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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #51,221
  • May 28, 2018 2:11am May 28, 2018 2:11am
Quoting Karpa
{quote} 1.1820 is 50% retracement of the current swing (that's if the swing is over) it's 175 pips away from friday's close To get there, bulls must beat the bears at 1.174x and 1.178x my 2c {image} this is +/- what this week's candle would look like (top wick is the same as of the previous 2 weeks) {image} this is all fictional.. please don't take it as something that could actually happen
.....I see what you are saying sir. Karpa, thanks...
The Chonchy
  • #51,222
  • May 28, 2018 2:14am May 28, 2018 2:14am
Quoting pkimnyc
{quote} wavers might love this. if and when bounce, minimum target at 1.2 area. {image}
...Nice anlisys pkimnyc, thanks a lot....
The Chonchy
  • #51,223
  • May 28, 2018 6:34am May 28, 2018 6:34am
Morning.

If 1.6 goes today, there is no reference above 1.55
  • #51,224
  • May 28, 2018 12:48pm May 28, 2018 12:48pm
Quoting chonchy
{quote} .....I see what you are saying sir. Karpa, thanks...
Thank you Sir.
  • #51,225
  • May 28, 2018 9:13pm May 28, 2018 9:13pm
Quoting cesarnc
Morning. If 1.6 goes today, there is no reference above 1.55
...1.6...pair? ...Or 1.16xx e/u
The Chonchy
  • #51,226
  • May 29, 2018 4:29am May 29, 2018 4:29am
Quoting chonchy
{quote} ...1.6...pair? ...Or 1.16xx e/u
Sorry. 1.16 - Still rusty here...

Anyway, 1.155 gone. Support at psycological 1.15?
  • #51,227
  • May 29, 2018 9:50am May 29, 2018 9:50am
Quoting cesarnc
{quote} Sorry. 1.16 - Still rusty here... Anyway, 1.155 gone. Support at psycological 1.15?
...No problem Sir. I knew, but some other people may get confused with another pair...

In deed 1.15 is the target me think after this 1.15897...
The Chonchy
  • #51,228
  • May 30, 2018 10:58am May 30, 2018 10:58am
Quoting chonchy
{quote} ...No problem Sir. I knew, but some other people may get confused with another pair... In deed 1.15 is the target me think after this 1.15897...
You good, mate?
Enjoy the ride.
/r
  • #51,229
  • May 30, 2018 8:01pm May 30, 2018 8:01pm
Excercise for the day done...yeah I know. I never imagined myself saying this either.

What are the good folks on this thread up to?
Not all sins are created equal
  • #51,230
  • May 31, 2018 4:03am May 31, 2018 4:03am
Quoting Jay Walker
Excercise for the day done...yeah I know. I never imagined myself saying this either. What are the good folks on this thread up to?
Check this week's candle out. Big refusal at the 1.15 level, consolidation ahead in the 1,17 - 1,19 area. Opportunities for longs, but against the main trend that's dollar up.

H&S in the making for next few weeks. Then down we go to 1,10ish or under.

My 2 pips LOL
  • #51,231
  • May 31, 2018 8:06am May 31, 2018 8:06am
Quoting cesarnc
{quote} Check this week's candle out. Big refusal at the 1.15 level, consolidation ahead in the 1,17 - 1,19 area. Opportunities for longs, but against the main trend that's dollar up. H&S in the making for next few weeks. Then down we go to 1,10ish or under. My 2 pips LOL
I agree. There's an opportunity for longs but the prudent thing to do is to be short at the moment.

I think one of the shoulders in the H&S will be badly dislocated. 1.10 is possible but several weeks ahead. I already have a hat, put duct tape around and I'm ready to hold on to it
Not all sins are created equal
  • #51,232
  • May 31, 2018 3:56pm May 31, 2018 3:56pm
Quoting cesarnc
{quote} Check this week's candle out. Big refusal at the 1.15 level, consolidation ahead in the 1,17 - 1,19 area. Opportunities for longs, but against the main trend that's dollar up. H&S in the making for next few weeks. Then down we go to 1,10ish or under. My 2 pips LOL
...Cesar correct me if I'm wrong, but are we sure the long term trend up is over? All I see is a 50% retracement....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #51,233
  • May 31, 2018 4:02pm May 31, 2018 4:02pm
Quoting cesarnc
{quote} Check this week's candle out. Big refusal at the 1.15 level, consolidation ahead in the 1,17 - 1,19 area. Opportunities for longs, but against the main trend that's dollar up. H&S in the making for next few weeks. Then down we go to 1,10ish or under. My 2 pips LOL
...I mean I could be wrong about this but weekly was pulled back by the red ema 100 there, so bulls are like making a line in the sand, I don't know if is a moving sand or soft sand or one of those eating sand holes, but...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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...And daily is already over the yellow ema 5 on his way up, so maybe, just maybe we are going back up to the 1.20's it all depend on how much damage is doing that dollar up to the exports...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #51,234
  • May 31, 2018 4:14pm May 31, 2018 4:14pm
...Or I may be all full of shiet and this thing goes to parity ....
The Chonchy
  • #51,235
  • May 31, 2018 5:12pm May 31, 2018 5:12pm
Quoting chonchy
...Or I may be all full of shiet and this thing goes to parity ....
Chonchy, don't make me drool like this. Parity would be a huge income boost even for a secondary account
Not all sins are created equal
  • #51,236
  • May 31, 2018 5:36pm May 31, 2018 5:36pm
Quoting Jay Walker
{quote} Chonchy, don't make me drool like this. Parity would be a huge income boost even for a secondary account
...Well I think is going to go to the yellow ema 5 now, but after that it could come down hard and take the green ema 30 and that is all she have to go down to at least 1.1448, I think she is just taking power to cross the green ema 30...but now she should go back to at least 50% of that big red candle there and that is more or less concurrent with the yellow ema 5....1.18 or so...just my 1.5 cents....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #51,237
  • May 31, 2018 5:50pm May 31, 2018 5:50pm
Quoting pkimnyc
{quote} You good, mate? Enjoy the ride. /r
...Yeah I'm good mate, hope you are too, but I really can enjoy the ride, because I really don't know where is going, up or down, lol...

....give us your opinion pkmnyc, thanks in advance...
The Chonchy
  • #51,238
  • May 31, 2018 5:55pm May 31, 2018 5:55pm
...The only thing I know how to do with this thing is catch a few and put it in +1...that is all, and pray that it runs to 1.2540 and cross...lol Jay should be drolling now with his longs....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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...But one minute is tired, overbough so we should fall soon,...

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The Chonchy
  • #51,239
  • May 31, 2018 6:31pm May 31, 2018 6:31pm
Quoting chonchy
...The only thing I know how to do with this thing is catch a few and put it in +1...that is all, and pray that it runs to 1.2540 and cross...lol Jay should be drolling now with his longs.... {image} ...But one minute is tired, overbough so we should fall soon,... {image}
Mate,

4hr is in line with daily momentum to north.
While weekly is pointing down, as long as 4hr and daily stays north then it usually does a meaningful bounce before weekly takes over again.

Look closely higher tf on macd.
Take profit as it moves up. Load again if drops until daily and weekly lines up again to the downside.

/r
  • #51,240
  • May 31, 2018 6:39pm May 31, 2018 6:39pm
Quoting pkimnyc
{quote} Mate, 4hr is in line with daily momentum to north. While weekly is pointing down, as long as 4hr and daily stays north then it usually does a meaningful bounce before weekly takes over again. Look closely higher tf on macd. Take profit as it moves up. Load again if drops until daily and weekly lines up again to the downside. /r
...yes pkmnyc I see MACD is pointing down but I seen it go to the midle like now and go back up.... RSI is down there oversold and it needs to come to the middle at least to charge down again...my 2 cents...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
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