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  • Post #103,681
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2018 8:52am Jan 30, 2018 8:52am
  •  MrPresident
  • Joined Apr 2017 | Status: trying to make money | 3,341 Posts
strong pair, market is expecting good inflation data but they may be mistaken just like we have seen when NZD fell
Don't Worry Be Happy
 
 
  • Post #103,682
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2018 9:38am Jan 30, 2018 9:38am
  •  WhiteMouseFX
  • | Joined Sep 2016 | Status: Eyes on the big moves :-P | 485 Posts
It's gonna wait until cash rate, so a correction may occur.
Hey buddy, let's grab some Pips!
 
 
  • Post #103,683
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:17pm Jan 30, 2018 7:17pm
  •  redalert
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 227 Posts
These CPI numbers are gonna be weird. Fuel/Oil will be the kicker.
 
 
  • Post #103,684
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:31pm Jan 30, 2018 7:31pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,162 Posts
Trade what you see after market reaction
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
 
 
  • Post #103,685
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:36pm Jan 30, 2018 7:36pm
  •  redalert
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 227 Posts
Quoting redalert
Disliked
These CPI numbers are gonna be weird. Fuel/Oil will be the kicker.
Ignored

  1. The most significant price rises this quarter are automotive fuel (+10.4%), tobacco (+8.5%), domestic holiday travel and accommodation (+6.3%) and fruit (+9.3%).
  2. The most significant offsetting price falls this quarter are international holiday travel and accommodation (-1.7%), audio visual and computing equipment (-3.5%), and telecommunication equipment and services (-1.4%).

From the RBA statement

 
 
  • Post #103,686
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2018 9:43pm Jan 30, 2018 9:43pm
  •  Leinadgnow
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 529 Posts
Wrote a few months back that i was long AUD/USD and aiming for 82 before CNY. Still holding but unwinding my positions at these levels. Feels like it is the top and post CNY will go back sub 0.80 again.
There is no royal road to anything.
 
 
  • Post #103,687
  • Quote
  • Jan 31, 2018 5:41am Jan 31, 2018 5:41am
  •  dab
  • | Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Member | 952 Posts
Quoting Leinadgnow
Disliked
Wrote a few months back that i was long AUD/USD and aiming for 82 before CNY. Still holding but unwinding my positions at these levels. Feels like it is the top and post CNY will go back sub 0.80 again.
Ignored
When you posted price was 78xx and went south to 7501. Did you hold all the way and add or how did you manage your position/s?

Congratulations on your profits and backing your fundamental beliefs.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
 
 
  • Post #103,688
  • Quote
  • Jan 31, 2018 9:03am Jan 31, 2018 9:03am
  •  MrPresident
  • Joined Apr 2017 | Status: trying to make money | 3,341 Posts
CPI data did not meet expectations and I think that the rally may soon be over if commodities correct
Don't Worry Be Happy
 
 
  • Post #103,689
  • Quote
  • Jan 31, 2018 11:31am Jan 31, 2018 11:31am
  •  0toinfinity
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2018 | 93 Posts
Quoting MrPresident
Disliked
CPI data did not meet expectations and I think that the rally may soon be over if commodities correct
Ignored
you was correct, retrace is on the way.
 
 
  • Post #103,690
  • Quote
  • Jan 31, 2018 1:30pm Jan 31, 2018 1:30pm
  •  MrPresident
  • Joined Apr 2017 | Status: trying to make money | 3,341 Posts
it found some support at 0.8050 again, can risk a long position and see if it works out
Don't Worry Be Happy
 
 
  • Post #103,691
  • Quote
  • Feb 1, 2018 6:27am Feb 1, 2018 6:27am
  •  Leinadgnow
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 529 Posts
AUDUSD Short term. closed out and took the short at 0.8050
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Size: 92 KB
There is no royal road to anything.
 
 
  • Post #103,692
  • Quote
  • Feb 1, 2018 6:32am Feb 1, 2018 6:32am
  •  Leinadgnow
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 529 Posts
Quoting dab
Disliked
{quote} When you posted price was 78xx and went south to 7501. Did you hold all the way and add or how did you manage your position/s? Congratulations on your profits and backing your fundamental beliefs.
Ignored

Actually it was a poor poor trade even though it worked out and i knew how the chinese market would react.

Took it all the way down with my stop loss what i was willing to lose if i bought an out of money call till February (with extra on the carry)
Down 300 and then took only 200 pips.

Post CNY i expect a fall in commodities across board and with it the AUD, once winter is over. Let's see. im aiming and ready to take this baby down now.
There is no royal road to anything.
 
1
  • Post #103,693
  • Quote
  • Feb 1, 2018 7:07am Feb 1, 2018 7:07am
  •  SteFX85
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Member | 1,148 Posts
AUD/USD

Get ready to go back to 0.55.

Grtz

Monthly

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What's that smell? ---- I smell money!
 
 
  • Post #103,694
  • Quote
  • Feb 1, 2018 7:31am Feb 1, 2018 7:31am
  •  Trader-Waldo
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Sep 2017 | 422 Posts
Quoting Leinadgnow
Disliked
{quote} Actually it was a poor poor trade even though it worked out and i knew how the chinese market would react. Took it all the way down with my stop loss what i was willing to lose if i bought an out of money call till February (with extra on the carry) Down 300 and then took only 200 pips. Post CNY i expect a fall in commodities across board and with it the AUD, once winter is over. Let's see. im aiming and ready to take this baby down now.
Ignored
your trades are mainly or fully fundamental/data based?
NO MATTER THE SITUATION,NEVER LET YOUR EMOTIONS OVERPOWER YOUR INTELLIGENCE
 
 
  • Post #103,695
  • Quote
  • Feb 1, 2018 8:06am Feb 1, 2018 8:06am
  •  MrPresident
  • Joined Apr 2017 | Status: trying to make money | 3,341 Posts
0.7990 is another support level, selling now might be risky because the price can reverse
Don't Worry Be Happy
 
 
  • Post #103,696
  • Quote
  • Feb 1, 2018 8:49am Feb 1, 2018 8:49am
  •  aeternum
  • | Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Member | 2,263 Posts
Took a look at the weekly chart and noticed that it's overbought. Previous RSI periods have resulted in sell offs. Not expecting this to be any different. Overall we are still in a major down trend

Price just begging to fall further, short term looking towards 0.785 - 0.787
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
 
 
  • Post #103,697
  • Quote
  • Feb 1, 2018 10:16am Feb 1, 2018 10:16am
  •  Leinadgnow
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 529 Posts
Quoting Trader-Waldo
Disliked
{quote} your trades are mainly or fully fundamental/data based?
Ignored

Both. Just like a builder uses all the tools he has, why shouldn't a trader use all? Technical is nothing more than a price action reflection of fundamentals. all news and possible news are encompassed into price.
There is no royal road to anything.
 
1
  • Post #103,698
  • Quote
  • Feb 2, 2018 6:18am Feb 2, 2018 6:18am
  •  Leinadgnow
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 529 Posts
TPéd and out for the weekend. Happy trading all. freaky friday.
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Size: 83 KB
There is no royal road to anything.
 
 
  • Post #103,699
  • Quote
  • Feb 2, 2018 6:29am Feb 2, 2018 6:29am
  •  magentfx
  • Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Always Learning | 1,186 Posts
[email protected] showing weakness in the move.
Avoid what is Strong,Strike at what is Weak
 
 
  • Post #103,700
  • Quote
  • Feb 2, 2018 6:30am Feb 2, 2018 6:30am
  •  magentfx
  • Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Always Learning | 1,186 Posts
Wait for long signal
Avoid what is Strong,Strike at what is Weak
 
 
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