What is your best seasonal forex pair or stock to enter now?

Seasonality usually can be used (sometimes) for a few commodities such as corn or soybeans, it has something to do with planting/growing cycle. Natural gas, supposedly because suppliers stock up at a certain time of year. I can't see seasonality trading working with currency.

re: natgas - the glut of gas on the market has diluted any seasonality almost completely. Also, we haven't been having much cold in N. American winters for several years. I used to try to trade natgas, gave up.....

talking about options wich one is better debit or credit spreads?

USD/JPY trade down or up 90 winning rate from Feb 02 to April 14 .
Use a turtle price channel of 22 days and buy above 22 days high and sell below the 22 low.
go back the last 40 years and that trade worked most of the time

NG is going side.
Take all B.O signals based on seasonals plus price actions combine,
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Seasonally, this is the time of the year when natural gas usually finds a tradable bottom, suggests Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of Stock Traders Almanac.
Our long natural gas trade from late February to late April boasts a 72.0% success rate gaining 18 out of the last 25 years.
In the short-term, natural gas appears heavily oversold, as a relatively mild winter has left inventories well above historical averages for this time of year.
If the trend of above-average temperatures persists into spring and beyond, electrical demand could rise earlier and sharper than usual which could lead to a spike in natural gas prices.
Over the longer-term, the US has begun to export natural gas and analysts expect exports could reach 10% of current output by the end of this decade.
First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas (FCG) and United States Natural Gas (UNG) are two popular ETFs that correlate with natural gas.
UNG holds natural gas futures and swaps and FCG holds stocks of oil and gas producing companies that are exposed to crude and natural gas prices.
Recent crude strength has begun to aid FCG. It’s January low held in February and its stochastic, relative strength and MACD indicators have turned positive confirming the shift in momentum.
A break out above $4.22 by FCG would be further evidence that the current bounce is sustainable. FCG could be considered a buy on any close above $4.22 with a buy limit of $4.30. If purchased a stop loss of $4.00 is suggested.
UNG has just seen its MACD indicator turn positive and as a result has been added to our seasonal trading portfolio. Trading positions in UNG can be considered on dips below $6.25.source https://www.moneyshow.com/articles/guru-44479/

Traders can do well with either. I do both, but I mostly trade debit spreads. If I had larger accounts, that might be different. Credit spreads are riskier and take more skill and effort, I think.

Interesting

easier things to trade

Hola Pedro,

If you want some trade tips feel free to check out my options thread. I post some trades there usually in real time. I don't do any "all-in" type gambits, though. Usually, spreading out a max risk allocation among a number of positions. If I see something really juicy and my conviction is strong, I might risk up to 5% of an account on a single trade, but that is rare. And trading assets are spread between multiple accounts.

I think the June FOMC offers a good target event to trade around, I post some ideas about that in my thread.

Buena Suerte.

Sell in may?
well just in case i;m short RUT

RUT
Find a top in May/June

I also agree with the opinion that there are no seasonal currency pairs. The pair can be affected by news of the country, cataclysms, global events and so on. The price of a stock as for me also does not depend on the season. The stability of the company, credit history, an arrangement with investors, etc. may affect on the price. I prefer trading volatile currency pairs such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc.

SELL NAKED CALL .
STOP LOSS ABOVE THE LAST SWING HIGH

vxz

1. Over the next 13 weeks, VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN Ipath has on average historically fallen by 7.4% based on the past 9 years of stock performance.
2. VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN Ipath has fallen lower in 8 of those 9 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 88%
3. The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN Ipath, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN Ipath stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 35% could result.

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Over the next 13 weeks, Guggenheim CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust has on average historically risen by 0.4% based on the past 12 years of stock performance.
Guggenheim CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust has risen higher in 6 of those 12 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 50%
The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Guggenheim CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust, based on historical prices, is 12 weeks. Should Guggenheim CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 3% could result.

Country Index US S&P500 Index Canada S&P/TSX Index UK FTSE 100 Index France CAC 40 Index Germany DAX 30 Index Italy FTSE MIB Index Netherlands AEX Index Japan NIKKEI 225 Index Korea KOSPI Index China Hang Seng Index Australia S&P/ASX 200 Index

INDEX

INDEX 2

INDEX3

THE MEMORIAL DAY EFFECT ON THE STOCK MARKETS
http://www.equityclock.com/wp-conten...The_Market.jpg
North American equity markets have struggled during the month of May. Headlines have focused on concerns about sovereign debt issues, rising inflation rates, increasing interest rates and a slow down in U.S. economic growth. However, investor enthusiasm for equities could turn positive before the end of the month due to an annual recurring event, the U.S. Memorial Day holiday.
Canadian equity markets have a history of moving higher during and just after the US Memorial Day holiday held on the last Monday of May. This year the holiday falls on May 30th, a week after the Victoria Day holiday in Canada. Markets in the US are closed. However, Canadian investors have the distinct advantage of trading the session without the usual influence of our neighbors to the south. Volumes customarily are low that day, but the probability of gains is high. Since 1980, the S&P/TSX Index has averaged a return of 0.38 percent per session. The Index has produced positive results in 25 of the past 31 periods. Returns ranged from a loss of 0.19 percent in 1994 to a gain of 1.64 percent in 1980.
Returns during the remaining four trading days of the week following the Memorial Day holiday also have been respectable. Average gain per period by the S&P/TSX Composite during the past 31 periods was 0.91 percent. Returns by the S&P 500 Index during the same four trading days following the Monday holiday were even higher. Average return per period was 1.07% compared to an average return per period of only 0.06% during the week leading into the Memorial Day long weekend. A closer examination of returns during the week following the holiday shows that Wednesday and Thursday recorded the highest probability of positive results. Returns were positive 71 percent of the time.
Investor sentiment and trading activity favourably influence equities markets during the holiday period. Investors typically are in an upbeat mood with the Memorial Day holiday marking the unofficial start to the summer season. Many investors take advantage by using vacation time. Equity trading volumes are more subdued than usual. Similar tendencies have been observed near other U.S. holidays including Christmas, Independence Day and the Thanksgiving holiday. Equity markets also benefit during these periods from end of month cash inflows from pension plans and 401k plans.
Equity investors on this side of the border can take advantage. Canadian equity markets remain open on Memorial Day. At the very least, Canadian investors should not sell equities on the day before the holiday unless necessary. The easiest way to take advantage is to own Exchange Traded Funds that track the Canadian equity market including iShares S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (TSE:XIU) or the Horizons S&P/TSX 60 Index ETF (TSE:HXT) on the day of the holiday itself. In addition, Canadian investors can take advantage during the holiday shortened week by focusing on trading opportunities in Exchange Traded Funds that track US indices. For example, exposure to the S&P 500 Index can be obtained through the Horizons S&P 500 Canadian Hedged ETF (TSE:HXS).