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(binned per thread starter's request) Market bottom rotation trad

  • #4,081
  • Jun 12, 2018 11:10am Jun 12, 2018 11:10am
PLAY at the play, looking for tight risk on this one, sellers are hitting it hard on upside.
  • #4,082
  • Jun 12, 2018 11:25am Jun 12, 2018 11:25am
Quoting janpec1000
PLAY at the play, looking for tight risk on this one, sellers are hitting it hard on upside.
PLAY a great example of what i mentioned before to charvo, that its not a math facts of where each high is that matters the most, its overall relative consistency of behaviour in structure where the most price action exchange happens, this was example where two overshoots on highs should have been ignored from identifying the structure correctly.
Was a rather surprising strong rip there, sold initial long for 2 R loss (stoped out by a hair) and the second one sold for 9 R gain. 7 R gain total.
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  • #4,083
  • Jun 12, 2018 11:29am Jun 12, 2018 11:29am
CNP is consideration of pullback leg play after impulse if it bakes HH on momentum move.
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  • #4,084
  • Jun 12, 2018 11:30am Jun 12, 2018 11:30am
CPB which ever way this bid stack goes, it will go with a rip. Taking trade either way is way to go.
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  • #4,085
  • Jun 12, 2018 11:39am Jun 12, 2018 11:39am
Quoting janpec1000
CPB which ever way this bid stack goes, it will go with a rip. Taking trade either way is way to go. {image}
CPB went with rip as pointed out, to the south side. As pointed previously on the thread bid ask stacks are by far the most predictable pattern in markets in terms of its behaviour once the stack breaks, in 95% cases it goes with a bang (relative to the stack size).
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  • #4,086
  • Edited 12:05pm Jun 12, 2018 11:46am | Edited 12:05pm
SYNA bid stack on down trend behaviour change, pretty much a guranteed rip to come from this one. Bulls show micro strenght with soft HL print. Could be potential flagshiper of the day.
  • #4,087
  • Jun 12, 2018 12:05pm Jun 12, 2018 12:05pm
Quoting janpec1000
SYNA bid stack on down trend behaviour change, pretty much a guranteed rip to come from this one. Either way positioning is fine, gona play this one to long side as bulls show micro strenght with soft HL print. Could be potential flagshiper of the day.
SYNA for flagship play of the day with down trend behaviour change with shelf / bid stack. As pointed out, the rip from this one was almost guaranteed as the structure was extremely consistent and condensed, once the liquidation begins from structures like that it is unstoppable price move. 3 days in a row so far all flagshippers are down trend behaviour changes with shelf stacks. Best part of those setups is that it naturally provides great RR on a trade, which is often hard to find on setups.
Long sold for 5 R gain.
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  • #4,088
  • Jun 12, 2018 12:15pm Jun 12, 2018 12:15pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} CPB went with rip as pointed out, to the south side. As pointed previously on the thread bid ask stacks are by far the most predictable pattern in markets in terms of its behaviour once the stack breaks, in 95% cases it goes with a bang (relative to the stack size). {image}
CPB there she goes again. Another solid rip. This time clear ask stack with heavier upward rejections.
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  • #4,089
  • Jun 12, 2018 12:43pm Jun 12, 2018 12:43pm
H potential supply takeout.
  • #4,090
  • Jun 12, 2018 1:57pm Jun 12, 2018 1:57pm
ADNT behaviour change of bullish momentum with ask stack. Likely to result in demand failure and drop pop. Shorting this one on my main and secondary accounts.
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  • #4,091
  • Jun 12, 2018 2:09pm Jun 12, 2018 2:09pm
Quoting janpec1000
ADNT behaviour change of bullish momentum with ask stack. Likely to result in demand failure and drop pop. Shorting this one on my main and secondary accounts. {image}
ADNT sold for 1 R loss, had chance to exit on break even for 5 seconds but didnt pull the trigger, price indicated behaviour change in favor of bid. On other hand i probably wouldnt be quick enough to buy at limit on BE on both accounts.
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  • #4,092
  • Jun 12, 2018 2:25pm Jun 12, 2018 2:25pm
this last three trades simply amazing. feels like everyday they show up a couple of times at least
but i bet you work very hard scanning TC2000, lol, you must have a pair of robust eyes.

Quoting janpec1000
{quote} ADNT sold for 1 R loss, had chance to exit on break even for 5 seconds but didnt pull the trigger, price indicated behaviour change in favor of bid. On other hand i probably wouldnt be quick enough to buy at limit on BE on both accounts. {image}
  • #4,093
  • Jun 12, 2018 2:47pm Jun 12, 2018 2:47pm
FDC for last play of day if it breaks supply.
  • #4,094
  • Jun 12, 2018 2:52pm Jun 12, 2018 2:52pm
Quoting charvo
this last three trades simply amazing. feels like everyday they show up a couple of times at least but i bet you work very hard scanning TC2000, lol, you must have a pair of robust eyes. {quote}
Indeed flagshippers and high quality setups show every day. As explained on start of thread my scans are spread in 15-25 minutes bursts, no need to keep eye on charts all the time, return to them once half hour or about so has passed (but it takes experiance to go trough many charts that quick), and for last 4 months i keep it more concentrated (London and NY sessions) to bring as much material to thread as possible so traders can learn from, my usual trading hours are otherwise after NY open to 1-2 hours before close only (16:00 GMT plus one to 21:00 GMT plus one).
  • #4,095
  • Jun 12, 2018 2:55pm Jun 12, 2018 2:55pm
Quoting janpec1000
FDC for last play of day if it breaks supply.
FDC last play of the day closed on 2 R gain, whole area supply takeout on momentum move and then a squeeze before close.
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  • #4,096
  • Jun 13, 2018 4:43am Jun 13, 2018 4:43am
Quoting janpec1000
On fundy side... EUR taking some overall breathing room , as long as there are no surprise deliveries from Italy its likely to see some soft upwards momentum on EURUSD over next weeks (1700-2000 range) TRY taking out range of supply and now pushing towards correcting the move of rate hike. As pointed previous after rate hike its possible to see USDTRY bouncing downwards (which it did 3 times), and now as the 24th June elections are approaching the markets will push the TRY lower most likely. Time to put bearish hat on the TRY again. Russian rubble...
No surprise there, markets pushing TRY to the floor as mentioned yesterday. 24th is approaching. Eyes on USDTRY bull plays.
  • #4,097
  • Jun 13, 2018 4:52am Jun 13, 2018 4:52am
EURUSD potential supply takeout, will mark it and seek for micro plays on M1 along direction if M15 supply is taken out.
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  • #4,098
  • Jun 13, 2018 5:28am Jun 13, 2018 5:28am
Quoting janpec1000
EURUSD potential supply takeout, will mark it and seek for micro plays on M1 along direction if M15 supply is taken out. {image}
EURUSD baking target on supply takeout, 3 solid bounces from takeout area. Took entry on EURCHF instead for small 1 R gain.
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  • #4,099
  • Jun 13, 2018 6:43am Jun 13, 2018 6:43am
Potential play today in US dollar, FOMC later on with heavily expected rate hike could potentially offer a short play on dollar (buy rumor sell the news), will play on release later on in evening with short attempt 1 R play (SL about 50-70 pips, TP same).
After that eyes on rate trajectory report if there are any added agressive projections for 2019 rate hikes its possible to see dollar to go on a longer bullish march. If no changes are made, its neutral...nothing to see. Basically its markets digesting the new FED chairmans tilt for how hawkish his stance on hiking might be.
Will update this play 1 hour before the FOMC.
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  • #4,100
  • Jun 13, 2018 7:15am Jun 13, 2018 7:15am
is this a volatility tunnel? upper side is not symmetrical though........ it seems more bullish than bearish.
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