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  • #17,221
  • Mar 22, 2018 4:36am Mar 22, 2018 4:36am
15.6 Pips is the average gap since 03/01/1971

Not sure what to do with that. But interesting info.

My guess will be 15pip gap.
What's that smell? ---- I smell money!
  • #17,222
  • Mar 22, 2018 4:40am Mar 22, 2018 4:40am
Quoting SteFX85
15.6 Pips is the average gap since 03/01/1971
Thanks SteFx, I do not like surprises, I wish my thoughts come wrong
I can accept 15 pips not 150 pips
  • #17,223
  • Mar 22, 2018 4:41am Mar 22, 2018 4:41am
If you want to know the number of bull/bear candles, avarage wick/body length let me know
What's that smell? ---- I smell money!
  • #17,224
  • Mar 22, 2018 4:49am Mar 22, 2018 4:49am
Anyone thinks it will go down 1.2250 by the end of the day?
  • #17,225
  • Mar 22, 2018 4:52am Mar 22, 2018 4:52am
Could be time for a long
What's that smell? ---- I smell money!
  • #17,226
  • Mar 22, 2018 4:54am Mar 22, 2018 4:54am
Quoting SteFX85
Could be time for a long
Us hasn’t opened it, pound rate might sinks euro further I think
  • #17,227
  • Mar 22, 2018 5:26am Mar 22, 2018 5:26am
Up close...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #17,228
  • Mar 22, 2018 5:28am Mar 22, 2018 5:28am
Long range...

Okay EU...enough of the sidewinding - Its time to meet your target soon...I'm bored shorting you.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.proH1.png Size: 76 KB
  • #17,229
  • Mar 22, 2018 5:35am Mar 22, 2018 5:35am
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Click to Enlarge Name: News1.jpg Size: 4 KB
What's that smell? ---- I smell money!
  • #17,230
  • Mar 22, 2018 5:47am Mar 22, 2018 5:47am
I’m shorting it too... plz down down down
  • #17,231
  • Mar 22, 2018 5:48am Mar 22, 2018 5:48am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 96 KB
What's that smell? ---- I smell money!
  • #17,232
  • Mar 22, 2018 5:54am Mar 22, 2018 5:54am
Quoting SteFX85
{image}
I’m not too greedy, 1.2250 would make my day
  • #17,233
  • Edited 6:31am Mar 22, 2018 6:14am | Edited 6:31am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EWDaily.png Size: 96 KB
What's that smell? ---- I smell money!
  • #17,234
  • Mar 22, 2018 6:15am Mar 22, 2018 6:15am
What a MESS! And 1.2294 keeps holding, right?

Been an absolutely horrible last 30 trading days... no clear direction and crazy direction switches. Anyone who has been trading this period and not lost is in my opinion PRO. haha.

I'd personally like to say LONG/up, but at this point who knows because it keeps hitting back to these crummy levels and that makes me nervous.
  • #17,235
  • Mar 22, 2018 6:20am Mar 22, 2018 6:20am
Quoting skillz16
What a MESS! And 1.2294 keeps holding, right? Been an absolutely horrible last 30 trading days... no clear direction and crazy direction switches. Anyone who has been trading this period and not lost is in my opinion PRO. haha. I'd personally like to say LONG/up, but at this point who knows because it keeps hitting back to these crummy levels and that makes me nervous.
@ two months oscillating ...actually doing nothing ?!
That's why intraday trading can bring you something more ...than swing trading ( )
Just saying, excuse me interrupting around
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  • #17,236
  • Mar 22, 2018 6:21am Mar 22, 2018 6:21am
Personally, I do not see how US can have more than a few rate rises given the current rate of growth of our debt, and that I think we moved a lot of the financing to more of a short term basis. I think that is why they are backing off now and say they will run the inflation and the economy "hotter than normal" - IE there is no way the government can stay open if it rises as much as it should.

I'd honestly think that means EURUSD up a lot because of USD down, but it feels like we have been stuck in groundhog day for the past 20 or so days... haha, right?
  • #17,237
  • Mar 22, 2018 6:25am Mar 22, 2018 6:25am
Quoting TudorIoan
@ two months oscillating ...actually doing nothing ?! That's why intraday trading can bring you something more ...than swing trading ( ) Just saying, excuse me interrupting around {image}
I feel fortunate because I have good systems that still made money in this period. Personally, I'd consider "intraday trading" as just a word though - leave when the profit is done...

I also could be biased/wrong and thinking it is not possible (incorrectly) just because I cannot do it or do not have the disposition to do it, but I think it is incredibly easy to lose a large chunk of profits "intraday trading" - IE you could have many day periods that go well, then one that is horrible (even with good lot management and risk control) - that erases most gain. But I suppose to each his own? And maybe I'm honestly just not good enough yet...

I always just felt that once the time scale got small enough, it is less about the overall levels and more prone to the randomness and someone fat-finger ruining your trade. But might just be me.
  • #17,238
  • Mar 22, 2018 6:31am Mar 22, 2018 6:31am
Quoting skillz16
{quote} I feel fortunate because I have good systems that still made money in this period. Personally, I'd consider "intraday trading" as just a word though - leave when the profit is done... I also could be biased/wrong and thinking it is not possible (incorrectly) just because I cannot do it or do not have the disposition to do it, but I think it is incredibly easy to lose a large chunk of profits "intraday trading" - IE you could have many day periods that go well, then one that is horrible (even with good lot management and risk control)...
Come on, you can see on M15 the same thing as it can be seen on MN or W1 ...a fractalic structure.
Ok, agree, on scalping it's the trading costs for the spread ...if you set target at 10 points you have to pay the broker 10-15% while on W1 or MN the spread is insignificant ...but you have swap...
And 'fat finger' can ruin a position as it may boost your account as well ...if the direction is right for you
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  • #17,239
  • Mar 22, 2018 6:39am Mar 22, 2018 6:39am
If you are a technical trader and base your strategy on market structure; 15mins/60/240/daily/ weekly etc - all the same thing really and oblige accordingly.

I simply prefer the longer timeframes because I'm a bit of a lazy bugger.
  • #17,240
  • Mar 22, 2018 6:40am Mar 22, 2018 6:40am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Come on, you can see on M15 the same thing as it can be seen on MN or W1 ...a fractalic structure. Ok, agree, on scalping it's the trading costs for the spread ...if you set target at 10 points you have to pay the broker 10-15% while on W1 or MN the spread is insignificant ...but you have swap...
Great points, especially the swap part.

I still think though that:

  1. We need "trends" to be reliable to buy low and sell high - or vis versa.
  2. Trends are not as reliable on the lower timeframes

But maybe I'm just not cut out for it and it is just mindset? I just noticed that say I can see long term trend is up on the 1H or something, exploiting that reliably on the intraday timeframe without having a say 3-10 trading day timeframe for the signal just does not seem to work for me... I always see it where the support gets blown through, and that does not mean the trend is bad per se, it just means some institution crushed something...

So I use those as opportunities to grab more, but yeah need the more time (3-10ish trading days per signal) to let it all work out. Haha, envy you guys who can reliably intraday sometimes.

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