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The Swamp

  • #17,621
  • Mar 23, 2018 10:59am Mar 23, 2018 10:59am
Now .23660 is attraction and I placed a pending sell at .23654 risking 15
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
  • #17,622
  • Mar 23, 2018 11:51am Mar 23, 2018 11:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} TP2 1.2360..
finally reached TP2...
  • #17,623
  • Mar 23, 2018 12:08pm Mar 23, 2018 12:08pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} finally reached TP2...

NY session is always tiring.
  • #17,624
  • Mar 23, 2018 2:51pm Mar 23, 2018 2:51pm
Quoting edyraper
{quote} This could be it for equities... {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Quoting edyraper
{quote} Sub 100.xx isn't far away now... {image} {image}
UJ
  • #17,625
  • Mar 25, 2018 12:01pm Mar 25, 2018 12:01pm
How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week

Until Tuesday, institutions were seen cutting their net long positions in Euro , which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, Mar 20, 2018.

The institutions net long Euro positions decreased last week by 13,641 contracts to 132,739 contracts. four week low. 89% relative to the max long record

20,019 long positions were closed, and 6,378 short positions were closed as well. Now Longs total 219,434 contracts vs shorts total 86,695 contracts .

72% long exposure vs 28% short exposure, the same as the previous week

This week Euro started at 1.2389 on 3/14, moved up to 1.2412 high, sold down to 1.2239 low on 3/20, closed at 1.2241
Longs and shorts being closed, it indicates institutions' hesitation to take out of either side of daily supply zone 1.2405-1.2440 or demand zone 1.2280-1.2150. Price has stayed in this range for last two weeks.

Euro was closed at 1.2353 last Friday, currently above 20 day (1.2315) and 50 day (1.2330),
It maybe on its way to challenge the daily supply zone 1.2405-1.2440, with the coming month end and quarter end closings this week

Long Term Bullish , Short Term points to higher..

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For Euro, they have built their net long positions since 5/9/2017.
Therefore, the bullish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro....png Size: 23 KB
  • #17,626
  • Mar 25, 2018 12:04pm Mar 25, 2018 12:04pm
How Institutions Position Themselves In Dollar This Week

For Dollar, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Mar 20, 2018, institutions decreased bullish bets by 911 contracts to net short 64

1,542 longs were closed and 631 shorts were closed as well, Now Longs total 20,950 contracts vs shorts total 21,014 contracts .

50% long exposure vs 50% short exposure , Longs dropped 1% and shorts added 1% from the previous week

Dollar continues below near term resistance at 90.50 with support at 88-89 area. Price has been in this range for last 9 weeks

Long term Bearish, Short term price consolidates in the range

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For dollar, they have been decreasing their net long positions for over a year
Therefore, the bearish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #17,627
  • Mar 26, 2018 7:42am Mar 26, 2018 7:42am
Sorry i got up later...here is the info...

Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 3/26/2018

Eur/Usd On 3/26/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2341, Running Period: 29x1H
4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2263, Running Period: 15 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2419, Running Period: 18 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H and 4H uptrend, daily downtrend. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to long as long as uptrend stop 1.2341 held at 1H close.
Euro is currently on its way to test dally trend stop 1.2419

Support: S1 1.2230, S2 1.2309, S3 1.2274
Resistance: R1: 1.2371, R2 1.2392 , R3 1.2427
  • #17,628
  • Mar 26, 2018 8:31am Mar 26, 2018 8:31am
Quoting Boulder
Sorry i got up later...here is the info... Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 3/26/2018 Eur/Usd On 3/26/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2341, Running Period: 29x1H 4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2263, Running Period: 15 x 4H Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2419, Running Period: 18 days ... If you trade 1H trend, preference is to long as long as uptrend stop 1.2341 held at 1H close. Support: S1 1.2230, S2 1.2309, S3 1.2274 Resistance: R1: 1.2371,...
broke the daily stop 1.2419.. on its way to TP3 1.2427..
  • #17,629
  • Mar 26, 2018 8:36am Mar 26, 2018 8:36am
TP3 1.2427 reached...ea for the cycle ..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #17,630
  • Mar 26, 2018 8:44am Mar 26, 2018 8:44am
Quoting Boulder
How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week Until Tuesday, institutions were seen cutting their net long positions in Euro , which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, Mar 20, 2018. The institutions net long Euro positions decreased last week by 13,641 contracts to 132,739 contracts. four week low. 89% relative to the max long record 20,019 long positions were closed, and 6,378 short positions were closed as well. Now Longs total 219,434 contracts vs shorts total 86,695 contracts . 72% long exposure vs 28% short exposure, the...
if Euro can break out this daily supply zone.1.2405-1.2448 per my cot report. it will on its way challenge 1.25 this week...
only 15 pips to go...
  • #17,631
  • Mar 26, 2018 9:08am Mar 26, 2018 9:08am
Quoting Traderak
Any close over 1.235x May bring 1244X 1.255x action hope. Just hAve small long...to beging partial short over 1.2440-1.2615 band.
sell stop orders.. 1.2512-1.2580-1.2615...
  • #17,632
  • Mar 26, 2018 9:09am Mar 26, 2018 9:09am
Quoting Traderak
{quote} sell stop orders.. 1.2512-1.2580-1.2615...
you know we are going to 1.25s.... I wait to see it can break this daily supply zone last line 1.2448 or not..... if so.. ..
  • #17,633
  • Mar 26, 2018 9:17am Mar 26, 2018 9:17am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} you know we are going to 1.25s...
like nobody I do not know...but I hope ...generally it forces opposite side to break or fail for a large move oppsite. I follow weekly ascending wedge and aiming towards top for better sell. in fact wedge says till 1.27+ is normal.
  • #17,634
  • Mar 26, 2018 9:56am Mar 26, 2018 9:56am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} if Euro can break out this daily supply zone.1.2405-1.2448 per my cot report. it will on its way challenge 1.25 this week... only 15 pips to go...
the daily supply zone is removed... next supply zone 1.2533-1.2597...
  • #17,635
  • Mar 26, 2018 1:22pm Mar 26, 2018 1:22pm
first sell 1.2456...rest will be 1.2512-1.2552-.1590.
  • #17,636
  • Mar 27, 2018 4:53am Mar 27, 2018 4:53am
EU: shorted the W-R2 rejection, immediate targets are straight forward on the chart. Looking like it is going to clear the D-PP / W-R1 zone
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2018 Mar 27a EU.PNG Size: 44 KB
  • #17,637
  • Mar 27, 2018 7:28am Mar 27, 2018 7:28am
Quoting MaxDoom
EU: shorted the W-R2 rejection, immediate targets are straight forward on the chart. Looking like it is going to clear the D-PP / W-R1 zone {image}
i was a dick for a pip, once again.. had limit sell on 784.. anyway will be new plays coming
  • #17,638
  • Mar 27, 2018 7:31am Mar 27, 2018 7:31am
Long at 2328/29 would be best entry for this pull back. Next target is 2555.
2380 now
  • #17,639
  • Mar 27, 2018 7:43am Mar 27, 2018 7:43am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 3/27/2018

Eur/Usd On 3/26/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2465, Running Period: 3x1H
4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2277, Running Period: 21 x 4H
Daily, Uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2211, Running Period: 1 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H downtrend ,and 4H, daily uptrend. A mix signal. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short the bounce as long as downtrend stop 1.2465 held at 1H close.

Support: S1 1.2415, S2 1.2385, S3 1.2335
Resistance: R1: 1.2476, R2 1.2506 , R3 1.2557

After Euro reached R1 1.2476, it sold off to S2 1.2385. 104 ADR already
  • #17,640
  • Mar 27, 2018 8:08am Mar 27, 2018 8:08am
sell oreders closed..here...flat atm. sell stops 2512-2550-2588 3/4 of target short...1/4 bullet will be used accorgingly manuel instant.
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