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  • #10,261
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:16am Jan 24, 2018 8:16am
I was a late long, lost the gain from the narrow channel trend, lost cable on shake, re-entered here on the tiny 2x bot on the 1m, I need some follow thru just to BE on the session
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,262
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:17am Jan 24, 2018 8:17am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Just gonna throw something out at you ,,,,,,,This rise looks ridiculous on any chart,,,, this number will be a pip or two low because I didnt figure holidays ,,,,,, just a standard 5 day week ,,,,,,,,if you average the amount of pips rise with the amount of time,,,,,, remember not counting holidays this run up in the eur equates to average gain of 54 pips a week or roughly 10.883 pips a day..,,,,, Im a simple farmer and I can see little set-ups that net that each day,,,,,,Hell Ata s calls here or his input should net you that ,,,,is it really...
I'm perfectly cool about it Digger - I get my target time after time..
  • #10,263
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:17am Jan 24, 2018 8:17am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Great post Ata. The US Government shutdown, or not shutdown, cannot be predicted as those idiots will fight it until 11:59pm. Then how will the movers react to either event? Best to save powder for next week after the smoke clears.
Ok, it is obvious now

US government shutdown - buy euro
US government re-open - buy euro

So I am long now from 1.2314, stops a little below 1.2330 looking for 1.2500 at first but eventually 1.2600 which is the 61.8 retrace. I will trail the stop as the trade progresses to keep profits. Nice swings in the pair now so re-entry no problem.
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Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #10,264
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:24am Jan 24, 2018 8:24am
I'm still bullish and thinking that this pullback has a little leg to go before 11:30 ET, also long cable on bottom tail on 5m bar, seeking some follow thru up here but not a lot, I'm targeting prior highs only so it's really a scalp
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,265
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:25am Jan 24, 2018 8:25am
Quoting FXClarity
{quote} I'm perfectly cool about it Digger - I get my target time after time..
You have been successful at it obviously ,,,, it was just a thought out loud thats all,,,,, KCCO man lol,,,,,,,, myself unless Im up real good I dont like holding more than 3 - 4 days. The chf unpegging debacle a few years back kinda jolted the senses lol
  • #10,266
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:33am Jan 24, 2018 8:33am
Flat, back to the gain I had earlier, it's stressful to lose prior gain and have to work hard to regain it, but it got me some good practice trading at least. Killed my cable for BE. That 5m entry also was H2 in Al Brooks speak, nice to trade something that works once in a while.

I had to challenge my pessimism and force myself to enter and be a little more optimistic and it worked for today.
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,267
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:38am Jan 24, 2018 8:38am
potentially some trapped short term longs here as there is no follow thru to this pullback back up, if it breaks 2375 area, it may trigger stops and set up a potential short term short
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,268
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:39am Jan 24, 2018 8:39am
Quoting digger1
{quote} You have been successful at it obviously ,,,, it was just a thought out loud thats all,,,,, KCCO man lol,,,,,,,, myself unless Im up real good I dont like holding more than 3 - 4 days. The chf unpegging debacle a few years back kinda jolted the senses lol
I'd rather be a trend trader with tighter stop but never managed to make any money from it.

Update - loaded in under the round number for a 35-40 pip scalp
  • #10,269
  • Jan 24, 2018 8:56am Jan 24, 2018 8:56am
With divergence on the 15min and 1hr/ and possibly developing on 4hr and daily charts i think this is about the highest it will get today before continuing upward. I'm thinking short for the rest of the US time and maybe little past to retest the sideways movement we've just got out of , previous highs, and older up trend trends on the 4hr and daily charts, to lead back into longs during the Asian and London sessions, possible threw the ECB news for a spike depending on how far along we are. next week looking to make more progress towards 1.26, then maybe shorts if that area can hold with strength.

Tell me what you guys think. Keep it green
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  • #10,270
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:00am Jan 24, 2018 9:00am
no swift rejection for longs, so I cancel my potential short idea, more like degrading waves in a range area, I think I'll call it and get lunch GL
big money makes big moves and then hides during small money chasing.
  • #10,271
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:04am Jan 24, 2018 9:04am
Quoting KeepITGreen
With divergence on the 15min and 1hr/ and possibly developing on 4hr and daily charts i think this is about the highest it will get today before continuing upward. I'm thinking short for the rest of the US time and maybe little past to retest the sideways movement we've just got out of , previous highs, and older up trend trends on the 4hr and daily charts, to lead back into longs during the Asian and London sessions, possible threw the ECB news for a spike depending on how far along we are. next week looking to make more progress towards 1.26,...
I looked at the last 8 H4 candles: ALL BULLISH... 8 bullish H4 candles in a row: meaning bulls are really strong!!!!!!!

That being said.. I also look at all the H4 candles closer and see that the closing price is always in the upper half of each candle's total height.. So far there was no one candle that close below the half of it's own height.. Keep that in mind and be careful.. maybe today will not go higher but after NY close it still can continue higher in Asian session..

I personally accept the fact that my Stop at 1.2404 might get stopped out.. it is okay.. it will show me that there is still bull pressure.. The first thing I want to see is a close below the half of new H4 candles.. 1 hour left for new H4 candle opening.. depending on the closing type of this current H4 candle I will make new decisions..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #10,272
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:07am Jan 24, 2018 9:07am
The MN TF is near to the 200 SMA, just a little bit more, there are also chance to brake but will close the day or week,for sure the week above and will have a retrace.
In my opinion will conitue also tomorrow.
I had a good day today.
I.m starting to place here and there sell orders. The big boys need to dump all the orders.
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  • #10,273
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:18am Jan 24, 2018 9:18am
Quoting corrman
potentially some trapped short term longs here as there is no follow thru to this pullback back up, if it breaks 2375 area, it may trigger stops and set up a potential short term short
After the break out of a week and a couple day long bull flag ,,,,,,,,,,you dont want to assume trapped buyers or switch from long to short real quick,, monthly says 2420 ish ,,,but even a short term chart you want to see a lower low and high that dont look flagish ,,, it does appear to be slowing some but it is lunch time in the states and Europe is closing up shop for the day ,,,,,little bullflag tgt met ,but a lower low and high may be worth watching for ,,,,,not really trapped buyers ,just buyers from below collecting their profits ,,my 2 cents worth ,really no weakness yet ,,and that was a big pattern on daily it broke out of . It is the end of the month tho with an ecb decision coming ,,monthly is where it needs to be Idling at the 200sma and just over the 50% level of the range from 2001 to 2008 ,,,,the big big dogs are about to make some decisions
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  • #10,274
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:30am Jan 24, 2018 9:30am
one more time i prove myself i don't have enough patience. closed my long too soon. should have trailed it. but i'll take 45 pips anyday everyday
but stil can't help myself not feeling frustrated because i colud have made 20-30 pips more trailing.
somebody has a pill with patience? )))
MAKE IT RAIN
  • #10,275
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:32am Jan 24, 2018 9:32am
Quoting mihai1986
one more time i prove myself i don't have enough patience. closed my long too soon. should have trailed it. but i'll take 45 pips anyday everyday but stil can't help myself not feeling frustrated because i colud have made 20-30 pips more trailing. somebody has a pill with patience? )))
lol,, everyday battle for sure .
  • #10,276
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:37am Jan 24, 2018 9:37am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I looked at the last 8 H4 candles: ALL BULLISH... 8 bullish H4 candles in a row: meaning bulls are really strong!!!!!!! That being said.. I also look at all the H4 candles closer and see that the closing price is always in the upper half of each candle's total height.. So far there was no one candle that close below the half of it's own height.. Keep that in mind and be careful.. maybe today will not go higher but after NY close it still can continue higher in Asian session.. I personally accept the fact that my Stop at 1.2404 might get...
Check also the Bond Market after the $ index. Is very easy after to confirm the up trend. I dont want to be selfish but it was a little obvious at will go up again.
In a old post i was expectin a big retracent but i close all my sell and i open buy trades yesturday.
The bond market made a 2 bottem, thei pup bonds to push the stock higher and this makes to crash the $. I expect the whales and funds to have a TP somewhere above the 200 SMA just to create the continuation feeling, thei need a point where to sell massively thei will do that just giving us a fake buy singnal.
BE FOCUS ALL
Good Luck.
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  • #10,277
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:48am Jan 24, 2018 9:48am
Quoting kmic14
{quote} Check also the Bond Market after the $ index. Is very easy after to confirm the up trend. I dont want to be selfish but it was a little obvious at will go up again. In a old post i was expectin a big retracent but i close all my sell and i open buy trades yesturday. The bond market made a 2 bottem, thei pup bonds to push the stock higher and this makes to crash the $. I expect the whales and funds to have a TP somewhere above the 200 SMA just to create the continuation feeling, thei need a point where to sell massively thei will do that...
Does have and area a little above where them doing that would make sense to just test the 50% level from the top side ,its definitely no secret that a cheap dollar is not really being worried about.
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  • #10,278
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:49am Jan 24, 2018 9:49am
There 80% chances for the H4 candles to hit the up blue line.(it can also do that without going down).
50/50 Chance to enter in the blue channel, but not sure in 4H Asia is starting and usually is going up or just consolidation.(it can also do that without going down).
20% to go under the blue channel maybe just with a spike and close in the channel.
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  • #10,279
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:58am Jan 24, 2018 9:58am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Does have and area a little above where them doing that would make sense to just test the 50% level from the top side ,its definitely no secret that a cheap dollar is not really being worried about. {image}
Yes probably there there. For me 1.26 is to far, but i never know.
Maybe 1.255 or 1.25000-1.25250 i notice at is like this usually a false brake. BUT THIS IS JUT MY OPINION DOESN'T MEAN AT I'M RIGHT.
And not allway is crossing the 50% limit. Maybe it will spike, but for me is to up 1.26 with out a retracement.
  • #10,280
  • Jan 24, 2018 9:59am Jan 24, 2018 9:59am
Marking 1.2392 ....while below no buying..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
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