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  • #12,101
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:11am Feb 7, 2018 8:11am
if 1.230 is broken only think 1.2200
  • #12,102
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:12am Feb 7, 2018 8:12am
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  • #12,103
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:12am Feb 7, 2018 8:12am
Quoting mbrown
Rocket man! I'm expecting price to surge higher nonetheless. Probably after 2327. {image}
watching yesterdays low 2313 and 2310 myself
  • #12,104
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:12am Feb 7, 2018 8:12am
the hourly is trending down, expect choppyness as long as daily remains in uptrend.
  • #12,105
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:13am Feb 7, 2018 8:13am
We are still in the clutch of this bear flag which is best described as a 'slow grind'
  • #12,106
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:13am Feb 7, 2018 8:13am
Quoting digger1
{quote} watching yesterdays low 2313 and 2310 myself
The trend decision level is at 2230 (only today) below sell the peaks moving forward. The intraday offer that can't be refused is 2260 for longs. I'll be longing on steroids at the level. Sl 30 pips.
  • #12,107
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:18am Feb 7, 2018 8:18am
Quoting greengp
if 1.230 is broken only think 1.2200
i think we are nicely contained in the red channel so a possible double bottom, and if that is broken then we will stop at the lower line of the green channel going down for a bounce but i do not see 1.2200 for a while

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  • #12,108
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:19am Feb 7, 2018 8:19am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} The trend decision level is at 2230 (only today) below sell the peaks moving forward. The intraday offer that can't be refused is 2260 for longs. I'll be longing on steroids at the level. Sl 30 pips.
--------------------------------------------------------------
I'll add:
there is a 78% PROBABILITY OF A HIGHER LOW.
there is a 65% PROBABILITY OF A HIGHER HIGH.
  • #12,109
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:22am Feb 7, 2018 8:22am
Quoting mbrown
-------------------------------------------------------------- I'll add: there is a 78% PROBABILITY OF A HIGHER LOW.
Lol, 1st things 1st ,,dont go off the deep end on me now ,,,hasent touched yesterdays low yet,, no hourly close below last weeks low yet ,, option expiry creeping up 10 New York time that can cause some gyrations ,,,steady as she goes man ,,,,, lol
  • #12,110
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:24am Feb 7, 2018 8:24am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Lol, 1st things 1st ,,dont go off the deep end on me now ,,,hasent touched yesterdays low yet ,, option expiry creeping up 10 New York time that can cause some gyrations ,,,steady as she goes man ,,,,, lol
...I'm just glad a wandered out for two hours rather than live through this drivel
  • #12,111
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:26am Feb 7, 2018 8:26am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Lol, 1st things 1st ,,dont go off the deep end on me now ,,,hasent touched yesterdays low yet ,, option expiry creeping up 10 New York time that can cause some gyrations ,,,steady as she goes man ,,,,, lol
LOL...probabilities since the year 2000 favour an up move (72%). Solely on a probability basis, there really isn't much more downside (10 to 20pips).
  • #12,112
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:26am Feb 7, 2018 8:26am
Quoting FXClarity
{quote} ...I'm just glad a wandered out for two hours rather than live through this drivel
I hear ya man ,,,,,,mkt seems to crawl when your in waiting for a tgt ,it flys when your upside down
  • #12,113
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:34am Feb 7, 2018 8:34am
Marginal half hour close above last weeks low ,,,see if it can make it back to 2351
  • #12,114
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:34am Feb 7, 2018 8:34am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} LOL...probabilities since the year 2000 favour an up move (72%). Solely on a probability basis, there really isn't much more downside (10 to 20pips).
Assuming this plays out, the most likely PT is 2381. Now 2327 has been hit, 2436 is off the table in term of probabilities.

If price hits 2381 what does it mean from a technical perspective? Are there any major support lines just below 2381? etc.

Just, I've just checked - 2381 coincides with a downward sloping 1 hour trendline.
  • #12,115
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:41am Feb 7, 2018 8:41am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} Assuming this plays out, the most likely PT is 2381. Now 2327 has been hit, 2436 is off the table in term of probabilities. If price hits 2381 what does it mean from a technical perspective? Are there any major support lines just below 2381? etc.
Daily pivot ,,days open ,,yesterdays mid point all in a 3 pip range just under that,, not major but daily levels
  • #12,116
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:45am Feb 7, 2018 8:45am
If it were to go there and hold ,,,,,,12 hour chart would have indicators turned up if its up there at end of day ,,,,,,,,lot of work to do to pull that off but not impossible
  • #12,117
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:47am Feb 7, 2018 8:47am
Quoting digger1
{quote} I hear ya man ,,,,,,mkt seems to crawl when your in waiting for a tgt ,it flys when your upside down
True, kinda like missing perfect trends where you would have simply added in every pullback and it flies - you sit back in 'yer chair thinking.."why don't I tend to catch those ones"
  • #12,118
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:52am Feb 7, 2018 8:52am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Daily pivot ,,days open ,,yesterdays mid point all in a 3 pip range just under that,, not major but daily levels
Thanks. The segregation of analysis is useful.

So 2381 from a probability stand point is sound. The HH & HL probabilities seem sound as price is currently forming a H&S.

These key decision areas are where 1 min charts come into their own. Peak/trough analysis: notice how the peak is progressively getting to closer to the valley high.

Why folks bearish or bullish should price reach 2381?
  • #12,119
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:52am Feb 7, 2018 8:52am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} Assuming this plays out, the most likely PT is 2381. Now 2327 has been hit, 2436 is off the table in term of probabilities. If price hits 2381 what does it mean from a technical perspective? Are there any major support lines just below 2381? etc. Just, I've just checked - 2381 coincides with a downward sloping 1 hour trendline.
That long tail from yesterday is filled in now ,, this one could poke up there good,,, there should be one more solid poke up even it is just a spike ,,,,dead cat bounce if the longer trend is trying to make a turn here,, time will tell
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  • #12,120
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:53am Feb 7, 2018 8:53am
Hi guys. Do you guys think EU will break the 1.23 level or bounce back. M15 TF shows a double bottom.
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