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Exotics (USD/TRY, USD/ZAR, USD/MXN, and others)

  • #81
  • Aug 8, 2018 3:53pm Aug 8, 2018 3:53pm
USDTRY

Meetings continue between sides..news says delegation is having a second meeting at Treasury Ministry..

for almost 6 hours..no certain result yet..

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-t...-idUSKBN1KT1DB

https://mobile.twitter.com/ragipsoyl...273415/photo/1
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #82
  • Aug 8, 2018 6:01pm Aug 8, 2018 6:01pm
Quoting mtawunge
{quote} which app you use to collect this info? @2dollardog

Hey, friend. These are screenshots of internet pages. I'm on PC.
  • #83
  • Aug 8, 2018 6:03pm Aug 8, 2018 6:03pm
Quoting Kaizen4X
Hello Guys, I am happy to join you guys in the Exotics , lets catch these pips . With proper risk management we are golden . I like the the idea of 50,100, 200 ...couldn't be on point . My current study is ZAR , though I am in the states ..lol. TRY, just confuses the heck out of me, like its chart reminds me of bitcoin on its rise :-) Anyways , happy to be here and super excited that we have some very open minded and comported contributors in here .... I am happy to join the family , lets hone down and bag these pips guys . Congratulations on your...

Welcome Kaizen!
  • #84
  • Aug 8, 2018 6:54pm Aug 8, 2018 6:54pm
USDTRY
Continuance of gloom articles by notable sources.
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  • #85
  • Aug 8, 2018 7:42pm Aug 8, 2018 7:42pm
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} USDRUB Very good call !! Well done !! UsdRub is up..new sanctions.. https://mobile.twitter.com/Reuters/s...5144809472?p=v {image}
thanks blackwinter. i banked about 170 pips! waiting for another entry if it happens
Mother of Pips
  • #86
  • Aug 8, 2018 9:18pm Aug 8, 2018 9:18pm
"Turkey must hike rates to 23% as the crisis gets worse, Investec says "


https://mobile.twitter.com/business/...3413924864?p=v
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #87
  • Aug 8, 2018 9:26pm Aug 8, 2018 9:26pm
Quoting blackwinter
USDTRY Meetings continue between sides..news says delegation is having a second meeting at Treasury Ministry.. for almost 6 hours..no certain result yet.. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-t...-idUSKBN1KT1DB https://mobile.twitter.com/ragipsoyl...273415/photo/1

I havent seen any official explanation yet about meeting results..but zerohedge says:

https://mobile.twitter.com/zerohedge...1500025856?p=v

Maybe more meetings on Thursday...but usdtry above 5.30 again..indeed without interest rate hike it seems any agreement with this issue will be just relief..lira needs interest rate hike seriously..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #88
  • Aug 8, 2018 10:26pm Aug 8, 2018 10:26pm
Quoting blackwinter
"Turkey must hike rates to 23% as the crisis gets worse, Investec says " https://mobile.twitter.com/business/...3413924864?p=v
TY Good catch !

Turkey to Build Third Nuclear Power Plant
Turkey to continue buying gas from Iran: minister
  • #89
  • Aug 8, 2018 10:52pm Aug 8, 2018 10:52pm
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} I havent seen any official explanation yet about meeting results..but zerohedge says: https://mobile.twitter.com/zerohedge...1500025856?p=v Maybe more meetings on Thursday...but usdtry above 5.30 again..indeed without interest rate hike it seems any agreement with this issue will be just relief..lira needs interest rate hike seriously..
Talks Fail.....says WSJ..

https://www.wsj.com/articles/talks-f...82020?mod=e2tw
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #90
  • Aug 8, 2018 11:08pm Aug 8, 2018 11:08pm
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} Talks Fail.....says WSJ.. https://www.wsj.com/articles/talks-f...82020?mod=e2tw

Alright, then. Looks like it might be a buy at Frankfurt for mine. Woot.
  • #91
  • Aug 9, 2018 2:14am Aug 9, 2018 2:14am
if i was the president of turkey i would quickly go running with a olive branch to the USA before the country collapse,s in to that big hole called "bottomless pit"
people leave, but this thread will go on for ever
  • #92
  • Aug 9, 2018 2:41am Aug 9, 2018 2:41am
Quoting Aussi
if i was the president of turkey i would quickly go running with a olive branch to the USA before the country collapse,s in to that big hole called "bottomless pit"
In addition, Central Bank must increase rates immediately..each day CB waits the cost of currency devaluation to the economy increases tremendously..if CB would have increased rates sufficiently according to inflation rates in April and July meetings, usdtry, inflation and interest rates would be lesser..now 2 year gov bonds rate is ard. %22.4..sooner or later CB will be obliged to increase rates (%17.75 now), what is the point of waiting.. sooner is better to curb devaluation and also inflation..hope things get better soon
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #93
  • Aug 9, 2018 3:27am Aug 9, 2018 3:27am
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} In addition, Central Bank must increase rates immediately..each day CB waits the cost of currency devaluation to the economy increases tremendously..if CB would have increased rates sufficiently according to inflation rates in April and July meetings, usdtry, inflation and interest rates would be lesser..now 2 year gov bonds rate is ard. %22.4..sooner or later CB will be obliged to increase rates (%17.75 now), what is the point of waiting.. sooner is better to curb devaluation and also inflation..hope things get better soon
and i agree , they need to do it real quick mate
people leave, but this thread will go on for ever
  • #94
  • Edited 2:41pm Aug 9, 2018 2:16pm | Edited 2:41pm
Quoting 2dollardog
{quote} Alright, then. Looks like it might be a buy at Frankfurt for mine. Woot.
UsdTry

I hope you enjoyed some of 2500+ pips today

I just got 200 pips since i scared of CB intervention..couldnt dare much..missed most of action..waiting logical action from CB has resulted in missing good trades..but CB continue to behave unreasonably and unwisely..it seems, CB and government are enjoying the situation..they are just watching like us..with doing nothing, they increase the costs to the economy and to the people..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #95
  • Aug 9, 2018 2:26pm Aug 9, 2018 2:26pm
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  • #96
  • Aug 9, 2018 2:29pm Aug 9, 2018 2:29pm
This is a great day to go quieter. School starts next week. I am the teacher. Also on call for Jury duty. Busy days. All be back when new routine is settled in.

Trade safe. Stay green.

-dog
  • #97
  • Aug 9, 2018 2:33pm Aug 9, 2018 2:33pm
UsdZar / USD index

UsdZar has risen a lot today with higher usd index..
Daily and weekly charts of Usdzar suggests that we are resuming up trend which started around april 2018..it seems that 50 MA in daily chart and 100 MA, 200 MA in weekly chart have supported well..and we are bouncing up..buying dips can be safer in following weeks..we are approaching September Fed meeting and to the end of summer trading season..also geopolitical crisis may escalate in Autumn such as sanctions(russia, iran), tariffs which probably will lead weakening of EM currencies..

USD index daily is strongly up today, forcing 100 and 200 weekly MAs..it looks it will break above soon..maybe tomorrow maybe next week..i was expecting it will happen in septemper with end of summer trading..but it may happen very soon..Fed meeting approaching..geopolitical risks are escalating..
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make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #98
  • Aug 9, 2018 2:37pm Aug 9, 2018 2:37pm
Quoting 2dollardog
{image}
Wonderfulcongratulations
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #99
  • Aug 9, 2018 5:14pm Aug 9, 2018 5:14pm
Quoting 2dollardog
This is a great day to go quieter. School starts next week. I am the teacher. Also on call for Jury duty. Busy days. All be back when new routine is settled in. Trade safe. Stay green. -dog
well done , your career as a teacher shows a good person
people leave, but this thread will go on for ever
  • #100
  • Edited 3:56am Aug 10, 2018 2:43am | Edited 3:56am
UsdTry

Some readings..

Euro slips after reports the ECB is concerned about exposure to..

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/10/euro...twitter%7Cmain

https://mobile.twitter.com/FT/status...9917062144?p=v

https://mobile.twitter.com/zerohedge...8303752192?p=v

https://mobile.twitter.com/Investing...1302156289?p=v

https://mobile.twitter.com/ForexLive...6050973696?p=v

Edit: https://mobile.twitter.com/FXstreetR...1668388865?p=v
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
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