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AUD/USD

  • #103,861
  • Apr 13, 2018 9:00pm Apr 13, 2018 9:00pm
Quoting san99
{quote} Gap down???
I would say the US dollar will probably fall down to 88.xx, and that would push AUD/USD uuuuuup, but what do I know!!!

Oil and Gold UP.

AUD/USD already moving UP. Check XE.com.

Let’s wait and see.
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  • #103,862
  • Apr 13, 2018 9:30pm Apr 13, 2018 9:30pm
The coordinated a tack in Syria was limited and so will probably be the impact on the market.
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  • #103,863
  • Apr 14, 2018 6:15am Apr 14, 2018 6:15am
Quoting NotAtrader
The coordinated a tack in Syria was limited and so will probably be the impact on the market.
Agree, lot of time between when it happened and Sunday open
Enter Signature
  • #103,864
  • Apr 14, 2018 6:22am Apr 14, 2018 6:22am
Quoting san99
{quote} Agree, lot of time between when it happened and Sunday open
But it may have a gradually strengthening impact, as the investors are still anxious about the final outcome of this conflict. The investors’ concern may not materialize immediately at the opening time, but as (and if) the situation escalates, the US dollar will get hurt, the stocks and commoditie prices will react and thereafter we will have a situation with rallies and sell-offs.

Just my opinion
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  • #103,865
  • Apr 14, 2018 1:35pm Apr 14, 2018 1:35pm
Great analyses. I see DXY is right at multi-year support/resistance zone. I've never watched this before, so I don't necessarily know what I'm talking about. At the same time EURUSD is in its own multi-year support/resistance zone (relative, because it can swing DXY).

Outside the war news, I watch AUDUSD become strong bullish, like it was in December making its weekly turn. We did not have the wars in December and it was a holiday, so who knows what will be come of it. I don't know, but ready for the next opp.
  • #103,866
  • Apr 14, 2018 2:15pm Apr 14, 2018 2:15pm
Quoting 2dollardog
Great analyses. I see DXY is right at multi-year support/resistance zone. I've never watched this before, so I don't necessarily know what I'm talking about. At the same time EURUSD is in its own multi-year support/resistance zone (relative, because it can swing DXY). Outside the war news, I watch AUDUSD become strong bullish, like it was in December making its weekly turn. We did not have the wars in December and it was a holiday, so who knows what will be come of it. I don't know, but ready for the next opp.
Yes, if you look at monthly and weekly, you’ll see accenting channel. In both timeframes the price is at its turning zone on its way up towards the upper channel line. In my opinion the price will hit the upper line at about 0.83xx. It may take time till we get there, but eventually this is the long term target.

I am sure many people don’t agree with my view, but when the price in December was at the bottom of the channel I said that AUD/USD is bullish and it will hit 0.82xx in some months time. It almost did. Let’s see if we can get it right this time as well. AUD/USD is trapped in a bullish channel so that’s at least obvious. And this setup is valid unless we get a sustained breakout below the lower channel line.

Good luck
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  • #103,867
  • Apr 14, 2018 2:36pm Apr 14, 2018 2:36pm
Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} Yes, if you look at monthly and weekly, you’ll see accenting channel. In both timeframes the price is at its turning zone on its way up towards the upper channel line. In my opinion the price will hit the upper line at about 0.83xx. It may take time till we get there, but eventually this is the long term target. I am sure many people don’t agree with my view, but when the price in December was at the bottom of the channel I said that AUD/USD is bullish and it will hit 0.82xx in some months time. It almost did. Let’s see if we can get it...
Yeah. I took a look again. I agree with you. Not real sure how to explain it, but at present the bears are playing. As soon as they realize their losses and others take their profits, she's a buy imo. Might tough kick off one of those trend lines you mentioned.
  • #103,868
  • Apr 15, 2018 4:37am Apr 15, 2018 4:37am
Pair Analysis
Time frame Daily
Indicator line MA, Fibo, and Supdem, RSI.
Pair AUDUSD at daily time frame with market closing price at 0.7765, This price is below Fifo line 50 and thus trend is still bearish with retracement condition or correction. as well as the candle position is still between the two MA lines, the RSI also shows in the neutral level of 50-60.
For next week the trend setting is still bearish provided that no break resistance is made at the 0.7820 level
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_8.png Size: 191 KB
  • #103,869
  • Apr 15, 2018 6:02pm Apr 15, 2018 6:02pm
Quoting SkyrEk
Beautiful piece of art. Consolidation around .7650 is probably forming a base for the next lap up. Daily Chart {image}
Agreed. A/U has now formed the base for the next leg up to 0.80
going Long is good idea for at least next 2 weeks
  • #103,870
  • Apr 15, 2018 8:31pm Apr 15, 2018 8:31pm
Daily Pin Bar sell AUDUSD 7782 SL 7812
  • #103,871
  • Apr 15, 2018 9:26pm Apr 15, 2018 9:26pm
The opening price is below pivot 0.7777 indicating downtrend.
Support Level: 0.7741, 0.7718, 0.7682.
Resistance Level: 0.7800, 0.7836, 0.7859.
The MACD histogram is below the zero level.
Parabolic SAR indicator (step 0.02, max 0.2) indicates the price is heading down.

Trading recommendations: Sell.
TP: On the support level: 0.7741, 0.7718, 0.7682.
SL: One level above the entry point.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 00au.png Size: 25 KB
  • #103,872
  • Edited 3:36am Apr 18, 2018 3:19am | Edited 3:36am
Open buy position at 0.77540 tp open
Sl 0.77300. Hopefully it will hold at support area
Add another buy limit at daily support area 0.7746
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20180418-162908.png Size: 201 KB
usd
  • #103,873
  • Apr 18, 2018 7:19pm Apr 18, 2018 7:19pm
Hey, I'm seeing what could turn into a major short on the charts. My own signals. It could possibly give a fake rise and then fall. Never know. Stay sharp.

Green to all.

Trade safe.
  • #103,874
  • Apr 18, 2018 7:26pm Apr 18, 2018 7:26pm
Quoting 2dollardog
Hey, I'm seeing what could turn into a major short on the charts. My own signals. It could possibly give a fake rise and then fall. Never know. Stay sharp. Green to all. Trade safe.
Just curious what you call major? eg 100 pips, 500?
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #103,875
  • Apr 18, 2018 7:27pm Apr 18, 2018 7:27pm
Quoting 2dollardog
Hey, I'm seeing what could turn into a major short on the charts. My own signals. It could possibly give a fake rise and then fall. Never know. Stay sharp. Green to all. Trade safe.
Depends on what comes out in 9:30 employment report (in about an hour), I expect big spike up
In any case, watch your stops
  • #103,876
  • Apr 18, 2018 7:36pm Apr 18, 2018 7:36pm
Quoting dab
{quote} Just curious what you call major? eg 100 pips, 500?


I don't know how many pips. By "major", I mean a potential trend reversal. Sometimes it will short hard and fast and bounce back up quickly. The sell off, should it occur would be fast at 0.7780. Never know.

For now, she looks to be bullish. I will wait until the dust settles after the news. I'm wanting to ride the trend. Just waiting for some confirmation.
  • #103,877
  • Apr 18, 2018 10:18pm Apr 18, 2018 10:18pm
Okay. I'm in.
  • #103,878
  • Apr 18, 2018 10:22pm Apr 18, 2018 10:22pm
Nope. It recovered all loses from the bad data and it’s going up. Even this bad data cannot bring this pair down.

My previous forecast stands. I remain bullish on AUD/USD. The first major target is 0.825x

Good luck
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  • #103,879
  • Apr 18, 2018 10:51pm Apr 18, 2018 10:51pm
Nope to what? It went right up and straight down. I shorted at 0.7780 for a scalp. Then, it went right back up, but it fits your plan and that's awesome! I got into the bullish trend finally. woot
  • #103,880
  • Apr 18, 2018 11:29pm Apr 18, 2018 11:29pm
Quoting Speculata
Open buy position at 0.77540 tp open Sl 0.77300. Hopefully it will hold at support area Add another buy limit at daily support area 0.7746 {image}
Closed trade 0.78095
usd
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