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The Swamp

  • #20,061
  • Jun 16, 2018 11:33pm Jun 16, 2018 11:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} need a bigger sample.. the one your showing has one for 8 weeks.. the ninth week turned if I am reading this correctly.. this tuesday is week nine..
you are right..coming tues will be 9th week....we need big sample,.unfortunately I didn't track those before,,,,
I got to go...be back in 30 mins
  • #20,062
  • Jun 17, 2018 2:25am Jun 17, 2018 2:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} need a bigger sample.. the one your showing has one for 8 weeks.. the ninth week turned if I am reading this correctly.. this tuesday is week nine.. take in consideration the trend line on the way up.. and looking to left on the chart. last weeks may be bottomish. the pong at 1447 usually turns before.. it may screw 1446.. last week 1852 was pong.. it turned before reaching it.. plus if the 1509 low held i have a valid 21xx target.. with a 2032 norm..
I have been tracking this bastard for about 4 years now. I think if wants to test the lows of 2017 and the end of 2016. It will try to get there quickly maybe over the course of a month. There is absolutely zero good news about the EURO on the street right now. I missed the big fall from the 2427 area but I'm going to scale into these shorts as I think the bottom is no where even close. btw you and Boulder are the best. So please ignore my advise. I'm here studying you guys and sometimes I like to get your opinion on my market outlook. I think the low last year is around .0445

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Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #20,063
  • Jun 17, 2018 4:52am Jun 17, 2018 4:52am
Quoting ryder950
{quote} I have been tracking this bastard for about 4 years now. I think if wants to test the lows of 2017 and the end of 2016. It will try to get there quickly maybe over the course of a month. There is absolutely zero good news about the EURO on the street right now. I missed the big fall from the 2427 area but I'm going to scale into these shorts as I think the bottom is no where even close. btw you and Boulder are the best. So please ignore my advise. I'm here studying you guys and sometimes I like to get your opinion on my market outlook. I...
Don't get me wrong --- daily is poised to retrace a bit anyway.
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #20,064
  • Edited 8:02am Jun 17, 2018 7:50am | Edited 8:02am
Quoting ryder950
{quote} I have been tracking this bastard for about 4 years now. I think if wants to test the lows of 2017 and the end of 2016. It will try to get there quickly maybe over the course of a month. There is absolutely zero good news about the EURO on the street right now. I missed the big fall from the 2427 area but I'm going to scale into these shorts as I think the bottom is no where even close. btw you and Boulder are the best. So please ignore my advise. I'm here studying you guys and sometimes I like to get your opinion on my market outlook. I...
lets take our opinion out of it. The cot your tracking over the last 4 years. do you have many periods where cot remained in the same direction for 8 weeks? Just something we are looking at.

I see what your seeing. I saw it at 2500 too for the bullish bias. So now I'm trying to use the 2500 autopsy for bulls. to see if the bears are now in a like situation. Last year the year did close bullish. So bears may be on borrowed time too. here near 1447 is time to start looking for it.. last week made a HH since last months 1509. Last week so far was unable to get below 1509, it also was unable to hold a close below 1553. It was rejected. This would change with a LL. Last weeks high validated a 21xx target. Another is still valid for 19xx. It certainly looks bearish. I'm trying to see if clues now that dispute this are working.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,065
  • Jun 17, 2018 10:40am Jun 17, 2018 10:40am
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  • #20,066
  • Jun 17, 2018 7:28pm Jun 17, 2018 7:28pm
pa is at 1584 atm.. A good time for fact or fiction about 1696
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,067
  • Jun 17, 2018 8:06pm Jun 17, 2018 8:06pm
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 6/18/2018 ,
( My EA targets are in bold)

For Shorts: L1: 1.1582 L2:1.1559 L3: 1.1521

For Longs: L1: 1.1629 L2:1.1652 L3: 1.1690

Currently @9pm est
1H Uptrend stop : 1.1571;
4H Downtrend stop : 1.1826
  • #20,068
  • Jun 17, 2018 8:26pm Jun 17, 2018 8:26pm
Gator Why 1584 please?
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  • #20,069
  • Jun 17, 2018 8:29pm Jun 17, 2018 8:29pm
Quoting ill_be_back
Have a pending prolly trigger SUN/Mon, then UP {image}
Triggered Lets see
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #20,070
  • Jun 17, 2018 10:52pm Jun 17, 2018 10:52pm
the question is not if, its when. when is it gonna hit 1.22
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When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #20,071
  • Jun 18, 2018 12:33am Jun 18, 2018 12:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lets take our opinion out of it. The cot your tracking over the last 4 years. do you have many periods where cot remained in the same direction for 8 weeks? Just something we are looking at. I see what your seeing. I saw it at 2500 too for the bullish bias. So now I'm trying to use the 2500 autopsy for bulls. to see if the bears are now in a like situation. Last year the year did close bullish. So bears may be on borrowed time too. here near 1447 is time to start looking for it.. last week made a HH since last months 1509. Last week so far...
I think with no real news or major world surprise... it tests somewhere near 1800 before 1500.
Thanks for the response.
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #20,072
  • Jun 18, 2018 6:26am Jun 18, 2018 6:26am
Quoting ryder950
{quote} I think with no real news or major world surprise... it tests somewhere near 1800 before 1500. Thanks for the response.
one thing I'm certain about, either 1.2032 or 1.4046 will will this battle. the road to 1446 is through 1553. to do that it may go to 1696 first. 1696 is above 1681. above 1681 things could change. atm you may see an new leg to a W around 1560/92 area try to form. A lot depends on 1621 resistance atm.. Will the M i expect turn to a W is my question.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,073
  • Jun 18, 2018 6:31am Jun 18, 2018 6:31am
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When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #20,074
  • Jun 18, 2018 7:12am Jun 18, 2018 7:12am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 6/18/2018

Eur/Usd On 6/18/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1618, Running Period: 6x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1825, Running Period: 12 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1857, Running Period: 59 days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2535, Running Period: 5 week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H, 4H, daily and weekly are downtrend. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short as long as downtrend stop 1.1618 held at 1H close.

Long if price can break above downtrend stop 1.1618 at 1H close.
  • #20,075
  • Jun 18, 2018 8:10am Jun 18, 2018 8:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} one thing I'm certain about, either 1.2032 or 1.4046 will will this battle. the road to 1446 is through 1553. to do that it may go to 1696 first. 1696 is above 1681. above 1681 things could change. atm you may see an new leg to a W around 1560/92 area try to form. A lot depends on 1621 resistance atm.. Will the M i expect turn to a W is my question. {image}
it should make 1594/65.. if the current high held. L close above 1621 may make 1594/65 a possible long in the future. below 1621 closer to 1565.. still not too safe because the week closed lower too.

st a bounce from 1594/65 to close above 1621.. may give the patient who wait one more time in the 24 h that follow for 1594/65 once again. then target higher
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,076
  • Jun 18, 2018 8:15am Jun 18, 2018 8:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it should make 1594/65.. if the current high held. L close above 1621 may make 1594/65 a possible long in the future. below 1621 closer to 1565.. still not too safe because the week closed lower too. st a bounce from 1594/65 to close above 1621.. may give the patient who wait one more time in the 24 h that follow for 1594/65 once again. then target higher
I have some pending longs there...thanks....
Draghi will be on later.. we might see the prices...
>>>
  • #20,077
  • Jun 18, 2018 8:18am Jun 18, 2018 8:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it should make 1594/65.. if the current high held. L close above 1621 may make 1594/65 a possible long in the future. below 1621 closer to 1565.. still not too safe because the week closed lower too. st a bounce from 1594/65 to close above 1621.. may give the patient who wait one more time in the 24 h that follow for 1594/65 once again. then target higher
I wish to see 1.1565 before current 4H close. Then Mr. Draghi will take over the control
  • #20,078
  • Jun 18, 2018 8:26am Jun 18, 2018 8:26am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I have some pending longs there...thanks.... Draghi will be on later.. we might see the prices... >>>
treat those in the first run like scalps (book profit). Don't let it run back to 1594 again and lose those gains.

on the second run, if L manages to close above 1621// that same 1594/65 entry may run longer toward 169x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,079
  • Jun 18, 2018 8:30am Jun 18, 2018 8:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} treat those in the first run like scalps (book profit). Don't let it run back to 1594 again and lose those gains. on the second run, if L manages to close above 1621// that same 1594/65 entry may run longer toward 169x
I missed my buy 1.15944 by spread...
I may come down again to 1.1594/1.1590
  • #20,080
  • Jun 18, 2018 8:32am Jun 18, 2018 8:32am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} I wish to see 1.1565 before current 4H close. Then Mr. Draghi will take over the control
we all have a different 4h.. broker close time dependent. This screws some traders. I am using the oanada with ny lately..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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