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USD/RUB

  • #881
  • Mar 29, 2017 11:40am Mar 29, 2017 11:40am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
Going further down ?! Spot and futures confirmation (2h TF) charts. However, notice that the CB of the Russian Federation intends buying USDs from February 7 till March 6, 2017 (http://www.vestifinance.ru/articles/80862). Best D.P. {image}
Two months has almost gone.

A new picture arrived

Best
D.P.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Hunting High and Low
  • #882
  • Apr 9, 2017 6:14am Apr 9, 2017 6:14am
Any ideas why rouble fell instead of strengthened, while oil went up on friday?
  • #883
  • Apr 9, 2017 7:33am Apr 9, 2017 7:33am
Quoting shnackattack
Any ideas why rouble fell instead of strengthened, while oil went up on friday?
probably due to the U.S air strike on Syria
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #884
  • May 17, 2017 10:40am May 17, 2017 10:40am
I was curious, I spent time, a little analysis in the beginning of next year or middle of next, we are likely, 48-47. It is only a matter of time and political situation. Although the policy is just a fun game. I could be wrong. It is poured into the oil somehow, Russia is the not last place in the import of oil... I don't think alternative energy sources we will see later, the monopoly on natural raw materials for a very long time, perhaps even longer than us...
Don't start a game in which do not know the rules
  • #885
  • May 17, 2017 10:54am May 17, 2017 10:54am
Quoting shnackattack
Any ideas why rouble fell instead of strengthened, while oil went up on friday?
Well...

There were mostly two reasons for that

1/ The RUB dependance on oil is not strong now and it is still decreasing. So now you should not trust the oil prices to predtict the USD/RUB movement... But you should take it into consideration though.
2/ The CB of Russia does not like strong RUB for now. So they are buying USD at these levels.

Best
D.P.

P.S. The global scenario for RUB should have been still strenghening. The point of 54-55 is on the table.

Quoting Mpak
I was curious, I spent time, a little analysis in the beginning of next year or middle of next, we are likely, 48-47. It is only a matter of time and political situation. Although the policy is just a fun game. I could be wrong. It is poured into the oil somehow, Russia is the not last place in the import of oil... I don't think alternative energy sources we will see later, the monopoly on natural raw materials for a very long time, perhaps even longer than us...
Yeah, it is a matter of time to get there.

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #886
  • Jun 2, 2017 3:06pm Jun 2, 2017 3:06pm
So, to whom it may concern, guys

I am expecting some meadle-time weakening...

However, this weakening process might be lasting for a little bit...

Best
D.P.
Attached Images
Hunting High and Low
  • #887
  • Jun 3, 2017 12:41pm Jun 3, 2017 12:41pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #888
  • Jun 20, 2017 10:32am Jun 20, 2017 10:32am
Weak oil prices at $43 have sent Ruble plunging to over 59 at 59.66 to the Dollar now.
  • #889
  • Jun 20, 2017 10:35am Jun 20, 2017 10:35am
Quoting stylinex
Weak oil prices at $43 have sent Ruble plunging to over 59 at 59.66 to the Dollar now.
Waiting for calm water to take new entry's short again. Not the time yet.
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #890
  • Jun 23, 2017 5:45am Jun 23, 2017 5:45am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Waiting for calm water to take new entry's short again. Not the time yet.
Fired first bullet. Nice carry . Correlation to oil is strong and oil has been moving over in bear market so risky one. If it continue north I will average down after next turn on daily, and third on taken handle to downside weekly. ( I am hedging with 80% shorts oil, am trading the carry on Oil and usdrub)

Posting chart daily with weekly overlay.
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Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #891
  • Jun 23, 2017 6:21am Jun 23, 2017 6:21am
Yes, this quarter will close in green.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #892
  • Sep 7, 2017 11:57am Sep 7, 2017 11:57am
This one is a no brainer to get into around 60 as Ruble should appreciate to around 50 this year. If not this year then by next year. Either way you make money selling Ruble around 60
  • #893
  • Oct 28, 2017 11:09pm Oct 28, 2017 11:09pm
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Click to Enlarge Name: Rouble.PNG Size: 47 KB
  • #894
  • Nov 5, 2017 8:49pm Nov 5, 2017 8:49pm
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Click to Enlarge Name: rouble.PNG Size: 58 KB
  • #895
  • Dec 8, 2017 7:20am Dec 8, 2017 7:20am
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  • #896
  • Edited 4:04am Jan 14, 2018 12:31am | Edited 4:04am
Ok, finally we approaching resistance zone 55-57. All good now ready to go deeper.
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  • #897
  • Jan 22, 2018 1:31am Jan 22, 2018 1:31am
Buy Stop
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  • #898
  • Apr 16, 2018 9:47am Apr 16, 2018 9:47am
Monday morning began in Washington with Donald Trump's tweet that " Russia and China are playing a game called "Currency devaluation," while the US continues to raise interest rates."
Attached Image

This statement by the President of the United States is clearly contrary to the position of the us Treasury, which is published on Friday in the report "on the macroeconomic and monetary strategy of the largest trading partners of the United States" did not call neither Russia nor China currency manipulators. Even more strange is Russia's accusation of manipulation of the exchange rate against the background of the fact that in the last two years the dollar to the ruble has steadily declined, and its recent rise was triggered by the imposition of sanctions.
  • #899
  • Apr 16, 2018 11:06am Apr 16, 2018 11:06am
The Chinese government actually did not depreciate its currency. In fact since Trump became President it allowed its currency to appreciate from over 6.83 to around 6.27
  • #900
  • Jul 3, 2018 6:57am Jul 3, 2018 6:57am
Friends excuse my long absence. I hope you are all well. I am back now with a new comment on USD/RUB. It seems to me RUB is grossly devalued and will appreciate in the near future. Already there have been some calls by Danske that we will see 60 in the next 3 months. I think this is conservative. Factoring the price of oil and other economic indicators at the moment we should see significant appreciation in the RUB and thus I expect at least 53-55 by the end of the year. I opened a long term short position yesterday at 63.10. I consider the upside limited to 64.50 and the downside open to potentially even 50 (at current levels of oil prices). A trade with great risk/reward ratio.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
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