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The Swamp

  • #22,321
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:32pm Aug 17, 2018 1:32pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I will close all my shorts before close...,, I was waiting for 1430.. I exited my longs right before it was almost there...
small world..i close my legs at 430
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #22,322
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:34pm Aug 17, 2018 1:34pm
Quoting F.g
{quote} B. I closed mine too, in prft long ago... I am talking for a new trade . I already longed at 110.35 SL 29.90
F.g. I see UJ is doing good for you...
  • #22,323
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:35pm Aug 17, 2018 1:35pm
Closed long $JY at 110.60 for a decent prft
  • #22,324
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:36pm Aug 17, 2018 1:36pm
Quoting Boulder
let me short here 1424 for short term {image}
As expected, late news about hope for US-China deal ...

Hope also yours sells will be ok ...
I am who I am
  • #22,325
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:37pm Aug 17, 2018 1:37pm
Quoting imwim
{quote} As expected, late news about hope for US-China deal ... Hope also yours sells will be ok ...
I didn't know the news..thanks... my avg 1426.. I will be ok .. I will make some and close all before the end of the day...
  • #22,326
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:45pm Aug 17, 2018 1:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} small world..i close my legs at 430
now you are in with me.. I did add some at your 1437... good luck..
1439 is day range high.. we may be safe for the day
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.png Size: 11 KB
  • #22,327
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:51pm Aug 17, 2018 1:51pm
Short AudUsd too.at 0.7312.. it hits day range high
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud.png Size: 7 KB
  • #22,328
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:51pm Aug 17, 2018 1:51pm
E. hit 200EMA on hourly chart at 37~
  • #22,329
  • Aug 17, 2018 1:58pm Aug 17, 2018 1:58pm
no more craziness... I am done looking for trades .. now just wait..
  • #22,330
  • Aug 17, 2018 2:43pm Aug 17, 2018 2:43pm
Quoting Boulder
no more craziness... I am done looking for trades .. now just wait..
back to 1446ish... I remember about 7-8 years back. 1444 was lock a cement wall;;;;
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #22,331
  • Aug 17, 2018 2:47pm Aug 17, 2018 2:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} back to 1446ish... I remember about 7-8 years back. 1444 was lock a cement wall;;;;
I think about it.. actually I am going to hold those shorts. if I don't get profits today....since by Monday. 8am est. it will be 60 running hours for H1 uptrend.. 60% chance to reverse its uptrend within 24 hours.. Tuesday 80% chance.... I am playing for time stop for those positions......
  • #22,332
  • Aug 17, 2018 2:50pm Aug 17, 2018 2:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} back to 1446ish... I remember about 7-8 years back. 1444 was lock a cement wall;;;;
my bad it was 4444
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 58 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #22,333
  • Aug 17, 2018 2:53pm Aug 17, 2018 2:53pm
just got COT.. institutions continue to short the Euro.. I will post my analysis soon..
first time since May 2017 they had negative net positions in Euro...which also means,, they are starting to sell Euro now...
  • #22,334
  • Aug 17, 2018 2:54pm Aug 17, 2018 2:54pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I think about it.. actually I am going to hold those shorts. if I don't get profits today....since by Monday. 8am est. it will be 60 running hours for H1 uptrend.. 60% chance to reverse its uptrend within 24 hours.. Tuesday 80% chance.... I am playing for time stop for those positions......
I don't like it.. the day did make the higher close... but missed the week.. be careful with this week ending.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #22,335
  • Aug 17, 2018 3:00pm Aug 17, 2018 3:00pm
Quoting Boulder
just got COT.. institutions continue to short the Euro.. I will post my analysis soon..
yet its rising..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #22,336
  • Aug 17, 2018 3:04pm Aug 17, 2018 3:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yet its rising..
don't fall in their trap.. knowing their real intention.. they first closed their shorts, while in 1300s.. jump the price... get people sucked in for longs. their real purpose is to sell Euro when it hits high... ..
think about they play both sides to make money.. they are the ones fuel trends..to see the real purpose is to see their real holdings.. if they sell Euro.. I would be cautions for longs...
  • #22,337
  • Aug 17, 2018 3:32pm Aug 17, 2018 3:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if u dont mind.. send me the average indi,,, day week month one thanks,,
Sorry Gator...I've been takin' care of business..........

Inserted Video


Here ya' go...
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 DWMRanges.mq4   13 KB | 266 downloads
  • #22,338
  • Aug 17, 2018 3:33pm Aug 17, 2018 3:33pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} don't fall in their trap.. knowing their real intention.. they first closed their shorts, while in 1300s.. jump the price... get people sucked in for longs. their real purpose is to sell Euro when it hits high... .. think about they play both sides to make money.. they are the ones fuel trends..to see the real purpose is to see their real holdings.. if they sell Euro.. I would be cautions for longs...
at old close support <14446> acting like R
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #22,339
  • Aug 17, 2018 3:38pm Aug 17, 2018 3:38pm
How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week

This week, institutions added long positions also added 2 times short postions , which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, Aug 14, 2018.

The institutions net long Euro positions decreased last week by 12,354 contracts to negative 1,789 contracts, Institutions had built their net long positions since 5/9/2017. This is the first time they turned net negative , they now have became sellers from 8/14/2018

10,505 long positions were added, and 22,859 short positions were added as well . Now Longs total 188,428 contracts vs shorts total 190,217 contracts .

50% long exposure vs 50% short exposure, which 2% decreased in longs and 2% increased in shorts from the previous week

The week Euro started at 1.1598,rallied up to 1.1628 high,started its sell off, moved down to 1.1330 low, and closed at 1.1343 on 8/14/2018

Longs being added at low end 1.1300s and more shorts being added at 1.1600s level, which indicates they prepared Euro to move lower

We see after COT report, Euro broke lower to long term support at 1.1300. then it came with shorts covering, it rallied up to 1.1444 high Friday today.
If this continues, the next resistance level is 1.15-1.16

Long Term Bearish . and Short Term Bearish .

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For Euro, they have started to build their net short positions since 8/14/2018.
Therefore, the bearish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.png Size: 26 KB
  • #22,340
  • Aug 17, 2018 3:39pm Aug 17, 2018 3:39pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Sorry Gator...I've been takin' care of business.......... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RQYXxUaF9RI Here ya' go... {file}
i hope u used oil..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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