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  • #12,781
  • Feb 13, 2018 3:10am Feb 13, 2018 3:10am
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  • #12,782
  • Feb 13, 2018 3:15am Feb 13, 2018 3:15am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} BAM! 1.2350, TP!
Nice. It hit 2288 a few hours before your initial post.
  • #12,783
  • Edited 3:51am Feb 13, 2018 3:17am | Edited 3:51am
Quoting FahadB
There's been a few large wicks around the 1.233 region, looks like the bulls are running into resistance bought at 1.229 with SL at BE because of the wicks Currently 1.232 is holding as resistance and 200EMA on H1 is correlating with the resistance
Dollar index reached 200 EMA on H4 and formed double top before reversing back down, the H1 chart also shows a sharp break below the 200EMA.

Moved my SL to 1.2305 and looking to ride the the wave up. Could be looking at a halt around 1.235 as people take profit

Next stop for me would be the 1.24 handle and possibly 1.264 for new highs and monthly resistance at that level. But may be closing in my SL ahead of the US data tomorrow
  • #12,784
  • Feb 13, 2018 3:21am Feb 13, 2018 3:21am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} Nice. It hit 2288 a few hours before your initial post.
Oh, missed that 1.2288 ...I was sleeping
Got it only from 1.2302 ...TBH
And I guess I'm gonna stop here, enough profit ...I can't focus for the bear pull back from 1.2350 ...busy
It could be a wrong call anyway, because bull looks still strong.
Member
  • #12,785
  • Feb 13, 2018 3:32am Feb 13, 2018 3:32am
Quoting Traderview
Short @1.23350
didnt close. expecting another 20 pip go up before a 30 pip pullback
  • #12,786
  • Feb 13, 2018 3:39am Feb 13, 2018 3:39am
Price is just ranging and testing 23500 from time to time with very small volumes for this daytime. I would not short until I see the market go down.

RGDS
  • #12,787
  • Feb 13, 2018 3:57am Feb 13, 2018 3:57am
if we are today above SUPORT, BUY BUY BUY... SUPORT IS POINT FOR TODAY, DONT MIND WHERE IS REZISTENCE
WE CAN LOOSE 20-30PIPS FROM 1.2340.. STILL IS FOR BUY
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,788
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:00am Feb 13, 2018 4:00am
Tried a short based on the following,
big move up but price still got halted at the upper trendline of the triangle
RSI bounce off uper triangle trendline
Stoch starting to turn and point down.

See how i go.
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  • #12,789
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:17am Feb 13, 2018 4:17am
Quoting Neil0163
Tried a short based on the following, big move up but price still got halted at the upper trendline of the triangle RSI bounce off uper triangle trendline Stoch starting to turn and point down. See how i go. {image}
If I could ask, what is the basis for the downtrend of that triangle? Looks like it's dawn at the second point to be arbitrarily where the price has topped just now.
  • #12,790
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:29am Feb 13, 2018 4:29am
Quoting neil0163
tried a short based on the following, big move up but price still got halted at the upper trendline of the triangle rsi bounce off uper triangle trendline stoch starting to turn and point down. See how i go. {image}
how u know todays top. It can be higher...
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,791
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:32am Feb 13, 2018 4:32am
Quoting Traderview
{quote} didnt close. expecting another 20 pip go up before a 30 pip pullback
so why not go long?
Trouble lies in what we believe to know for sure that just ain't so.
  • #12,792
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:36am Feb 13, 2018 4:36am
New York will open in 25 minutes together with some news ( medium importance ). letīs see where we go then.
  • #12,793
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:43am Feb 13, 2018 4:43am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
{quote} If I could ask, what is the basis for the downtrend of that triangle? Looks like it's dawn at the second point to be arbitrarily where the price has topped just now.
thats just how i draw my trendlines buddy as soon as it touches twice.

Josip i dont know that it is a top.
In my trading i try to go based on confluence and for this particular set up i had.

Price with a strong bull move suddenly halted by a trendline that connects with previous price price needs to form some sort of correction before continuation,
i had RSI showing the same pattern and a bounce of the triangle drew in RSI.
my stochs are overbought.

thats 3 things pointing to sell, now thats not to say price wont go higher it very may will and i could be wrong thats not a problem ill accept i was wrong ands look for another set up!
  • #12,794
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:44am Feb 13, 2018 4:44am
Dear friends,
I do respect the TA and the PA, but I would like to warn about the tricky fundie about inflation day tomorrow!
Keep your eyes open on the chart but stay away from big news affecting the monetary policy!!!
Have a great tradin', ...take care!
Attached Image
Member
  • #12,795
  • Feb 13, 2018 4:46am Feb 13, 2018 4:46am
Quoting ivob
{quote} so why not go long?
The previous 4hr candle is almost a doji. The price 1.235 is acting at the moment a strong resistance. To broke this, it requires a very strong move to move near 1.2360 -1.2380. In my view market already ranged before the us cpi numbers tomorrow i.e 1.2335 - 1.2370. You could short it in this area. You'll get atleast 20 pips. There's a short running at 1.2335 and i might have to close it with 25 pips loss but i'll look for short above 1.2370. Because i think, it'll make a daily high between 1.2370 - 1.2380
The right place for the long would have been 1.2312. I missed it.

I maybe right. I dont know. Lets see.
  • #12,796
  • Feb 13, 2018 5:02am Feb 13, 2018 5:02am
Wow...the first legitimate short signal at 2347!
  • #12,797
  • Feb 13, 2018 5:03am Feb 13, 2018 5:03am
Quoting Traderview
{quote} The previous 4hr candle is almost a doji. The price 1.235 is acting at the moment a strong resistance. To broke this, it requires a very strong move to move near 1.2360 -1.2380. In my view market already ranged before the us cpi numbers tomorrow i.e 1.2335 - 1.2370. You could short it in this area. You'll get atleast 20 pips. There's a short running at 1.2335 and i might have to close it with 25 pips loss but i'll look for short above 1.2370. Because i think, it'll make a daily high between 1.2370 - 1.2380 The right place for the long would...
ok. You wrote "expecting another 20 pip go up before a 30 pip pullback"

I just don't get why one would want to be short expecting price to go up but maybe I'm too simple for that ;-)

Ivo
Trouble lies in what we believe to know for sure that just ain't so.
  • #12,798
  • Feb 13, 2018 5:05am Feb 13, 2018 5:05am
Quoting mbrown
Wow...the first legitimate short signal at 2347!
Probability of success...93%, it still may lose though!
  • #12,799
  • Feb 13, 2018 5:07am Feb 13, 2018 5:07am
Quoting ivob
{quote} ok. You wrote "expecting another 20 pip go up before a 30 pip pullback" I just don't get why one would want to be short expecting price to go up but maybe I'm too simple for that ;-) Ivo
I think he was in this trade already, willing to accept more losses instead of closing it.
  • #12,800
  • Feb 13, 2018 5:09am Feb 13, 2018 5:09am
Quoting mbrown
Wow...the first legitimate short signal at 2347!
I'm looking to short on retest and rejection around 1.2342-3 something like that, it's a bit of a confluence area on my chart.
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