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AUD/USD

  • #103,661
  • Jan 25, 2018 12:43pm Jan 25, 2018 12:43pm
Quoting MrPresident
{quote} it failed to get above 0.8125 which was a good level to sell from, the daily chart shows that the rally is exhausting 0.8125 is the 2017 high and it must get above it to continue further towards 0.8160 or higher, otherwise it may fall down hard the drive for the rally is only USD weakness and a bit of commodity strength, so any correction will make the pair tumble
It may crash soon. Just closed my long. Sexy pips
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
  • #103,662
  • Jan 25, 2018 3:19pm Jan 25, 2018 3:19pm
It's a Trump/Mnuchin double play.

Politicians, can't trust 'em..

Can't ...???
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 25 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #103,663
  • Edited Jan 26, 2018 1:01am Jan 25, 2018 5:44pm | Edited Jan 26, 2018 1:01am
Head and shoulders completed target. Renko HD system giving long signal.

Safe trading
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.png Size: 59 KB
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #103,664
  • Jan 26, 2018 1:01am Jan 26, 2018 1:01am
Quoting Expo33
Head and shoulders completed target. Renko HD system giving long signal. Safe trading {image}
Booked a nice and easy 40 pips. Now out and waiting for a reversal brick to enter short on the same type of signal.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au2.png Size: 49 KB
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #103,665
  • Edited 2:10am Jan 26, 2018 1:08am | Edited 2:10am
long if possible till 0.8090...
-----

done here...
NO MATTER THE SITUATION,NEVER LET YOUR EMOTIONS OVERPOWER YOUR INTELLIGENCE
  • #103,666
  • Jan 26, 2018 3:50am Jan 26, 2018 3:50am
Even when 0.80 ( closed bullish price ) is broken, the high price ( 0.81 ) can still obstruct. Market may consolidate before breaking it
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
  • #103,667
  • Jan 26, 2018 1:09pm Jan 26, 2018 1:09pm
On steroids
  • #103,668
  • Jan 26, 2018 2:52pm Jan 26, 2018 2:52pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
It's a Trump/Mnuchin double play. Politicians, can't trust 'em.. Can't ...??? {image} {image}
That blue channel retest is toast.
Firmly bullish off the breakout retest.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 25 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 30 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #103,669
  • Jan 26, 2018 7:04pm Jan 26, 2018 7:04pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} That blue channel retest is toast. Firmly bullish off the breakout retest. {image} {image}
How high do you think it will go ? I like many others trade only long due to the positive carry. I look at eurusd and still remember people trying to short the top , making it go even higher.
  • #103,670
  • Jan 26, 2018 7:20pm Jan 26, 2018 7:20pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} How high do you think it will go ? I like many others trade only long due to the positive carry. I look at eurusd and still remember people trying to short the top , making it go even higher.
Who knows. I don't even trade this pair, only Cable, but enjoy charting.
I also really only pay attention to daily TF and higher so my idea of price range within relevant trading periods will be different to day traders.
Let's just say my longer term out look is not optimistic for the USD.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #103,671
  • Jan 26, 2018 7:23pm Jan 26, 2018 7:23pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} Looking at the demise of the USD index, the against all odds resurrection of TPP for Australia but without America, along with tech analysis, I think the white TL will become obsolete. Trump wants a weak $ to kickstart his "factories across the land", and I think he will get it. {image}
This is my most relevant post on longer term outlook I guess.
Do your own due diligence though obviously.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #103,672
  • Jan 26, 2018 7:34pm Jan 26, 2018 7:34pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} This is my most relevant post on longer term outlook I guess. Do your own due diligence though obviously.
I only trade this long term (buy only ) and currency exchange.
Long term I mean weekly.
  • #103,673
  • Jan 26, 2018 8:30pm Jan 26, 2018 8:30pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} I only trade this long term (buy only ) and currency exchange. Long term I mean weekly.
Well then, if we close this month bullish above the PA relevant TL and immediate resistance, these would be my longer term fib targets as they relate to future PA resistance areas.

That bullish hidden divergence doesn't hurt either.

To me, the weekly looks like is gaining more enthusiasm as it attacks the resistance after retesting the broken TL
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthly.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthly1.png Size: 33 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #103,674
  • Jan 27, 2018 10:18am Jan 27, 2018 10:18am
AUD CPI q/q will be released on Tuesday and it could be a bad number since there is a problem with inflation in Australia. This may cause the pair to fall back to 0.799 or lower.

It looks like the rally is getting ahead of itself. The next level that it has to close above on the daily chart is 0.8125 to be more bullish, otherwise it might top out.
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #103,675
  • Jan 27, 2018 11:21am Jan 27, 2018 11:21am
Quoting MrPresident
AUD CPI q/q will be released on Tuesday and it could be a bad number since there is a problem with inflation in Australia. This may cause the pair to fall back to 0.799 or lower. It looks like the rally is getting ahead of itself. The next level that it has to close above on the daily chart is 0.8125 to be more bullish, otherwise it might top out.
You're very correct. I closed my long waiting for the level breakout before joining again, otherwise it would crash. That level is the high price of the last Gravestone Doji that crashed the pair. When high price of the earlier strong bearish setup is broken it means the bulls are not giving up yet.
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
  • #103,676
  • Jan 29, 2018 12:17am Jan 29, 2018 12:17am
Retest brewing.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 26 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 30 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly2.png Size: 25 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #103,677
  • Jan 29, 2018 7:18am Jan 29, 2018 7:18am
crush any time soon or sooner.
NO MATTER THE SITUATION,NEVER LET YOUR EMOTIONS OVERPOWER YOUR INTELLIGENCE
  • #103,678
  • Jan 29, 2018 8:34am Jan 29, 2018 8:34am
OB's reaction zones to be tested soon on AUD/USD? Since 24.01 first bigger order block escape new OB's were formed in smaller times frames (15,30min). Looking at twin OB zone price contraction based on symetrical triangle since price came back to the zone from high extremes. Leaving order block could happen in both ways, still I give bit bigger chances to downwards levels. Weekly/daily charts are both overbought, running on it's resistance levels. Price is much more dependent on USD since there's no much of fundamental gas for AUD, yet we're still seeing this uptrend. In case we see break down many support levels will be tested (first OB's lower level - 0.80785, lower extreme - 0.8062 - keep in mind in between 0.5 fib retracement, and 0.80296 before return to test previous OB since latest rally. USD sentiment is mixed since news and AUD has no important news for today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd.png Size: 131 KB
  • #103,679
  • Jan 29, 2018 10:13am Jan 29, 2018 10:13am
Quoting Trader-Waldo
crush any time soon or sooner.
Finaly==>0.8021 would make me happy....
NO MATTER THE SITUATION,NEVER LET YOUR EMOTIONS OVERPOWER YOUR INTELLIGENCE
  • #103,680
  • Jan 29, 2018 10:54pm Jan 29, 2018 10:54pm
Quoting mkvy
{quote} I used to trade like this. But unfortunately your analysis is too short term, your looking at lower highs , lower lows in the short term. If you look at the bigger picture you will see AUSUSD is in an uptrend channel. You could have done a buy today at .7950 with a really small stoploss. NEVER SELL in an uptrend channel is my opinion. Unltil it is broken. and even then wait for a better price into which a new downtrend channel will develop. Take profit at .8080
My analysis considers 18 years worth of data so I'm not at all worried about my timeframe. Made enough on the drop to 8005 late last week that I can patiently wait for my remaining positions to become profitable. Can I improve my entries? Yes and at some stage I may think more about channel's but for now I think it's a bit late to wait for a break of them to enter, especially as a break can be false and you miss much of the move.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
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