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  • #25,221
  • Jun 13, 2018 9:02pm Jun 13, 2018 9:02pm
Quick H1 Outlook

The two target levels until London Opening:

  1. If blue dotted trendline keeps supporting and 1.1802 area brakes bulls can reach up to 1.1822 area..
  2. If blue dotted trendline can't support and 1.1802 area resists bears can retest 1.1776 area..

Stay Green

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #25,222
  • Jun 13, 2018 9:32pm Jun 13, 2018 9:32pm
Hi, I just wanted to put my 2cents. I would like to get peoples opinion.
I have the weekly , daily and 4hr chart of Eur/Usd below.
On the weekly I marked with red line where I think the Eurusd is headed.
On the daily you can see that price couldnt break above the 5 linear weighted ma high, the price was rejected for the last 4 days from thev5ma. If it breaks it I think it will goto 50ema and get rejected. But if it goes down and breaks below mid bb and 5,10 linw ma on 4hr, it will go all the way down to 1.1688 or perhaps 1.1650.
What do you think.
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  • #25,223
  • Jun 13, 2018 10:35pm Jun 13, 2018 10:35pm
Quoting hibra68
Hi, I just wanted to put my 2cents. I would like to get peoples opinion. I have the weekly , daily and 4hr chart of Eur/Usd below. On the weekly I marked with red line where I think the Eurusd is headed. On the daily you can see that price couldnt break above the 5 linear weighted ma high, the price was rejected for the last 4 days from thev5ma. If it breaks it I think it will goto 50ema and get rejected. But if it goes down and breaks below mid bb and 5,10 linw ma on 4hr, it will go all the way down to 1.1688 or perhaps 1.1650. What do you think....
My bias will be bullish based on H1 if price continues to stay above 1.1777/87 zone.. your target is on my radar too but it requires some serious time.. my half cents..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #25,224
  • Jun 13, 2018 10:57pm Jun 13, 2018 10:57pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} My bias will be bullish based on H1 if price continues to stay above 1.1777/87 zone.. your target is on my radar too but it requires some serious time.. my half cents.. Stay Green
Tnx
I think it will go to those lows to push all the way up. My bias is up on higher tf.
On the monthly, I think it will go all the way up to the 5/10 lnw highs, but my target is more coservative(the redline).
Lets see, im hoping.
Stay green
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  • #25,225
  • Jun 13, 2018 11:13pm Jun 13, 2018 11:13pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} My bias will be bullish based on H1 if price continues to stay above 1.1777/87 zone.. your target is on my radar too but it requires some serious time.. my half cents.. Stay Green
Same here, I also think the bulls have the upper hand, at least for now as the price broke above the H1 resistance line. Even though I closed my longs from last week and earlier this week right before the news this afternoon i noticed that the PA pushed the price back up above the weekly pivot, after the bearish spike, so i am in again. SL already in profit TP right below Weekly R38. On the other hand I am watching the H1 R line which matches the levels mentioned by Ata. A close below it I`d consider exiting.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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whether you think you can or can't either way you are right
  • #25,226
  • Jun 13, 2018 11:31pm Jun 13, 2018 11:31pm
Quoting pkimnyc
{quote} Good entry there Ata. Got in at the exact same price today. This entry wasn't easy to spot.
Just out of curiosity what made you buy at that price? Mine was based on 1 min chart. Thanks in advance. /r
1.1720-30?

Good one.
I'd add Fibo(going up Fibo not on old chart), previously support and resistance , stop hunt.

Boy, when i did my chart i hardly expected THAT MANY spikes

Here we go again....1805 stall... 1755 maybe to buy next?
Some triangle /pennant broken up. 4H chart.

Will know more a bit later.

More spikes coming....
Whether it goes down as purple line is dubious...
GL and trade slow.
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Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #25,227
  • Jun 13, 2018 11:33pm Jun 13, 2018 11:33pm
Looking at the 4hr again, looks like the price could easily reach top bb(1.1820)

On the 4hr tf the price was not able to break bottom bb for a while and than there is the bullish pin bar. So for the near future it looks like uptrend , buf for how long i dont know.
Its hard to analyze from a 6 inch phone.
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  • #25,228
  • Edited Jun 14, 2018 12:04am Jun 13, 2018 11:39pm | Edited Jun 14, 2018 12:04am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} 1.1720-30? Good one. I'd add Fibo, previously support, stop hunt. Boy, when i did my chart i hardly expected THAT MANY spikes Here we go again....1805 stall... 1755 maybe to buy next? Some triangle /pennant broken up. Will know more a bit later. More spikes coming.... Whether it goes down as purple line is dubious... GL. {image}
We are literally sitting in the "waiting room" of Dr. Market.. Frankfurt or London bell will tell us what to do next.. Keeping my bullish bias.. but I hope nothing for now.. On daily there is actually nothing to stop market until 1.1950... but yeah as always robber banks have to make it look more mysterious with various spikes.. be prepared for all kind of surprises.. trade what you see.. and beware of Draghi today.. good luck to all..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #25,229
  • Jun 13, 2018 11:50pm Jun 13, 2018 11:50pm
Quoting user954
{quote} in fact the price action after the FOMC hasn't done anything yet to change that view. The odds on it going lower after another 1 or 2 days of consolidation are still hig. Anyway, I don't post much, as always keep watching the trades in the trade explorer linked below - if the model changes its view, it will be reflected in the portfolio composition
interesting commentary. i am bullish until i see evidence of weakening. cant see it as yet. 1860/90 seem interim tops but wave is strong no weakness. no matter the news/event u cant bluff price action.
  • #25,230
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:01am Jun 14, 2018 12:01am
Good Morning

USD getting weaker against the safe havens, EUR/USD intraday direction (should be) bullish. Range is intact,
@1.184 remains the level to test

have a nice day
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you are not expected to understand this
  • #25,231
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:01am Jun 14, 2018 12:01am
quite clear
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  • #25,232
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:04am Jun 14, 2018 12:04am
Hello everyoneveryonee. Good luck in trading today because clearly this crazy market is out to trick us anyway possible. Good luck to those who survived yesterday's PA as of this moment EU has created a sideways PA above yesterdays high.
Read my shouts to get myfxbook link
  • #25,233
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:11am Jun 14, 2018 12:11am
Quoting hibra68
Looking at the 4hr again, looks like the price could easily reach top bb(1.1820) On the 4hr tf the price was not able to break bottom bb for a while and than there is the bullish pin bar. So for the near future it looks like uptrend , buf for how long i dont know. Its hard to analyze from a 6 inch phone. {image}

The candle in your chart is totally different with mine..why is it? I am nervous as it will totally make different view

I will ask my broker
WANDAFIT
  • #25,234
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:12am Jun 14, 2018 12:12am
Quoting Teek
Good Morning USD getting weaker against the safe havens, EUR/USD intraday direction (should be) bullish. Range is intact, @1.184 remains the level to test have a nice day {image}

The candle in your chart is the same as I saw in my screen
WANDAFIT
  • #25,235
  • Edited 12:34am Jun 14, 2018 12:21am | Edited 12:34am
Quoting kankonaki
{quote} The candle in your chart is the same as I saw in my screen
FYI: I trade with ECN brokers, the charts you see in here are true ECN charts, direct quotes,
no requotes, no marketmaking, no dealingdesk, no bullshit, and a 0 pip spread.
The price I get is precice, but I personaly would not worry about 2 pips difference or so.
If you trade intraday with a marketmaker, I'd say work with (2 x ATR) + Spread + some "fuck you pips" Stops.

Also, check if you trade real NY close charts.
NY close is 5:00 pm NY time.
you are not expected to understand this
  • #25,236
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:21am Jun 14, 2018 12:21am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Ok, the last tip heard, the Fed event might be also muted by the ECB tomorrow cut the QE ...surprise, surprise! ...hike is no surprise! It sounds reasonable, I'd say... but who the fk really knows!
Quoting TudorIoan
Ok, the consumer inflation (PPI) in 30 minutes might be muted by the hike ...or not. But the hike release moment - even an already consumed done deal non-event - will be followed by the people selling like robots! Therefore, is very probable the first spike down... Then wild spikes according to the Powell fairytales and stories at press conference... Then the Institutional Sharks will come by and set the things "right" ...that could mean anything ...too much for me. So, I'll get my popcorn and liquor...
Pretty much like it.

Powell fairytales and stories at press conference were like a slightly more hawkish policy tone in signalling two more rate hikes by year-end
thanks to a solid outlook for the world's biggest economy.

The USD bounce muted as traders booked profits before the ECB's show today,
where policy makers rumors were heard about the timing of cutting down the ECB's 2.55TN euro bond purchase program.

So, today might be the day of the huge spike...

Good luck, FIFO gamblers! Save your ammo, you slick pirates!
Attached Image
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  • #25,237
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:23am Jun 14, 2018 12:23am
Quoting kankonaki
{quote} The candle in your chart is totally different with mine..why is it? I am nervous as it will totally make different view I will ask my broker
Different brokers have different time zone settings on their servers based on where their servers are located.. it is a common situation.. H4 is the timeframe where you will see such candle difference the most..

Metatrader has no functionality or setting where you can shift server time to draw candles accordingly.. easiest fix is to sign up with a broker who has same server time zone settings with the person you want to follow.. My half cents..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #25,238
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:36am Jun 14, 2018 12:36am
Quoting Teek
{quote} FYI: I trade with ECN brokers, the charts you see in here are true ECN charts, direct quotes, no requotes, no marketmaking, no dealingdesk, no bullshit, and a 0 pip spread. The price I get is precice, but I personaly would not worry about 2 pips difference or so. If you trade intraday with a marketmaker, I'd say work with (2 x ATR) + Spread + some "fuck you pips" Stops.
lol what are " fuck you pips"?
anyway do you mind telling me who your broker is?
more importantly, do they accept american citizens?
you can pm me if its not appropriate to post it here.
tnx in advance.
stay green.
  • #25,239
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:42am Jun 14, 2018 12:42am
Buys are on the menu, if we can get (hopefully) a pull back towards zone on the open. No supply above so could make a clean upside break.

Don't like the 47 pip thickness of this level for RR, so prefer some bullish PA to hide a stop behind and tighten things up.
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  • #25,240
  • Jun 14, 2018 12:56am Jun 14, 2018 12:56am
Quoting user954
{quote} in fact the price action after the FOMC hasn't done anything yet to change that view. The odds on it going lower after another 1 or 2 days of consolidation are still hig. Anyway, I don't post much, as always keep watching the trades in the trade explorer linked below - if the model changes its view, it will be reflected in the portfolio composition
Conratz for your Pyramidal Adding Trading EA (pyramidal adding, grid trading, position martingale.... whatever)
Over 2000% is an impressive profit rate !
We are very proud to have you around !
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