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  • #32,081
  • Aug 3, 2018 12:27pm Aug 3, 2018 12:27pm
nah market apparently not want any bounce , avoiding any good sr may help . and at the same time in daily wave ended 3 , running 4rth to have another 5 down of any amplitude , also to end round top at 1.1503 around. in smaller tf a small diamond formed , broken at 1.1591 , conform breat below 1.1586 & hold type to test the reaction low / at the very bottom for validation , if success 51 Pips ++ sure short to direct 1.1502. take care , fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #32,082
  • Aug 3, 2018 12:30pm Aug 3, 2018 12:30pm
Quoting Rebearv.
Sustained volume to the upside with bully engulfing candle in H4 . At least to 1.1640 before midday. Regards!

Well... it is clear that today is not going to arrive at 1.1640, but I keep thinking we are going up, hope by Monday-Tuesday. Beware about H12 we are seeing sustained volume with a bullish engulfing candle; if it closes like this I will expect higher prices.

I will leave my position like this till see what happends on monday . My entry IS at 1.1595 SL 1.1559 T1 1.1640 T2 1.1704.

Have a nice weekend, and thanks to all for the good exchange of trading ideas.

  • #32,083
  • Aug 3, 2018 12:32pm Aug 3, 2018 12:32pm
Quoting McPippin
{quote} Now i wish i wouldve shorted. Can never predict how aggressive the drop will be. None the less. Its about time. Been waiting all morning for my entry. {image}

TP @ 1.1591 - 30 Pips.
Even though I feel like itll hit the Hourly 50 EMA before COB, Im done for the day; Focusing on my weekend.
Another saga begins Sunday.
Yall have a great weekend!
The Motto: Consistent and Highly Profitable
  • #32,084
  • Aug 3, 2018 12:36pm Aug 3, 2018 12:36pm
Quoting Moty
{quote} But the dollar index for the 4th time folded at 95 area . And its still possible that its a channle and not triangle in the eu
Hello Moty,
Yes you may be right It's possible to be reversed. Or it's possible to be ascending triangle. Time will tell you.
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FOR THE HORDE
  • #32,085
  • Aug 3, 2018 12:42pm Aug 3, 2018 12:42pm
I set my buy limit to 15650 maybe i could go long till 15900 tp today or monday. Is this Ok? or should i increase my limit? anyone please help
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  • #32,086
  • Aug 3, 2018 12:43pm Aug 3, 2018 12:43pm
Quoting dele5000
{quote} US and China are trading the rhetoric again, and hence safe haven
Exactly. US will impose 25% on China's goods instead of 10% previously planned. It will bring lot's of USD into US.
When you're not sure Short or Long - toss a coin! Chances are 50% !!!
  • #32,087
  • Aug 3, 2018 1:02pm Aug 3, 2018 1:02pm
Quoting Moty
{quote} But the dollar index for the 4th time folded at 95 area . And its still possible that its a channle and not triangle in the eu
I wouldn't say "folded". USD is doing strongest weekly close since a year. Still not far from 95.000
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Position Trader
  • #32,088
  • Aug 3, 2018 1:05pm Aug 3, 2018 1:05pm
Eu 15m
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yes yes yes
  • #32,089
  • Edited 1:59pm Aug 3, 2018 1:32pm | Edited 1:59pm
I think that the eurusd is still in a larger bear trend down to around 1.14000 area. But I suspect that next week there could be a small correction up to 1.16500 before continuing it's larger trend.
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  • #32,090
  • Edited 2:00pm Aug 3, 2018 1:50pm | Edited 2:00pm
12 pips only from reaction low for validation, watching., test & react 2o pips to retest, break for destination.perhaps still some time at least validation & break.if validation fails there should be violent reaction immediately above reaction high 1.1610!!hope not & validation remain intact again. Let's see.
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #32,091
  • Aug 3, 2018 1:51pm Aug 3, 2018 1:51pm
Quoting Moty
Eu 15m {image}
Watch that daily close...
  • #32,092
  • Aug 3, 2018 2:26pm Aug 3, 2018 2:26pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} Watch that daily close...
size does not matter

eu daily X 2
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Attachment g
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eu h1
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dx daily
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dx h1
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yes yes yes
  • #32,093
  • Aug 3, 2018 2:34pm Aug 3, 2018 2:34pm
Game of Traders! Winter is coming. That bull looks like he survives. But white walkers (dead polar bears) are on the way.
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Position Trader
  • #32,094
  • Aug 3, 2018 2:35pm Aug 3, 2018 2:35pm
Quoting Moty
{quote} size does not matter eu daily X 2{image}2927763{image} eu h1{image} dx daily {image} dx h1{image}
So dx reached exact to 95.16 d top but top ranging move price also. Let's see next week, happy weekend, small new trade here at reaction high & many other pair open for next with all 'be' and tp set perfect conservative . Fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #32,095
  • Aug 3, 2018 2:43pm Aug 3, 2018 2:43pm
Yes, bring those polar bears to Hawaii....
Lol
If you don't know how to earn money, don't loose it.
  • #32,096
  • Aug 3, 2018 2:46pm Aug 3, 2018 2:46pm
H1 Outlook

Checking various timeframes other than M15 can help as well.. Here is the H1 status: Bears are back right after H1 closes below BLUE TL.. 1.1580 is breakout level and 1.1577 was the price where you could have shorted! Don't sleep. Be awake when things happen the way we want it to happen

Stay Green
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #32,097
  • Aug 3, 2018 2:49pm Aug 3, 2018 2:49pm
Quoting Moty
{quote} size does not matter eu daily X 2{image}2927763{image} eu h1{image} dx daily {image} dx h1{image}
Uh oh
  • #32,098
  • Aug 3, 2018 3:00pm Aug 3, 2018 3:00pm
Looks like the EUR/USD will close under it's lower Bollinger Band (20,2) on Friday.

Extreme prices going into a weekend can give investors a couple extra days to reevaluate their positions.
The Last Friday close below it's BB was May 24th. The next Monday rallied up 80 pips before settling slightly lower on the day.

before that was Friday Oct 26 - the next Monday gained 42 pips
before that was Friday Oct 13, 2016 - the next Monday gained 28 pips
before that was Friday Jul 21, 2016 - the next Monday gained 18 pips

seems encouraging for bulls ....but a bigger data sample is needed for this scenario
  • #32,099
  • Aug 3, 2018 3:03pm Aug 3, 2018 3:03pm
Quoting shebalik
As per hourly chart, the range for descending channel is 1.1580 - 1.1600. Bears will try to close below 1.1580 and bulls will try to close above 1.1600. Monday trend will depend on that.
Hourly graph that I mentioned before. We were stuck between two TLs. Finally we are below the bottom TL line. Bears are happy.

If we check RSI, upper TL nicely resisted. We are targeting the bottom TL, roughly around 1.1530.
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Position Trader
  • #32,100
  • Aug 3, 2018 3:08pm Aug 3, 2018 3:08pm
price have been in a tigh bear channel for nearly all week, today prices bounced from the two extremes just to end up in a range of those extreme.......
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
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