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  • #10,581
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:19am Jan 26, 2018 5:19am
how time flies..

I like the 15m support with the bot tail bar test, but with news so soon, I can't touch this
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,582
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:26am Jan 26, 2018 5:26am
Admiral Ackbar would say, It's a trap! Here it comes, hold on, I'm flat preferring to observe the carnage and try to pick up a piece or 2....
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,583
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:33am Jan 26, 2018 5:33am
H1 may not yet be done though
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.proH1.png Size: 28 KB
  • #10,584
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:36am Jan 26, 2018 5:36am
Long 1.244 for 1.2566 sl 30pips
  • #10,585
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:44am Jan 26, 2018 5:44am
probably not much to trade until FOMC next week, bulls seem to enjoy their weekend already
  • #10,586
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:52am Jan 26, 2018 5:52am
Quoting copi88
Sometimes trading can be very easy. Institutions had profit target in the blue box area. As price approaches you get a surge in volume as they take profit and start accumulating for shorts. As price goes down on decreasing volume and we had a high volume test of the take profit area the market makers will want to retest that blue box to see if there is any business still there. As price goes back up but on lower volume than before price will not break through that high. Also I know what value is below the market, the lines on my chart represent...
Hi,

From the table, how could you see that option traders expected a stronger dollar today?

Many thanks
  • #10,587
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:54am Jan 26, 2018 5:54am
seems everything I say is wrong, where's the news volatility? lol, well at least I didn't take that support long since I would've been stopped out here, maybe they're all still reading the text of the releases?
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,588
  • Jan 26, 2018 5:57am Jan 26, 2018 5:57am
Quoting pgr45za
{quote} Hi, From the table, how could you see that option traders expected a stronger dollar today? Many thanks
Look at the 1M Column. Look at the number in the bracket. If its positive is positive for the pair.

EURUSD was negative -0.2 and USDJPY was positive 0.2. These two are the largest trading pairs for the USD by a large margin.
Therefore the options markets where pricing in a strong dollar.

Note that the main number is still positive for the EUR and therefore they are still overall still bullish this pair.

0.2 change is quite a large change. Usually adjustments are around 0.05 to 0.15
Boxing clever since 76.
  • #10,589
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:03am Jan 26, 2018 6:03am
Quoting pgr45za
{quote} Hi, From the table, how could you see that option traders expected a stronger dollar today? Many thanks
For the 25 Deltas they are updated twice a day but note that Saxo quote them on a 24H rotational basis so if you go access the site it will look like there as been a -0.2 adjustment for this afternoon session however that 0.2 came in for the morning session.

There has been no adjustment for the afternoon session and therefore they are neutral
Boxing clever since 76.
  • #10,590
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:04am Jan 26, 2018 6:04am
i hope today didn't make a new high so monday we can see a new low....

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  • #10,591
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:05am Jan 26, 2018 6:05am
Wow, GDP big disappoint but it's a total nothing burger with EU overall dropping on the hour. Is this the reversal?|
  • #10,592
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:09am Jan 26, 2018 6:09am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Wow, GDP big disappoint but it's a total nothing burger with EU overall dropping on the hour. Is this the reversal?|
Why worry if it is or it isn't? so long as you profit from it - you've done your job
  • #10,593
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:09am Jan 26, 2018 6:09am
Team short
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  • #10,594
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:14am Jan 26, 2018 6:14am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Wow, GDP big disappoint but it's a total nothing burger with EU overall dropping on the hour. Is this the reversal?|
for a reversal it should drop below 1,20 today
don't expect so much
probably only a Friday correction
bull will be back next week
  • #10,595
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:28am Jan 26, 2018 6:28am
short
Attached Image
  • #10,596
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:34am Jan 26, 2018 6:34am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Ok, it is obvious now US government shutdown - buy euro US government re-open - buy euro So I am long now from 1.2314, stops a little below 1.2330 looking for 1.2500 at first but eventually 1.2600 which is the 61.8 retrace. I will trail the stop as the trade progresses to keep profits. Nice swings in the pair now so re-entry no problem. {image}
I got stopped out on my longs at 1.2502 yesterday after "The Donald" spoke, had a 30 pip trailing stop so nice pips (from 1.2314). But I forgot to take off a buy order at 1.2460 (ooops) so now holding a -43 pips loser. It is only .1 lot long so not big deal.

I don't like the way this pair is moving down and looks like traders closing up shop for the weekend so I am thinking to do the same to protect the wonderful week I had.

Classic trading mistake, leaving open orders when you are away from your platform. I may start a thread on these types of mistakes.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #10,597
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:39am Jan 26, 2018 6:39am
Quoting Tmakote
Team short {image}
what values have all your MA in the image ?
Thanks!
  • #10,598
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:39am Jan 26, 2018 6:39am
What a week!
Had enough for me. All brace for bear EU Next week
green pip to all
Wise man once said "You gotta trade tomorrow as well"
  • #10,599
  • Jan 26, 2018 6:45am Jan 26, 2018 6:45am
looks like a test of the 2x bottom test from yesterday's dip recovery

the lack of volatility is making me pause

if I enter without witnessing a couple of shakeouts, I feel like I'll be caught in one

I'm thinking long here but it seems to easy
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,600
  • Jan 26, 2018 7:29am Jan 26, 2018 7:29am
just entered long here tight stop, if I'm shaken out that's ok 2424 approximate long entry with stop right at the pivot under it, and I'm stopped out
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
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