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EURUSD only

  • #14,941
  • Feb 28, 2018 9:51pm Feb 28, 2018 9:51pm
Quoting shebalik
Bigger picture. We are still in down trend. RSI never could pass 70 after 2008 mortgage crisis. And prices after touching the resistance again started to go down. Due to persistent low inflation and problems in Euro bonds and banking system I don't think that resistance will be broken until next crisis. When next crisis comes I don't have any idea which currency will shine. But less hope that there won't be any economic crisis near soon. {image}
Interesting trend line. Don't know why I didn't notice before.
  • #14,942
  • Feb 28, 2018 11:01pm Feb 28, 2018 11:01pm
My guess for the day:
I'm thinking it needs a bit of a short term retrace, before dropping further. I'm seeing time frames from M5 to H1 now reaching an oversold point.
I'm looking at a rise to about 1.2260 (this will be about the H1 100EMA) before another drop. Still targeting H4 500EMA at about 1.2105 - but this could take a couple of days or more, at the current rate of knots.
Profit last 52 weeks +44%
  • #14,943
  • Feb 28, 2018 11:44pm Feb 28, 2018 11:44pm
marking 22055 as decision level, no shorts above
  • #14,944
  • Mar 1, 2018 12:52am Mar 1, 2018 12:52am
my strategy for today, hold suport
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.M15.png Size: 49 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #14,945
  • Mar 1, 2018 12:57am Mar 1, 2018 12:57am
My Intraday Outlook.
(ahead London)

EUR/USD technically oversold. No correction yet.
1.2189 the new Monthly_Mid might support a correction.

Intraday resistance:
- 1.2200; 1.2220 the Weekly_S1
Intraday support:
- 1.2189 new Monthly_Mid;
- 1.2160 (the 61.8% from 1.1915 Jan.9 - 1.2554 Feb.16 momentum)

My Intraday Trading:
Buying 2189 => 1.2220 ...expires at Powell and US ISM

Have a good trading day, you all!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZHART1.png Size: 31 KB
Member
  • #14,946
  • Mar 1, 2018 1:21am Mar 1, 2018 1:21am
UPDATE1

what I expect is not so important, HAHA
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.png Size: 72 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #14,947
  • Mar 1, 2018 1:47am Mar 1, 2018 1:47am
The second part of Powell's testimony.
The committee will hold another Q&A session...
As you very well know, this can lead to heavy market volatility, ..technicians, take care!

Question:
will 2160 support another USD bull assault on the second Powell's session?
...or we can put our bets on the EU (positive) correction ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZHART1.png Size: 26 KB
Member
  • #14,948
  • Mar 1, 2018 1:49am Mar 1, 2018 1:49am
preflight check

We're at trendline on daily... kind of went thru it yesterday but on low volume.
If we snap back we may have a big move to the upside.

Range so far only 29pips. Short term trend is bullish.
Trading within yesterday's range but took out the low by a few pips. (FBO)
Ivo
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 54 KB
Attached Image
Trouble lies in what we believe to know for sure that just ain't so.
  • #14,949
  • Mar 1, 2018 2:12am Mar 1, 2018 2:12am
I expect correction today, buy at least 450points from open price as a target. Big trend still bearish. If crossing yellow area, go bearish again.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM5.png Size: 87 KB
  • #14,950
  • Mar 1, 2018 2:38am Mar 1, 2018 2:38am
Quoting matkooooo
I expect correction today, buy at least 450points from open price as a target. Big trend still bearish. If crossing yellow area, go bearish again. {image}
edit: Im out on BE, not going to this trade again , too obvious, rather bearish again, squeezing your longs..
  • #14,951
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:06am Mar 1, 2018 3:06am
since eu is not moving in all time frames use the recyle approach in m 5 chart using macd 12/26/9.over bought and over sold
  • #14,952
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:10am Mar 1, 2018 3:10am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) My Intraday Trading: Buying 2189 => 1.2220 ...expires at Powell and US ISM Have a good trading day, you all! {image}
Aborted. Stop at BE.
I assume it will happen the same as last time. They will sell starting from here, anticipating an USD bull action with Powell later.
But I bought that 2189 because I thought RBs will lure the euro bulls into a trap before the drop...
Member
  • #14,953
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:11am Mar 1, 2018 3:11am
Attached File(s)
File Type: csv har1.csv   117 KB | 277 downloads
  • #14,954
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:25am Mar 1, 2018 3:25am
Quoting greengp
{file}

Malware?
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
  • #14,955
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:26am Mar 1, 2018 3:26am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Aborted. Stop at BE. I assume it will happen the same as last time. They will sell starting from here, anticipating an USD bull action with Powell later. But I bought that 2189 because I thought RBs will lure the euro bulls into a trap before the drop...

What is BE?
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
  • #14,956
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:27am Mar 1, 2018 3:27am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Aborted. Stop at BE. I assume it will happen the same as last time. They will sell starting from here, anticipating an USD bull action with Powell later. But I bought that 2189 because I thought RBs will lure the euro bulls into a trap before the drop...

Agreed the bloody EUR sessions have for most of the time been very difficult to trade

way to much manipulation.

=
  • #14,957
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:30am Mar 1, 2018 3:30am
...Perhaps waiting on a touch of the rising trendline on the 60mins which I posted recently before going long?
  • #14,958
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:30am Mar 1, 2018 3:30am
technicaly oversold or overbought is best place to rob the dumbest part of retail traders. Please look on H4, what makes better sense - long bearish candle or total bull candle to 1.27 or more ? . Now W1 , we are attacking 6-7 weeks low . Just stay calm and bear. good luck to all.

1.20898 could be possible level to turn bull, but not sooner.
  • #14,959
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:30am Mar 1, 2018 3:30am
I guess another big drop. Can roam till 1203-4
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
  • #14,960
  • Mar 1, 2018 3:32am Mar 1, 2018 3:32am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Aborted. Stop at BE. I assume it will happen the same as last time. They will sell starting from here, anticipating an USD bull action with Powell later. But I bought that 2189 because I thought RBs will lure the euro bulls into a trap before the drop...
U look scared..
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
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