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EURUSD only

  • #12,361
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:10pm Feb 8, 2018 1:10pm
Quoting mbrown
{quote} I don't even need them to be honest. Spend so much time developing them I feel obligated to find a way to exploit them...lol I have a quality signal, quality levels and now can see the full picture using the EURUSD 90m chart. I'm inclined to just wait for the price to go to major S/R, wait for a signal then enter on the H/L break of a 30m candle. The probability levels would then just be used as potential profit target levels to help me hold for longer. When I created the attached 60 day EURUSD forecast, I didn't think for a minute it would...
Well if you figure them out , the probability of 2336 getting hit before a new low now should be increasing,,not saying it will happen but the odds are going up ,,Fridays always a wild card lol,,,mkt always breaks a level and always seems to find a way to go back and test it and right above is,,, yep the weekly price average.
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  • #12,362
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:14pm Feb 8, 2018 1:14pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Well if you figure them out , the probability of 2336 getting hit before a new low now should be increasing,,not saying it will happen but the odds are going up ,,Fridays always a wild card lol,,,mkt always breaks a level and always seems to find a way to go back and test it and right above is,,, yep the weekly price average. {image}
An up move was looking good upto 18:40, since then probabilities have dropped off but no short signal yet.
  • #12,363
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:16pm Feb 8, 2018 1:16pm
My view for the next move.
On the H1 chart maybe will reach the 23.6 lVl from Fibo with +- 10 pips my opinion.
On the H4 the down move is not finish i markt there with grey. That area it doesn't look good for me is not finished and this leads me to the 23.6 lVl again from bibo it will stop there .
This is my opinion.

The market maker will trick us becouse it need's to hit the red SMA 200 red line from the H4.(maybe also with a spike under it.)

Sugestions?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,364
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:22pm Feb 8, 2018 1:22pm
On a 15 mins chart, we seem to have completed a minor wave 1 and a retracement to 76.4% .. which was a good time to load up long again. I am expecting a 161.8 % to third wave next to 1.2364 (fe161.8) (tp2). I would take half at fe100. (1.2313). and load up again after 4th wave retracement.

Here's a couple of charts.

This is my view. Please trade with caution. Anything can happen in these markets. thanks
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STING
  • #12,365
  • Edited 1:33pm Feb 8, 2018 1:23pm | Edited 1:33pm
Quoting mbrown
{quote} An up move was looking good upto 18:40, since then probabilities have dropped off but no short signal yet.
You want to be careful lol,,,,,,,been a down day and a down week ,,,waiting till eod is usually a good idea ,,if nothing extreme happens here with price the daily candle will be a doji right on a support level with a close just above. A rise to even 2370 ish area possible with daily still being bearish given the pattern ,,but starts with getting to 2332 if its gonna
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  • #12,366
  • Edited 1:41pm Feb 8, 2018 1:27pm | Edited 1:41pm
Only 1 signal short but need 2 to consider a trade.

19:41: still only 1 short signal.
  • #12,367
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:28pm Feb 8, 2018 1:28pm
Could see one more attempt at a low when frakie and london get going then as sheet gets closed out for the week ,,,a rise towards that area ,,,,,,Fridays= trade light and nimble lol
  • #12,368
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:34pm Feb 8, 2018 1:34pm
Forgot to mark a few areas on that daily above ,,,,,,,just the levels mentioned, they are there now
  • #12,369
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:37pm Feb 8, 2018 1:37pm
Quoting stringfx
On a 15 mins chart, we seem to have completed a minor wave 1 and a retracement to 76.4% .. which was a good time to load up long again. I am expecting a 161.8 % to third wave next to 1.2364 (fe161.8) (tp2). I would take half at fe100. (1.2313). and load up again after 4th wave retracement. Here's a couple of charts. This is my view. Please trade with caution. Anything can happen in these markets. thanks {image} {image}
I dont want to be mean or critic.
But here i know at fibo lVl are like this. MAYBE I"M RONG NOT SURE.
You have the move from 100 to 0 after down until 76lVl, i know at when is like this the importan lVl is 50 and first signal at is coming a reversal, after 61 lVl one more confirmation at is coming a reversal and also a spike in 76 lVl sure will come a reversal. I see like this that fibo is a good view but i read.it like that.
SO that means at the trend will go until 100 or a spike above 100 or sometimes is start to reverse at lVl 88.6 and is very importan lVl for reversals.
So from the trend what you mesure becouse it broke 61 VIP lVL and 76 touch that means at will come a down trend. Thanks
I hope at you will get me.
Attached Image
  • #12,370
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:44pm Feb 8, 2018 1:44pm
Quoting stringfx
On a 15 mins chart, we seem to have completed a minor wave 1 and a retracement to 76.4% .. which was a good time to load up long again. I am expecting a 161.8 % to third wave next to 1.2364 (fe161.8) (tp2). I would take half at fe100. (1.2313). and load up again after 4th wave retracement. Here's a couple of charts. This is my view. Please trade with caution. Anything can happen in these markets. thanks {image} {image}
Watch this video's take your time and watch. You will get lot of info.
This is about Fibonaci. Is a very good and well explained video.
Inserted Video


And second this
This is how the market makers act and try to set traps. You will be amazed how many times it happend that to you. And also to me maaaaaaany times.
Inserted Video
  • #12,371
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:44pm Feb 8, 2018 1:44pm
sold, target 1.216 and then 1.21 area

stop above 1.23
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #12,372
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:46pm Feb 8, 2018 1:46pm
Quoting mbrown
Only 1 signal short but need 2 to consider a trade.
Tuesday was daily doji type too,,study your 90 min and see exactly what it looked liked lol,,,,,,,but here is where the 12 hour average I mentioned comes in price gets above that and you start getting 3 bar reversals back to that then popping chances are an attempted up swing ,,,,,,,and you play it till the momentum dies ,if its an up day and news ,,,,option expiry etc etc ,,keeps making new highs on the day etc etc ,,start looking to those higher levels on the daily and play till eod ,,,,,,lots to get thru before that but thats how I piece sheet together . levels and the days momentum or direction ,,,,,,,,,Friday ,,,crap shoot lol
  • #12,373
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:50pm Feb 8, 2018 1:50pm
Second signal. I'm short.
  • #12,374
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:54pm Feb 8, 2018 1:54pm
I'm short too. Did also close a position at the same price.
  • #12,375
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:54pm Feb 8, 2018 1:54pm
Quoting mbrown
Second signal. I'm short.
Is just a small retracement. wait sell near 300
At 1.23081 is MA 100 in that area is good to sell i wait there.
  • #12,376
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:59pm Feb 8, 2018 1:59pm
Quoting mbrown
Second signal. I'm short.
Watch the 2248 level ,,,,,,,all the indicator users will have stuff showing big time divergence now , just a heads up lol
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  • #12,377
  • Feb 8, 2018 2:04pm Feb 8, 2018 2:04pm
Quoting kmic14
{quote} I dont want to be mean or critic. But here i know at fibo lVl are like this. MAYBE I"M RONG NOT SURE. You have the move from 100 to 0 after down until 76lVl, i know at when is like this the importan lVl is 50 and first signal at is coming a reversal, after 61 lVl one more confirmation at is coming a reversal and also a spike in 76 lVl sure will come a reversal. I see like this that fibo is a good view but i read.it like that. SO that means at the trend will go until 100 or a spike above 100 or sometimes is start to reverse at lVl 88.6 and...
No offence but your english is a bit hard to understand but i will try to explain what i could make out. Firstly my main way to trade is trying to guage out elliot waves. I might not be too good at it but i try. I try to decipher waves with fractals and Fibonacci. Once we get a good impulsive move up after a down move, i label it as wave 1. then through Fibonacci retracement i try to figure out where a second wave ends. as a rule, it can go down to 99% of wave 1 but usually, it moves to a third wave at 61.8%. A third wave can go usually to 161.8% or extend further with expansion. the fourth wave is very tricky but usually we get a move after 38.2 retracement. then we get the 5th wave which expands to 61.8% of the entire 1-3 waves.

In this case after an impulsive move, we got a retracement to 76.4 as a second wave. now i am expecting a good rally up for the 3rd wave. I hope this is clear . I am sorry if it isn't.
STING
  • #12,378
  • Feb 8, 2018 2:05pm Feb 8, 2018 2:05pm
Not to say it wont go down ,but look at the difference in the size of patterns ,, Tuesdays pattern was huge ,,this one not so much
  • #12,379
  • Feb 8, 2018 2:08pm Feb 8, 2018 2:08pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Watch the 2248 level ,,,,,,,all the indicator users will have stuff showing big time divergence now , just a heads up lol {image}
Usefull tool is that Digger I’ve used it too. Can offer an opportunity to get back in on a move with the trend when observing divergences that will draw in long orders...if like me you are awaiting a re entry play
  • #12,380
  • Feb 8, 2018 2:12pm Feb 8, 2018 2:12pm
Quoting FXClarity
{quote} Usefull tool is that Digger I’ve used it too. Can offer an opportunity to get back in on a move with the trend when observing divergences that will draw in long orders...if like me you are awaiting a re entry play
I took a few longs at the higher low today ,,,, for the most part Asia will just make a flag pattern back up to todays high then a pop above or a drop if they dont Im out nothing now ,,,,,,,stps in emotions out lol
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