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  • #12,201
  • Feb 7, 2018 4:51pm Feb 7, 2018 4:51pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
A bit of a longer view. Short!!! I missed again good entry but expect 1.2350 again. 1.24 hard to overcome now.... Then zigzag as shown bouncing at 1.19-18 area. Green pips.!!! Shorting is still risky - Trumpy... Stocks... My old plan worked more than i expected...though too busy to sell {image} {image}
Agreed. Too late for Sell now. May bounce may consolidate. Too many ifs and buts! I'll wait for next move.
  • #12,202
  • Feb 7, 2018 5:52pm Feb 7, 2018 5:52pm
Quoting denisius
{quote} Agreed. Too late for Sell now. May bounce may consolidate. Too many ifs and buts! I'll wait for next move.

Up 9 points already could be the bounce we are waiting for
  • #12,203
  • Feb 7, 2018 6:16pm Feb 7, 2018 6:16pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
A bit of a longer view. Short!!! I missed again good entry but expect 1.2350 again. 1.24 hard to overcome now.... Then zigzag as shown bouncing at 1.19-18 area. Green pips.!!! Shorting is still risky - Trumpy... Stocks... My old plan worked more than i expected...though too busy to sell {image} {image}
.

96% certain 2316 or 2200 will be touched today.

97% certain 2258 will be touched today.

If price reaches 2316 before 2258 I'll enter a short with a 25 pip SL and PT 2258.
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  • #12,204
  • Feb 7, 2018 6:59pm Feb 7, 2018 6:59pm
Quoting mbrown
96% certain 2316 or 2200 will be touched today. 97% certain 2258 will be touched today. If price reaches 2316 before 2258 I'll enter a short with a 25 pip SL and PT 2258.

I love your %%%%%%%%%%% my friend
  • #12,205
  • Feb 7, 2018 7:05pm Feb 7, 2018 7:05pm
Quoting Dingoman-two
{quote} Up 9 points already could be the bounce we are waiting for
Lol,,, atm yes ,,just an update on daily levels ,the 272 and 618 ext levels of the box ,,,,which the top of is the breakout above 2 year range highs ,it worked to get thru the 272 level ,it has now come back and tested it ,,,,,break a level come back and test it then continue now it has to work to get back above 2332 area ,,,,,which held it for a bit ,never tested when it blasted thru it ,,,now it will be tested on both sides ,watch for that to hold or fold ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2260 and 2332 are my two levels Im watching atm ,,,,,,,,,,next notch down wound be Q R1 of which that did hold it on the upswing and the 4 hour 200sma and the cam H3 level ,,,,,,A grand sht tgt would be the green line in the box - the top of the candle bodies. or the breakout level of 2096 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,one of these levels will hold,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,From the gran puba ,the monthly chart the 618 ext tgt is 2604,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,the 50% level between the 272 and 618 on monthly tgts is 2072,,,,,,,,,breakout above the highs was where,,,,,,, 2096,,,,,excellent sht tgts for the next month,,,,,, all starts with staying under 2332 , the mkt does not move as fast as one would think ,bouncing around till these levels mentioned are hit for the next month and a half would not be surprising,,,,,, then the end of the quarter the next real move look for what patterns you can pick out.. Lots of info to sort thru ,,but not really ,,,,,,,,,its just levels they hold or they dont ,,,,,,and you kinda want to know where ones from longer charts are or you get burned on days like today or you sit like a house side the road while a good move happens right in front of you,,,,,,, mkts are not complicated ,,,level gets hit ,it hold s or folds ,,,if it folds- its on to the next one,,,,,,,,, simple as that
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  • #12,206
  • Feb 7, 2018 7:25pm Feb 7, 2018 7:25pm
long above 2400 because this is the level where hourly and daily will have the same direction again.
  • #12,207
  • Feb 7, 2018 7:33pm Feb 7, 2018 7:33pm
Quoting FXClarity
Outta here - time to do something more constructive - like organising my sock drawer.
Based on timing of your post and the move down plus your targets, I really think you should go organise your whole wardrobe, then the garage and whatever else you can think of!! Happy trading and hope you get at least your level 1 target cause I've been short for too long but will keep scaling in and out as per my plan and the moves presented.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #12,208
  • Edited 9:18pm Feb 7, 2018 9:06pm | Edited 9:18pm
Update:
Target hit
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(Time frame: 5 minutes)

(Edited) Possible new targets: 1.2200 or 1.2315
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(Time frame: 5 minutes)
  • #12,209
  • Edited 10:43pm Feb 7, 2018 10:23pm | Edited 10:43pm
Confused... Daily Uptrend still Bullish,
but my opinion just Sell untill 1.2152 - 1.2000, looked from Monthly chart....
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  • #12,210
  • Feb 7, 2018 11:14pm Feb 7, 2018 11:14pm
Long from 2256,,, stp tight 2248 atm will bump up to even if it can muster enough to get past 2270,,,,,,,then tgt 2300 area ,,,,,,ultimately 2334 area ( last weeks low ) ,,,,,,will trail stp up if it gets started that way .
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  • #12,211
  • Feb 7, 2018 11:15pm Feb 7, 2018 11:15pm
Hi everyone,

To close this cycle, we will be heading back to 1.2447 via 1.2382, not exactly sure when we will turn...

I use mean reversion methodology, so I can see levels that have a very high probability of being hit, but can't tell exactly when.

You guys give me great guidance on current market direction, which is a real help.

Thank you.

M15 attached.
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  • #12,212
  • Feb 7, 2018 11:57pm Feb 7, 2018 11:57pm
Quoting denisius
And another target almost reached. I thought 2230, 2243 will do just fine. Awesome. I can stop trading for the rest of the week. . What can I say " those late nights and early mornings" finally pays back!
how is your health now bro
  • #12,213
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:07am Feb 8, 2018 1:07am
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,214
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:13am Feb 8, 2018 1:13am
Quoting digger1
Long from 2256,,, stp tight 2248 atm will bump up to even if it can muster enough to get past 2270,,,,,,,then tgt 2300 area ,,,,,,ultimately 2334 area ( last weeks low ) ,,,,,,will trail stp up if it gets started that way . {image}
stps bumped up to + 1 ,,,,,,will take profit on some at 23 and trail stp on rest
  • #12,215
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:14am Feb 8, 2018 1:14am
Quoting Dingoman-two
{quote} Up 9 points already could be the bounce we are waiting for

HEADING TO 1.2328
  • #12,216
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:29am Feb 8, 2018 1:29am
Quoting pairsniper
{quote} consolidation is occuring and seems 1.2365 is support of it. it needs time for reverse. you can not expect strong trends reverse just like that. now its time to people lose some money on sideline. after it will decide to reverse from these levels or break upward. i will wait and watch this short term consolidation and hopefully it will reverse down. 1.2365 !!! thats what i will watch closely {image}
what happened yesterday was not a breakout. i thought 1.2365 could be support of consolidation and i expected a bounce to resistance. but seems consolidation still occuring and still there is no support of it. but its good news for long term bears. bigger consolidation means better opportunity

yesterday's red candle is not a breakout...
  • #12,217
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:45am Feb 8, 2018 1:45am
Quoting Traderview
For a strong short trend one 4HR candle should close below 1.2400. I think this would be the strong signal for the trend continuation up to 1.2240. Lets see
I believe my analysis worked. My target was 1.2240 it almost hit. The lowest it went yesterday was 1.2245
  • #12,218
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:50am Feb 8, 2018 1:50am
Building tiny long positions until 1.2598 with stops below the swing low. Will put to breakeven after 30 pips in the green. Hoping that 4th wave is complete.
STING
  • #12,219
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:52am Feb 8, 2018 1:52am
Quoting pairsniper
{quote} what happened yesterday was not a breakout. i thought 1.2365 could be support of consolidation and i expected a bounce to resistance. but seems consolidation still occuring and still there is no support of it. but its good news for long term bears. bigger consolidation means better opportunity yesterday's red candle is not a breakout...
Depends on your view I guess,,,, was a breakdown thru ,2332 which is a neck line of sorts ,,,,,,,it can go all the way back up to the orange circle and be on its back leg now,,,,, its gonna probably take a bit to get it back above 2332 even if it does ,,,,,,, unless the high gets taken out a bearish tilt to it now , ,,also seeing the rapid swing of retail positions from short which they were all the way up to moving quite rapidly to the middle dont bode well for more upside for a while ,time will tell .
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  • #12,220
  • Feb 8, 2018 1:54am Feb 8, 2018 1:54am
Weekly momentum is bearish, but dayly oversold.
My software calls for the next dayly resistance at the stop run level, for an end of w4.
And in time, no sooner than end of next week.(see squared area)

Dynamic trader software, calculates the end of elliot waves in terms of fibonacci probabilities. (price and time).
Believe me, they are right more often than not. But before I get in the trade, momentum has to trigger, and I add some trendlines.
I hit winners 70% of the time, donīt want to boast here, small account, small retailer,I study hours, trading since 15 years, profitable only since 15 months.Yes , thatīs how long it took me.

Below is a dayly chart.
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