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  • #31,721
  • Feb 16, 2018 10:20am Feb 16, 2018 10:20am
Big buying on H1 chart from Feb 14th. had to wait a day to see price move up.

9:1 RR. The high RR trades are addictive, they forgive a lot of mistakes.
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  • #31,722
  • Feb 16, 2018 11:00am Feb 16, 2018 11:00am
Quoting albern
Big buying on H1 chart from Feb 14th. had to wait a day to see price move up. 9:1 RR. The high RR trades are addictive, they forgive a lot of mistakes. {image} {image}
What I love the most is watching it all unfold as the zones stack and each new H (or L) is tested as the uptrend (or downtrend) forms and builds. I hope you don't mind me borrowing your chart to show what I mean...
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Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #31,723
  • Feb 16, 2018 1:23pm Feb 16, 2018 1:23pm
There is an interesting blog post showing a backtest of strategy that is based on FX volume provided by FXCM

http://epchan.blogspot.com/2018/02/f...predictor.html
  • #31,724
  • Feb 16, 2018 11:30pm Feb 16, 2018 11:30pm
Quoting pres78
{quote} What I love the most is watching it all unfold as the zones stack and each new H (or L) is tested as the uptrend (or downtrend) forms and builds. I hope you don't mind me borrowing your chart to show what I mean... {image}
That's really interesting. It never occurred to me to watch and see how zones are stacking up. I will start looking for that.


Something I've been working on, I've been spending a lot of time watching H4 and D1 charts looking to use as my background to use injunction with VZA. Noticed that if I see something of interest on the higher time frames, to fib the highest bar of that day. Often if I will see price being held above/below the zone and gives me an indication on where price will go.

Here is an example on NZDUSD, on January 24th from a H1 chart there isn't anything too obvious about ultra high volume to let us know that this is a significant zone. But looking at D1 chart, we have a potential double top and both yesterday and today we can see price reacting to the January 24th zone. My thinking is that if price stays below this zone, NZD is unlikely to push through the top.

*side note* I wasn't able to fit this on the chart. But on January 24th there is an ultra wide spread down bar and very little volume. It seems weird to ignore the bar and not to fib it. But Price didn't really react very well to the zones the bar created, Jan 25th where price rejected the 50% of this bar was the only real reaction to the zone. However the HV bar from Jan 24th, price has reacted very well multiple times, the most significant was on Feb 1st when price touched the zone and then plummeted.
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  • #31,725
  • Feb 17, 2018 12:50pm Feb 17, 2018 12:50pm
QUESTION: When's the last time you saw it like this?

ANSWER: Everyday in at least one market-it just might not be the one(s) you're watching.

Look SHARP!! Some beautiful EUR/USD action from Friday.

The short Trigger Line (or Number) set up nicely. This particular type of entry has been spoken about ad nauseum. Price moved below the Trigger Line (Number) and then moved back up towards it on low volume (No Demand). Although this No Demand interval closed back above the line, the next bar closed down on increasing volume, and created a Two Bar Reversal (TBR).

Those with a keen eye, will notice that Chart Mode II turned green on the No Demand, but turned back to red on the second bar of the TBR. Of course, on that second interval, price was below the Cycle Of Time Line and Chart Mode I was also red. Markets, like all things in nature, want to follow the path of least resistance. In this case DOWN.

What's really interesting here, is the long Trigger Line (or Number) created later in the day. Of course, there is absolutely no reason to contemplate a long; price never gets above the COT and Chart Modes I & II never turn green. But we do see this long Trigger Line (Number) act as resistance. We would expect the high of an EFFORT to Fall interval to act as resistance. Damn! Did I just give something "next level" away. The Up Thrust right at the Trigger Line (Number) is an ideal place to either re-enter short, add to an existing short, or get on board for the first time. So we can use a long Trigger Line to set up a trade in the opposite direction (short), and vice versa for a short Trigger Line (number). Damn!! I did it again.
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Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
  • #31,726
  • Feb 18, 2018 7:16am Feb 18, 2018 7:16am
Quoting HiddenGap
QUESTION: When's the last time you saw it like this? ANSWER: Everyday in at least one market-it just might not be the one(s) you're watching. Look SHARP!! Some beautiful EUR/USD action from Friday. The short Trigger Line (or Number) set up nicely. This particular type of entry has been spoken about ad nauseum. Price moved below the Trigger Line (Number) and then moved back up towards it on low volume (No Demand). Although this No Demand interval closed back above the line, the next bar closed down on increasing volume, and created a Two Bar Reversal...
dear all with all my respect

Thanks for the picture very interesting amazon explain try to following you

Regard.scalper16
  • #31,727
  • Feb 19, 2018 10:52am Feb 19, 2018 10:52am
We know that trading is about probabilities, not certainties.

Here's an example of a loss, and of the Trigger Line (or Number) reversing polarity. Reversing polarity is really just a fancy way of saying, resistance becomes support, or support becomes resistance.

Take a look at the chart below.

Our long Trigger Line is established after the appearance of the SOS on climatic volume. This is a wide spread down bar on Ultra High volume that closes near its middle. A clear bar of strength in VSA.

A: Price has moved up above the long Trigger Line, even showing an EFFORT to Rise. Then price moves back down towards the Trigger Line, where we see a Test. Price is above the COT and both Chart Modes I & II are green. Everything is in place for a long.

As we start to ponder what we will name the castle in Scotland we're going to buy with our trading profits, things change.

B: While the interval itself is technically a SOS, it closes below the Trigger Line and below the low of the Test bar. If we are not already stopped out, this interval surely takes us out. I know some might have moved their stop to break even or even into profit quickly enough to not take a loss, but losses do happen. Trading is about probabilities, not certainties. And always remember: The Smart Money is not the Smart Money because they never lose; they're the Smart Money because they lose better.

C: This SOW at the Trigger Line (Number) confirms that the Trigger Line has reversed polarity. What was once support, has become resistance. If you are somehow still clinging to a long trade, you're doing it wrong...... If you're out of the long position, you're doing it right..... If you've noticed that we have seen No Result from an EFFORT to Rise, and No Result from a Test, and price is again below the COT with Chart Modes I & II red, and you've either gotten short or reversed your long to a short, you're Pres78.
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Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
  • #31,728
  • Feb 19, 2018 11:22am Feb 19, 2018 11:22am
Quoting HiddenGap
We know that trading is about probabilities, not certainties. Here's an example of a loss, and of the Trigger Line (or Number) reversing polarity. Reversing polarity is really just a fancy way of saying, resistance becomes support, or support becomes resistance. Take a look at the chart below. Our long Trigger Line is established after the appearance of the SOS on climatic volume. This is a wide spread down bar on Ultra High volume that closes near its middle. A clear bar of strength in VSA. A: Price has moved up above the long Trigger Line, even...
hellow HG pls my entry setup is correct?
very hard to find me nd candle ..i am everyday your share analysis study that's amazement for me..
kindly thank it..looking to your help


Regard.scalper16
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  • #31,729
  • Feb 19, 2018 11:48am Feb 19, 2018 11:48am
Quoting scalper16
{quote} hellow HG pls my entry setup is correct? very hard to find me nd candle ..i am everyday your share analysis study that's amazement for me.. kindly thank it..looking to your help Regard.scalper16 {image}
Hello my friend,

No Demand is a narrow range up bar on volume less than the previous two intervals. In the right place, it signifies a lack of interest by the Smart Money for higher prices.

The interval (candle) you are highlighting does have low volume, but it is increasing. In fact, it appears that this candle has a narrower range than the previous candle and more volume than the previous candle. That would make this interval a squat.

My question to you would be this:

It appears you have drawn some sort of down trend line. The candle in questions is above that line. In other words, the down trend is violated when this interval appears. Why would you want to short the market when it is not in a down trend?
Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
  • #31,730
  • Feb 19, 2018 12:05pm Feb 19, 2018 12:05pm
Quoting HiddenGap
{quote} Hello my friend, No Demand is a narrow range up bar on volume less than the previous two intervals. In the right place, it signifies a lack of interest by the Smart Money for higher prices. The interval (candle) you are highlighting does have low volume, but it is increasing. In fact, it appears that this candle has a narrower range than the previous candle and more volume than the previous candle. That would make this interval a squat. My question to you would be this: It appears you have drawn some sort of down trend line. The candle in...
many thank reply sir i am it's short day h4 h1 breakout following...
entry time ny session market sentiment usd index very strong..
unfortunate me today bank holidays markert choppy

Regard.scalper16
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  • #31,731
  • Feb 20, 2018 3:17am Feb 20, 2018 3:17am
Trade still going since Friday.

Its interesting, yesterday was a holiday so volume was light. The question is if no one was trading then why did price go down instead of just sideways? Market testing for sellers on a holiday?
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  • #31,732
  • Feb 20, 2018 3:45am Feb 20, 2018 3:45am
AUDUSD Short.

Hard to ignore the 2 bar reversal and no demand on D1.
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  • #31,733
  • Feb 20, 2018 11:19am Feb 20, 2018 11:19am
Quoting albern
AUDUSD Short. Hard to ignore the 2 bar reversal and no demand on D1. {image} {image}
Yes but we are on the wrong side of that UHV Feb 6th Daily zone (we are at the H rather than below 50% or the L) and the ND closed above the H of the Feb 6th zone. From a Daily chart perspective that kept me from even considering that ND bar.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #31,734
  • Feb 21, 2018 8:51am Feb 21, 2018 8:51am
Would anyone be able to point me in the direction of the VSA indicators by any chance please?

Thanks in advance
  • #31,735
  • Feb 22, 2018 2:32am Feb 22, 2018 2:32am
Closed out AUD/USD short for 16:1 trade.

To be honest I'm not sure what AUDUSD will do here. Will it find support? Will it push through? I have no idea.

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NZD/CAD I think is about to have a big up move soon. I think we are just seeing up moves and pull backs, no real distribution.

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  • #31,736
  • Feb 22, 2018 8:18am Feb 22, 2018 8:18am
Quoting albern
Closed out AUD/USD short for 16:1 trade. To be honest I'm not sure what AUDUSD will do here. Will it find support? Will it push through? I have no idea. {image} NZD/CAD I think is about to have a big up move soon. I think we are just seeing up moves and pull backs, no real distribution. {image}
Nice trade on AUDUSD. I am now watching this pair as we are testing back up into the L of the Daily zone from Feb 6th. We have a nice LL, LH structure in place to the left of current PA also so I will wait and see how and if things play out for a Daily chart short.

EURUSD sitting also in a similar condition except for the structure isn't as nice...
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #31,737
  • Feb 22, 2018 8:31am Feb 22, 2018 8:31am
NZD/CAD big surprise the pair shot up today. Monthly chart shows that we are rising off an accumulation area. Originally I had planned for to TP at 9313, but as I studied the chart I removed my TP and decided to let it run because of the higher time frames. I think there is a good chance based off monthly that we could visit the old highs at .9900.

Going to set the pair to BE and let it ride, if it does run to .9900 that would be a run of 655 pips from a 7 pip stop. RR of 93:1.

I owe a lot of credit to Pres78 for using his zones for trade location and tight stops. Also to Malcolm and his analysis, especially his old stuff where he posted a lot H4 and Daily charts.
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  • #31,738
  • Feb 22, 2018 8:37am Feb 22, 2018 8:37am
Quoting pres78
{quote} Nice trade on AUDUSD. I am now watching this pair as we are testing back up into the L of the Daily zone from Feb 6th. We have a nice LL, LH structure in place to the left of current PA also so I will wait and see how and if things play out for a Daily chart short. EURUSD sitting also in a similar condition except for the structure isn't as nice...
I was a little nervous about the lows on AUDUSD, admittedly we still have 4 trading days left in this month, but Monthly chart is looking like a 2 bar reversal. Could be some nice long term shorts for the pair.
  • #31,739
  • Mar 1, 2018 9:13am Mar 1, 2018 9:13am
alright lads

watching eurusd 15 with interest ... we got large battle going on this 15 ... but if buyers absrobed she will go quickly to 1.2080
https://t.me/VSA_Zone .. hanging out here these days
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #31,740
  • Edited 9:29pm Mar 1, 2018 9:07pm | Edited 9:29pm
This post is in response to a PM I received.

The Market, like a woman, is always Testing.

The traditional entry method involving a Test, is to either place an order just above the high of the Test bar after it is completed, or to be prepared to enter at the market on the next interval if it trades higher than the test bar. Note that in this traditional entry method, one is not waiting for confirmation to enter. Confirmation is defined as the next interval closing UP.

Which brings us to the new entry method espoused by TradeGuider. In the new entry method, one waits for confirmation before entering the Market. This means one is not entering until the open of the interval after the interval directly following the Test.

So which method is best? Ultimately, that is up to the individual. I prefer the traditional method. With the traditional method, one takes more losses. With the new method, one takes on more risk. There is a way to utilize the traditional method and decrease on the losses. But always remember, trading is about probabilities, not certainties.

Take a look at the chart below.

CUT TO:

The chase.

(I've actually written a screenplay before). The Test at (D) is a perfect example of a situation where the traditional method of entry utilizes all the available edge. Why, HG, because the Market went up? No. We don't know that the Market is going to do that at the time. What we do know, however, is that the Test interval has "probed" down below the low of the powder blue bar and then closed higher. We also know that it "probed" lower than the CoT and then bounced higher. In other words, this Test is occurring at known support areas. If we are seeing "what we want to see, where we want to see it.", why wouldn't we want to enter without confirmation?

Now let's take a look at (A). This is an amazing entry. I could not take it, as price is below the Cycle of Time (CoT) and both Chart Modes I & II are not green. But look at that. The low of the Test bar is at the High of the Stopping Volume bar that signified some serious strength entering the Market. It also "probes" down below the low of the powder blue bar, before ultimately closing higher. Once again, a Test appearing at support.

Moving to (B). To be fair, I would have attempted an entry here. Price is above the CoT line and both Chart Modes I & II are green. And there is clear strength in the immediate background. However, to entry the next bar (1) would need to make a higher high than the Test interval and it does not. In fact, interval (1) closes lower than the Test interval, creating a failed (or unconfirmed) Test.

If you allow for two intervals to enter, then you would be entered on interval (2) as it trades higher than the high of the Test bar (B). On the other hand, if you noted that interval (1) is actually a Test in its own right (C), well, you still would have been brought into the Market on (2) as it traded higher than the high of (C). So you might well take a loss here. But what separates you from the 90%, is your ability cut your losses short, let go of your ego, and re-enter at point (D).........
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Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
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