aug 25, 2018 4:59pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} If there was a penny for every prediction since we yapped about this I probably wouldnt be quite as pissed about paying for that vacation yet ,,,lol
I hear that, brother...

But bracket the zones laid out in February...

Of all of the Crystal Balls you've seen here, mine are the biggest and brightest, right?

lol


To say that I was pretty close to dead on balls - given a reasonable market fluctuation - is fairly accurate...no?
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #37,073
  • Aug 25, 2018 5:00pm Aug 25, 2018 5:00pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} I hear that, brother... But bracket the zones laid out in February... Of all of the Crystal Balls you've seen here, mine are the biggest and brightest, right? lol To say that I was pretty close to dead on balls - given a reasonable market fluctuation - is fairly accurate...no?
Cant argue with it that is for sure.
  • #37,074
  • Aug 25, 2018 5:09pm Aug 25, 2018 5:09pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Cant argue with it that is for sure.
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #37,075
  • Aug 25, 2018 5:20pm Aug 25, 2018 5:20pm
Incidentally...

Prior to my post here, I had actually posted what the next 2 weeks will bring...

FWIW

Quoting Magix
According to the current market cycle, we should see 2 weeks of Absolute Market CHOP followed by a week that will completely crush Grid Trading EA's...I might be wrong on this one...summer session can be a bit of a See(C) You(U) Next(N) Tuesday(T)!
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #37,076
  • Aug 25, 2018 5:31pm Aug 25, 2018 5:31pm
Quoting Magix
Incidentally... Prior to my post here, I had actually posted what the next 2 weeks will bring... FWIW {quote}
Quite possibly, think we will have a good move up or down next week yet then it will be chop till next quarter then finish the year out with a bang in the last quarter. But itt will be whayever it will be. ill find my little chunk somewhere my brother , keep hoping tht one bot of yours will adapt anf improvise with the mkt lol It is fun bailing the little guy out here and there tho when the mkt gets a tad slow
  • #37,077
  • Aug 25, 2018 5:40pm Aug 25, 2018 5:40pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Quite possibly, think we will have a good move up or down next week yet then it will be chop till next quarter then finish the year out with a bang in the last quarter. But itt will be whayever it will be. ill find my little chunk somewhere my brother , keep hoping tht one bot of yours will adapt anf improvise with the mkt lol It is fun bailing the little guy out here and there tho when the mkt gets a tad slow

Your words, dude...

We can have an idea of where market is going, but we just don't know when it will get there. The market keeps its own clock...

Let's look at the year...Check it!
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The Green Line is Yearly open and we are coming into the close of Q3 - End of September. We are currently below resistance, but well...that candle ain't quite closed yet, we are just sitting below a pretty fucking heavy Elephant.

So...for S&G what are we really looking at here?

A single tap, market low and a thrust to resistance...time to buy?
FUCK NO!

If you are now buying below the red line, it's a great possibility that you've bought current market tops...wait for the break and retrace.

If we get the B&R, I'd say we have a reasonable expectation of a true yearly open, market test.

But!!

If we fail here...

Fuck...I'd hate to be holding longs!

And that...is all I got to say about that!
~Forest Gump
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #37,078
  • Aug 25, 2018 6:10pm Aug 25, 2018 6:10pm
For sure one does not make the mkt fit any time period or level, ya can use the history to make some probable outcomes but one must be able to react and improvise when the steps in time or levels dont match what we feel must happen . the reality is the mkt dont have to do sheet lol
  • #37,079
  • Aug 25, 2018 6:17pm Aug 25, 2018 6:17pm
Quoting digger1
the reality is the mkt dont have to do sheet lol
Kinda...

lol

Out of respect to the thread starter, I won't post my Dragon chart.

BUT!!

This could give a little clearer sense of direction...

Hint...I am actually thinking we see a YEARLY OPEN TEST...

But that can be our secret...

Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #37,080
  • Aug 25, 2018 6:21pm Aug 25, 2018 6:21pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} Kinda... lol Out of respect to the thread starter, I won't post my Dragon chart. BUT!! This could give a little clearer sense of direction... Hint...I am actually thinking we see a YEARLY OPEN TEST... But that can be our secret...
KCCO my brother time will tell
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