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EURUSD only

  • #18,021
  • Apr 2, 2018 5:27am Apr 2, 2018 5:27am
Quoting aed71
{quote} Acutally I was joking following with the smile. My target was 10 to 20 pips, and there was a resistance I belive that not instantly be broken. Additionally I will not put more stoploss to a position I except around 15-20pips. Anyway thanks for the feedback.
Cheers, trade well
  • #18,022
  • Apr 2, 2018 5:33am Apr 2, 2018 5:33am
Hourly and monthly guesses? It's 2nd April and the end of the first quarter and guess what? We are still trading inside the January Dollar Dump. Ask yourself why the January Dollar Dump? Because it's the JDD!

If you want to be confused, read about it. Read about the Chinese reluctance to increase bond buying, increasing interest payments on increasing liabilities, Special Drawing Rights, about snakes eating their own tails and the rise in a new idea the banks have got: "non-prime" mortgages.
Gone to a better place
  • #18,023
  • Apr 2, 2018 5:56am Apr 2, 2018 5:56am
15M bars move like weekly bars
Closed short @2327. Waiting for momentum to trade again.
If u want to be successful, u must respect one rule: Never lie to yourself.
  • #18,024
  • Apr 2, 2018 6:37am Apr 2, 2018 6:37am
Quoting 4for4
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post10925333
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...4#post10927274
Market is not random but unpredictable
  • #18,025
  • Apr 2, 2018 6:38am Apr 2, 2018 6:38am
I am short.
SELL: EUR/USD 1.2336
TARGET = 1.2286
It's a big game.
  • #18,026
  • Apr 2, 2018 7:22am Apr 2, 2018 7:22am
Closed all my buy trades at 1.2342.. Now, waiting on sidelines for bears to finish retest completely..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #18,027
  • Apr 2, 2018 7:24am Apr 2, 2018 7:24am
Bull is pushing 1.2340 level. Maintain long if above 1.2350.
  • #18,028
  • Apr 2, 2018 8:52am Apr 2, 2018 8:52am
My view...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro.jpg Size: 171 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #18,029
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:01am Apr 2, 2018 9:01am
ISM PMI came in really, really low. Should be USD down, and EURUSD up. But we all know how it has been... haha
  • #18,030
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:03am Apr 2, 2018 9:03am
Quoting skillz16
ISM PMI came in really, really low. Should be USD down, and EURUSD up. But we all know how it has been... haha
How is that low ? Above 50 Is Expansion, and its nearly 60, it's a good news overall but shouldn't change the trend
  • #18,031
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:05am Apr 2, 2018 9:05am
Quoting skillz16
ISM PMI came in really, really low. Should be USD down, and EURUSD up. But we all know how it has been... haha

Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Maybe the US ISM data, a strong fundamental indicator who can shake the market on a low liquidity day (Euro banks' flows out), can create inhibition (waiting range) for the bulls... we'll see edit: I heard tips from analysts that ISM can print lower than expected, that's good for the euro bulls ...but who knows?!
And the broker's analyst was right, US ISM printed lower than expected.
So what?!
EUR/USD should go North ...but it would be too easy for the retailers it means everybody can make money in forex too fkn easy
So, forget about logic and just flip the coin
Member
  • #18,032
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:08am Apr 2, 2018 9:08am
Quoting Windstrown
{quote} How is that low ? Above 50 Is Expansion, and its nearly 60, it's a good news overall but shouldn't change the trend
I guess you are right. I should have compared to past numbers. I just saw that the expected was like 60 and that it was lower. I'm still long from lower, but getting sick of waiting for this move up so badly at this point... haha.

I'll have to review my closing terms here soon to be sure if I should be out I am looks like.
  • #18,033
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:10am Apr 2, 2018 9:10am
Quoting Windstrown
{quote} How is that low ? Above 50 Is Expansion, and its nearly 60, it's a good news overall but shouldn't change the trend
Quoting skillz16
{quote} I guess you are right. I should have compared to past numbers. I just saw that the expected was like 60 and that it was lower. I'm still long from lower, but getting sick of waiting for this move up so badly at this point... haha. I'll have to review my closing terms here soon to be sure if I should be out I am looks like.
Not at all. If 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency and vice versa.
Doesn't have too much to do with the 50% limit between expansion and contraction!
Member
  • #18,034
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:14am Apr 2, 2018 9:14am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Not at all. If 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency and vice versa. Doesn't have too much to do with the 50% limit between expansion and contraction!
Wait, what? Are you saying "actual is greater than forecast is good for currency" applies here?

Because the "currency" for the ISM news is USD. So if the actual is LOW, that is USD BAD and that means USD fall, EURUSD up since USD is the denominator of EUR/USD. Or put another way: that makes people concerned that the US economy is not as strong and rates cannot rise as much, which means USD down (usually) since the rates look less likely to go up - and since they start to look lower compared to EUR, that stays even or goes up as USD goes down (usually) which is net EUR/USD up.

At least that is my understanding of it, but I could be wrong.
  • #18,035
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:14am Apr 2, 2018 9:14am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} {quote} Not at all. If 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency and vice versa. Doesn't have too much to do with the 50% limit between expansion and contraction!
Better buy the pivot 2316...
Member
  • #18,036
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:14am Apr 2, 2018 9:14am
shouldn't i go long on this news?
  • #18,037
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:15am Apr 2, 2018 9:15am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} {quote} Not at all. If 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency and vice versa. Doesn't have too much to do with the 50% limit between expansion and contraction!
Quoting skillz16
{quote} Wait, what? Are you saying "actual is greater than forecast is good for currency" applies here? Because the "currency" for the ISM news is USD. So if the actual is LOW, that is USD BAD and that means USD fall, EURUSD up since USD is the denominator of EUR/USD. Or put another way: that makes people concerned that the US economy is not as strong and rates cannot rise as much, which means USD down (usually) since the rates look less likely to go up - and since they start to look lower compared to EUR, that stays even or goes up (usually). At...
Hey, please, don't make me to explain to you what means 'and vice versa' !!!
Member
  • #18,038
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:17am Apr 2, 2018 9:17am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} {quote} Hey, please, don't make me to explain to you what means 'and vice versa' !!!
Ah, ok. I think we are on the same page (not that it 100% matters but... ) and I just misunderstood and thought you meant he opposite of what I mentioned above. And I was confused so I wanted to see if someone/you would clarify.
  • #18,039
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:24am Apr 2, 2018 9:24am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Better buy the pivot 2316...
This could be a good idea! ...little late after the news.....
Member
  • #18,040
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:27am Apr 2, 2018 9:27am
Waiting until bear power dimms around 1.2318 area.. once I see bullish evidence I will buy again..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
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